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The Economist - The Economist: Pakistan: Perilous Journey

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The Penguin Economist Special reports delve into the most pressing economic issues of the day: from national and global economies, to the impact of trade, industry and jobs. Written to be read on a long commute or in your lunch hour - be better informed in under an hour.Pakistan is in a tricky situation. It is under constant scrutiny by the world media but is more often than not described in terms of its problems.There are indeed difficulties - bordering the unsettled nations of Afghanistan and Iran puts it in a precarious position. A poor and badly educated population for the most part is not helping the countrys growth.There is hope.The wealth of natural resources, a growing, urban population and a more democratic government all point to a positive future.But with the NATO withdrawal from its troubled neighbours nearing, Pakistans survival hangs in the balance.Simon Longs special report includes the following sections:Perilous JourneyToo close for comfortState of vulnerabilityCaptains inningsIn the shadow of the mosqueLights offA taste of HunnyAlways with usDripping with bloodGoing with the flow

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Contents

Pakistans army and the law
The men in black v the men in green

Afghanistan
Too close for comfort

Foreign policy
State of vulnerability

Politics
Captains innings

Religion
In the shadow of the mosque

The economy
Lights off

Education
A taste of Hunny

Poverty
Always with us

Violence
Dripping with blood

Water
Going with the flow

About the Author

Simon Long is The Economists Banyan columnist and Asia Editor. He has been based in Singapore since August 2010. Before that, he worked in London for four years, as the magazines Asia Editor, and for four years prior to that as South Asia Bureau Chief based in Delhi. He joined The Economist in 1995, as South-East Asia correspondent, based in Bangkok. In 1998 he returned to London as Finance and Economics Editor. In 2000 he became the deputy head of Global Agenda, The Economists updated internet service, before moving to Delhi. He had previously spent nine years with the BBC, as an analyst on East Asian affairs based in London, as Beijing correspondent from 1989 to 1991, and Hong Kong correspondent from 1993. He wrote extensively for the Guardian newspaper, and many other outlets. He was for a number of years the author of Economist Intelligence Unit country reports on China, Taiwan and Hong Kong. In an earlier career as an investment banker, with Morgan Grenfell, he worked in London and Singapore, rising to the position of senior assistant director, responsible for the banking divisions Asian business.

He was educated at University College School, London; Trinity College, Cambridge (first class honours degree, oriental studies; senior scholar); Beijing Languages Institute; Nanjing University; and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Boston (Harkness Fellow).

Also by Simon Long :
Taiwan: Chinas last frontier

Pakistans army and the law
The men in black v the men in green

In daring to take on Pakistans army, the Supreme Court is striking a blow for the rule of law

IFTIKHAR CHAUDHRY, Pakistans chief justice, is not short of chutzpah. In 2007 he was sacked as a troublemaker by Pervez Musharraf, the former military dictator, after pursuing investigations into suspected killings by the security forces. The movement for his reinstatement played a big part in bringing Mr Musharraf down and restoring civilian government. But Mr Chaudhry has also been at odds with the new administrationso much so that President Asif Ali Zardaris men have painted him as a stooge of the army.

Now the judiciary is taking on the military establishment as well. It may be because Mr Chaudhrys court is sensitive to these slurs on its independence; it may be because it has genuinely come round to the view that the powers of the army need to be curbed. Either way, this development is to be applauded: as this special report argues, the armys belief in its impunity is one of the countrys biggest problems.

The seeds of the armys excessive power lie in Pakistans origins. Born out of India, and created through a bloody partition, the country has always feared being swallowed up by its bigger neighbour. As a result, it has had since inception an army that is too big for the countrys size, greedy for resources and dangerously interventionist.

The armys perception of itself as the guarantor of national security has led it to abuse its position. For half of Pakistans 64-year life, it has governed the country; for the other half, it has rigged elections, financed politicians it favoured and undermined those it didnt. Politicians who want to make peace with India are a particular target.

The armys power shapes Pakistani foreign policy, too. Soldiers are more focused than civilians on the military threat from India, and that fear has dangerously influenced the countrys dealings abroad. Pakistan plays a double game in Afghanistan, where the Taliban are at once its enemies (because they are the enemies of its ally America) and its friends (because they are the enemies of its enemy India). And few doubt that the Pakistani armys intelligence wing, the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has also been in cahoots with groups responsible for atrocities in India as well.

The Supreme Courts political role is another consequence of the way the army has distorted the countrys political life. Long periods of military rule, when the courts were the civilians only defence against the soldiers, boosted the relative power of the judiciary while weakening the politicians. This has been compounded by Mr Chaudhrys determination to pursue corruption charges against President Zardari. In a country as riddled with graft as Pakistan, it is hard to complain about a judge trying to ferret out wrongdoing. But since Mr Zardari enjoys constitutional immunity, the practical effect of the judges onslaught will be to tie up the rest of the governments termunlikely to last until its natural conclusion in 2013with constitutional haggling.

At last the right target

So it is a relief that the Supreme Court is now turning its fire on the armed forces as well. It is to hear three petitions relating to the conduct of the army and the ISI. One petition asks what has happened to 11 alleged terrorists taken into custody, where four apparently died. Another tackles the security forces behaviour in a vicious counter-insurgency campaign in Baluchistan. The third dates all the way back to 1990 and the ISIs role in rigging an election.

By themselves, these cases will do little to shift the balance of power from the army to the civilians. Nothing that Pakistanis are likely to hear will surprise them. However, each case does touch on a different aspect of the many ways in which the security services have abused their power over the past few decades. Even the suggestion that soldiers accused of abuses might be brought to book would begin to erode the armys sense of impunity. It could also set the stage for Pakistan to begin to look at the much deeper problems relating to the armys exceptionally privileged role in public life.

Such an overhaul would involve changing the laws that remove much military activity from civilian jurisdiction and tackling its outsized role in the economy. The country needs to spend less of its money on soldiers and more on educating its people: with its literacy rate a shameful 58%, Pakistan is below far poorer countries such as Haiti and Congo. There is a huge amount to set right. But the move by the judiciary against the army could at least start to make Pakistans army accountable, if not to the political process, then at least to the law.

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