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George Beebe - The Russia Trap: How Our Shadow War with Russia Could Spiral Into Nuclear Catastrophe

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A must read for anyone who cares about our nations security in these cyber-serious, hair-trigger times. Susan EisenhowerEvery American president since the end of the Cold War has called for better relations with Russia. But each has seen relations get worse by the time he left office. Now the two countries are facing off in a virtual war being fought without clear goals or boundaries.Why? Many say it is because Washington has been slow to wake up to Russian efforts to destroy democracy in America and the world.But a former head of Russia analysis at the CIA says that this misunderstands the problem. George Beebe argues that new game-changing technologies, disappearing rules of the game, and distorted perceptions on both sides are combining to lock Washington and Moscow into an escalatory spiral that they do not recognize. All the pieces are in place for a World War I-type tragedy that could be triggered by a small, unpredictable event. The Russia Trap shows that anticipating this danger is the most important step in preventing it.

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Transcribers Note The cover image was created by the transcriber and is placed - photo 1
Transcribers Note:
The cover image was created by the transcriber and is placed in the public domain.
RUSSIA
IN THE SHADOWS
H. G. WELLS
STREET SCENERY IN PETERSBURG:
SITE OF A DEMOLISHED WOODEN HOUSE
Frontispiece.
RUSSIA IN THE SHADOWS
BY
H. G. WELLS
AUTHOR OF THE OUTLINE OF HISTORY, MR. BRITLING SEES IT THROUGH, ETC., ETC.
ILLUSTRATED
NEW YORK
GEORGE H. DORAN COMPANY
COPYRIGHT, 1921,
BY GEORGE H. DORAN COMPANY
PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
CONTENTS
CHAPTERPAGE
IPetersburg in Collapse
IIDrift and Salvage
IIIThe Quintessence of Bolshevism
IVThe Creative Effort in Russia
VThe Petersburg Soviet: A Legislative Mass Meeting
VIThe Dreamer in the Kremlin
VIIThe Envoy
ILLUSTRATIONS
PLATE
IStreet Scenery in Petersburg: Site of Demolished Wooden House
PAGE
IIStreet Scenery in Petersburg
Mr. Wells Discovers a Street under Repair
IIIA Petersburg Street Car En Route
Messrs. Lenin and Wells in Conversation
IVGorky in the Great Dump of Art and Virtuosity in Petersburg
VThe Statue of Marx outside the Smolny Institute (Headquarters of the Communist Party)
VIThe Baku Conference Swears Undying Hostility to Capitalism and British Imperialism: Zenovieff, Radek and Bela Kun
VIIThe Baku Conference Swears Undying Hostility to Capitalism and British Imperialism: The Body of the Hall
VIIIProletarians of Asia la Baku
IXGuests at the Home of Rest for Workmen on the Kamenni Ostrof
XThe Petersburg Soviet in Session: Lenin at the Rostrum, Zenovieff and the President, Officials and Official Visitors
XILenin, Gorky, Zorin, Zenovieff and Radek
RUSSIA IN THE SHADOWS
I
PETERSBURG IN COLLAPSE
In January 1914 I visited Petersburg and Moscow for a couple of weeks; in September 1920 I was asked to repeat this visit by Mr. Kameney, of the Russian Trade Delegation in London. I snatched at this suggestion, and went to Russia at the end of September with my son, who speaks a little Russian. We spent a fortnight and a day in Russia, passing most of our time in Petersburg, where we went about freely by ourselves, and were shown nearly everything we asked to see. We visited Moscow, and I had a long conversation with Mr. Lenin, which I shall relate. In Petersburg I did not stay at the Hotel International, to which foreign visitors are usually sent, but with my old friend, Maxim Gorky. The guide and interpreter assigned to assist us was a lady I had met in Russia in 1914, the niece of a former Russian Ambassador to London. She was educated at Newnham, she has been imprisoned five times by the Bolshevist Government, she is not allowed to leave Petersburg because of an attempt to cross the frontier to her children in Esthonia, and she was, therefore, the last person likely to lend herself to any attempt to hoodwink me. I mention this because on every hand at home and in Russia I had been told that the most elaborate camouflage of realities would go on, and that I should be kept in blinkers throughout my visit.
As a matter of fact, the harsh and terrible realities of the situation in Russia cannot be camouflaged. In the case of special delegations, perhaps, a certain distracting tumult of receptions, bands, and speeches may be possible, and may be attempted. But it is hardly possible to dress up two large cities for the benefit of two stray visitors, wandering observantly often in different directions. Naturally, when one demands to see a school or a prison one is not shown the worst. Any country would in the circumstances show the best it had, and Soviet Russia is no exception. One can allow for that.
Our dominant impression of things Russian is an impression of a vast irreparable breakdown. The great monarchy that was here in 1914 and the administrative, social, financial, and commercial systems connected with it have, under the strains of six years of incessant war, fallen down and smashed utterly. Never in all history has there been so great a dbcle before. The fact of the Revolution is, to our minds, altogether dwarfed by the fact of this downfall. By its own inherent rottenness and by the thrusts and strains of aggressive imperialism the Russian part of the old civilised world that existed before 1914 fell, and is now gone. The peasant, who was the base of the old pyramid, remains upon the land, living very much as he has always lived. Everything else is broken down, or is breaking down. Amid this vast disorganisation an emergency Government, supported by a disciplined party of perhaps 150,000 adherentsthe Communist Partyhas taken control. It hasat the price of much shootingsuppressed brigandage, established a sort of order and security in the exhausted towns, and set up a crude rationing system.
It is, I would say at once, the only possible Government in Russia at the present time. It is the only idea, it supplies the only solidarity, left in Russia. But it is a secondary fact. The dominant fact for the Western reader, the threatening and disconcerting fact, is that a social and economic system very like our own and intimately connected with our own has crashed.
Nowhere in all Russia is the fact of that crash so completely evident as it is in Petersburg. Petersburg was the artificial creation of Peter the Great; his bronze statue in the little garden near the Admiralty still prances amid the ebbing life of the city. Its palaces are still and empty, or strangely refurnished with the typewriters and tables and plank partitions of a new Administration which is engaged chiefly in a strenuous struggle against famine and the foreign invader. Its streets were streets of busy shops. In 1914 I loafed agreeably in the Petersburg streetsbuying little articles and watching the abundant traffic. All these shops have ceased. There are perhaps half a dozen shops still open in Petersburg. There is a Government crockery shop where I bought a plate or so as a souvenir, for seven or eight hundred roubles each, and there are a few flower shops. It is a wonderful fact, I think, that in this city, in which most of the shrinking population is already nearly starving, and hardly any one possesses a second suit of clothes or more than a single change of worn and patched linen, flowers can be and are still bought and sold. For five thousand roubles, which is about six and eightpence at the current rate of exchange, one can get a very pleasing bunch of big chrysanthemums.
I do not know if the words all the shops have ceased convey any picture to the Western reader of what a street looks like in Russia. It is not like Bond Street or Piccadilly on a Sunday, with the blinds neatly drawn down in a decorous sleep, and ready to wake up and begin again on Monday. The shops have an utterly wretched and abandoned look; paint is peeling off, windows are cracked, some are broken and boarded up, some still display a few flyblown relics of stock in the window, some have their windows covered with notices; the windows are growing dim, the fixtures have gathered two years dust. They are dead shops. They will never open again.
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