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Gregory D. Koblentz - Living Weapons: Biological Warfare and International Security

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Gregory D. Koblentz Living Weapons: Biological Warfare and International Security
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Biological weapons are widely feared, yet rarely used. Biological weapons were the first weapon prohibited by an international treaty, yet the proliferation of these weapons increased after they were banned in 1972. Biological weapons are frequently called the poor mans atomic bomb, yet they cannot provide the same deterrent capability as nuclear weapons. One of my goals in this book is to explain the underlying principles of these apparent paradoxes.--from Living WeaponsBiological weapons are the least well understood of the so-called weapons of mass destruction. Unlike nuclear and chemical weapons, biological weapons are composed of, or derived from, living organisms. In Living Weapons, Gregory D. Koblentz provides a comprehensive analysis of the unique challenges that biological weapons pose for international security. At a time when the United States enjoys overwhelming conventional military superiority, biological weapons have emerged as an attractive means for less powerful states and terrorist groups to wage asymmetric warfare.Koblentz also warns that advances in the life sciences have the potential to heighten the lethality and variety of biological weapons. The considerable overlap between the equipment, materials and knowledge required to develop biological weapons, conduct civilian biomedical research, and develop biological defenses creates a multiuse dilemma that limits the effectiveness of verification, hinders civilian oversight, and complicates threat assessments.Living Weapons draws on the American, Soviet, Russian, South African, and Iraqi biological weapons programs to enhance our understanding of the special challenges posed by these weapons for arms control, deterrence, civilian-military relations, and intelligence. Koblentz also examines the aspirations of terrorist groups to develop these weapons and the obstacles they have faced. Biological weapons, Koblentz argues, will continue to threaten international security until defenses against such weapons are improved, governments can reliably detect biological weapon activities, the proliferation of materials and expertise is limited, and international norms against the possession and use of biological weapons are strengthened.

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LIVING WEAPONS
Biological Warfare
and International Security
GREGORY D. KOBLENTZ
CORNELL UNIVERSITY PRESS
ITHACA AND LONDON
For Linda and Kai
CONTENTS
Acknowledgments
Acronyms and Scientific Terms
Introduction: The Threat of Biological Weapons
1. Offense, Defense, and Deterrence
2. Verification
3. Oversight
4. Intelligence
5. Biological Terrorism
Conclusion: Reducing the Danger Posed by Biological Weapons
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This book would not have been possible without the help of many colleagues, friends, and family members. I thank Stephen Van Evera for his inspiration, support, and mentoring. I also learned a great deal from Harvey Sapolsky, Thomas Christensen, Sandy Weiner, Barry Posen, Ken Oye, and Geoffrey Forden.
I also thank Robert Art, Alexander Downes, Linda Fu, Martin Furmanski, Gene Godbold, Jeanne Guillemin, Kendall Hoyt, Judith Koblentz, Joel Koblentz, Milton Leitenberg, Sean Lynn-Jones, Alan Pearson, Julian Perry Robinson, Elizabeth Stanley, Seth Stern, Jonathan B. Tucker, John Ellis van Courtland Moon, Margaret Sloane, and Kathleen Vogel for carefully reading previous drafts and providing excellent feedback. I am also grateful for comments from the participants in seminars at the Massachusetts Institute for Technologys Security Studies Program, Harvard Universitys Olin Institute for Strategic Studies, the Fourth Annual New Faces Conference at the Triangle Institute for Security Studies, and Georgetown Universitys Program in Science, Technology and International Affairs. I am indebted to Matthew Meselson, John Moon, and Jack McGeorge for generously providing access to their archives and sharing their encyclopedic knowledge of biological weapons.
My colleagues in the Department of Public and International Affairs and the Biodefense Graduate Program at George Mason University, especially Robert Dudley, Frances Harbour, Sonia Ben Ouagrham-Gormley, and Robert Baker, have been tremendously helpful and supportive. I have also benefited enormously from stimulating discussions with my colleagues in the Scientists Working Group on Biological and Chemical Weapons at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation. I would also like to acknowledge the generous financial support of the MacArthur Foundation, Carnegie Corporation, and the John Anson Kittredge Educational Fund.
Finally, I would like to thank my loving wife, Linda Fu, whose encouragement and support sustained me throughout the entire process.
ACRONYMS AND SCIENTIFIC TERMS
B. anthracisBacillus anthracis (anthrax)
B. melitensiBrucella melitensis (brucellosis)
B. malleiBurkholderia mallei (glanders)
B. pseudomalleiBurkholderia pseudomallei (melioidosis)
BNDBundesnachrichtendienst (Federal Intelligence Service, Germany)
BtBacillus thuringiensis
BWbiological weapon(s)
BWCBiological Weapons Conventionformally, the Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production, and Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on their Destruction (1972)
C. psittaciChlamydia psittaci (psittacosis)
C. botulinumClostridium botulinum (botulism)
C. perfringensClostridium perfringens (gas gangrene)
C. burnetiiCoxiella burnetii (Q fever)
CBMconfidence-building measure
CBWchemical and biological weapons
CDCCenters for Disease Control and Prevention
CEDCChemical Engineering Design Center (Iraq)
CMCCoordinating Management Committee (South Africa)
CWchemical weapon(s)
CWCChemical Weapons Conventionformally, Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production, Stockpiling and Use of Chemical Weapons and on their Destruction (1993)
CIACentral Intelligence Agency
DCIDirector of Central Intelligence
DIADefense Intelligence Agency
DNIDirector of National Intelligence
DODDepartment of Defense
F. tularensisFrancisella tularensis (tularemia)
FDAFood and Drug Administration
FFCDFull, Final, and Complete Disclosure
FBIFederal Bureau of Investigation
GRUGlavnoye Razvedyvatelnoye Upravlenie (Main Intelligence Administration, USSR/Russia)
HHSDepartment of Health and Human Services
HUMINTintelligence from human sources
IAEAInternational Atomic Energy Agency
IISIraqi Intelligence Service (Mukhabarat)
INCIraqi National Congress
ISGIraq Survey Group
ISUImplementation Support Unit of the BWC
KGBKomitet Gosudarstvennoi Bezopasnosti (State Security Committee, USSR)
NARANational Archives and Records Administration
NATONorth Atlantic Treaty Organization
NBACCNational Biodefense Analysis and Countermeasures Center
NIENational Intelligence Estimate
NIHNational Institutes of Health
NSANational Security Archives
NSABBNational Science Advisory Board for Biosecurity
OMVongoing monitoring and verification
OTAOffice of Technology Assessment
R. prowazekiiRickettsia prowazekii (typhus)
RRLRoodeplaat Research Laboratory (South Africa)
S. TyphimuriumSalmonella Typhimurium (salmonellosis)
S. TyphiSalmonella Typhi (typhoid fever)
SADFSouth African Defense Force
SCPsingle-cell protein
SIPRIStockholm International Peace Research Institute
SISSecret Intelligence Service (United Kingdom; also known as MI6)
SNIESpecial National Intelligence Estimate
Spp.species
SSCISenate Select Committee on Intelligence
T. indicaTilletia indica (wheat cover smut fungus)
TRCTruth and Reconciliation Commission (South Africa)
TRCTechnical Research Center (Iraq)
TSMIDTechnical and Scientific Materials Import Division (Iraq)
USAMRIIDUnited States Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases
UNSCUnited Nations Security Council
UNSCOMUnited Nations Special Commission
UNMOVICUnited Nations Monitoring, Verification, and Inspection Commission
VEEVenezuelan equine encephalitis
VEREXAd Hoc Group of Government Experts to Identify and Examine Verification Measures from a Scientific and Technical Standpoint
V. choleraeVibrio cholera (cholera)
variolasmallpox virus
WHOWorld Health Organization
WINPACWeapons Intelligence, Nonproliferation, and Arms Control (CIA)
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