Sung Chull Kim (ed.) - North Korea and Nuclear Weapons: Entering the New Era of Deterrence

NORTH KOREA AND
NUCLEAR WEAPONS

SUNG CHULL KIM

and

MICHAEL D. COHEN

Editors

2017 Georgetown University Press. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.

The publisher is not responsible for third-party websites or their content. URL links were active at time of publication.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Kim, Sung Chull, 1956- editor. | Cohen, Michael D., PhD, editor.

Title: North Korea and Nuclear Weapons : Entering the New Era of Deterrence / Sung Chull Kim and Michael D. Cohen, editors.

Description: Washington, DC : Georgetown University Press, 2017. | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2016035419 (print) | LCCN 2016040154 (ebook) | ISBN 9781626164529 (hc : alk. paper) | ISBN 9781626164536 (pb : alk. paper) | ISBN 9781626164543 (eb)

Subjects: LCSH: Nuclear weaponsKorea (North) | Nuclear arms controlKorea (North) | United StatesForeign relationsKorea (North) | Korea (North)Foreign relationsUnited States.

Classification: LCC U264.5.K7 N825 2017 (print) | LCC U264.5.K7 (ebook) | DDC355.02/17095193dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016035419

This book is printed on acid-free paper meeting the requirements of the American National Standard for Permanence in Paper for Printed Library Materials.

18 179 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 First printing

Printed in the United States of America

Cover design by Connie Gabbert Design + Illustration.

Cover images:

North Koreas ballistic missile launch (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon, File)

TV screen showing North Korean leader Kim Jong Un watching a solid-fueled rocket engine text (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)

Michael D. Cohen and Sung Chull Kim

Patrick Morgan

Sung Chull Kim

Michael D. Cohen

Tristan Volpe

Van Jackson

Chaesung Chun

Terence Roehrig

Fei-Ling Wang

Yangmo Ku

Sung Chull Kim and Michael D. Cohen

THIS BOOK PROJECT has benefited from the participation, advice, assistance, and support of many people over the past three years. Its origins lie in a discussion between the coeditors at the International Studies Association (ISA) Annual Meeting in Toronto in March 2014 about the new nuclear challenges posed by North Korea. This discussion led to a panel held at the subsequent ISA annual meeting held in New Orleans in February 2015 and developed into a workshop with the sponsorship of the Institute for Peace and Unification Studies (IPUS) at Seoul National University on June 12 and 13 of that year. Conscientious efforts and the willing cooperation of all contributors led to the successful completion of this edited volume. Patrick Morgans and T. V. Pauls mentorship made the discussions at the Seoul workshop rich and fruitful, and the contributors kept the two sharp deadlines for revisions and assisted timely completion. Also, Derrick Frazier, Jacques Fuqua, Suh Bo-hyuk, Park Hyeong-jung, Hong Suk-hoon, Kim Hong-cheol, Edward Reed, Kim Cheon-sik, Chang Yong-seok, Kwon Hee-seok, and Lee Deok-haeng made invaluable contributions to this project in one way or the other.

Park Myoung-kyu, the former director of IPUS, and his successor Jung Keun-sik have not hesitated to provide institutional and moral support for the success of the project. The Seoul workshop was financially supported by a National Research Foundation of Korea grant funded by the South Korean government (NRF-2010361-A00017). We would like to express thanks to the foundation. We coeditors, on behalf of all contributors, also express deep gratitude to the two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions. Their thorough, point-by-point remarks on individual chapters contributed to clarifying and strengthening the analyses and arguments. Finally, our thanks go to Donald Jacobs and Glenn Saltzman at Georgetown University Press for their superb editorial guidance and to Choi Ahlyun, Kim Suin, Kim Jieun, and An Soyeon for assisting the Seoul workshop and formatting the final manuscript. We hope that this book may help general readers, students, scholars, and policymakers to critically understand the dangerous new strategic dynamics into which North Korea is dragging the Korean Peninsula and East Asia and the crucial deterrence and nonproliferation challenges.

ROMANIZATION of the names of the Korean, Chinese, and Japanese people follow their traditions: The family name appears first, with the given name following. However, the spellings of personal names that appear in works written in English are used as in the originals. Romanization of the other Korean and Chinese languages, e.g., those of news agencies and article titles, follow South Koreas Ministry of Culture system and the Pinyin system, respectively.