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Ben Lambert 2018
First published 2018
Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988, this publication may be reproduced, stored or transmitted in any form, or by any means, only with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction, in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers.
Library of Congress Control Number: 2017942214
British Library Cataloguing in Publication data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
ISBN 978-1-4739-1635-7
ISBN 978-1-4739-1636-4 (pbk)
Editor: Jai Seaman
Editorial assistant: Alysha Owen
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Cover design: Bhairvi Gudka
Typeset by: C&M Digitals (P) Ltd, Chennai, India
Printed in the UK
For Mum and Dad
Online resources
A Students Guide to Bayesian Statisticsis supported by online resources to aid study and help you get to grips with everything Bayesian. These are available at https://study.sagepub.com/lambert .
Watch and learn! Over sixty author videosprovide definitions, tips, and examples surrounding the key topics of each chapter.
Test yourself! Answers to the in-text problem setswill help you check your work and identify areas where you might need more practice.
Acknowledgements
Some book acknowledgements are perfunctory; more a product of custom than an actual need to acknowledge the real contribution of others. Not in this case. I very much owe the contents of these pages to the efforts of others. This section is my insufficient effort to recognise the altruism of those people.
I first would like to thank those who helped me to write, shuffle, and remove the words in the various drafts of this book. In the books initial phase, Heather Harrington and Paul Kirk graciously provided me with useful feedback. My dad, Jean-Michel Johnston and Fergus Cooper benevolently gave up far too much time to reading various drafts of this work; your feedback has been invaluable in shaping this work. The Stan software forum has been an extremely useful source of information and the developers answers to my Stan-related questions has helped to shape the second half of this book. Singling out a few Stan people, I would like to thank Bob Carpenter, Michael Betancourt and Andrew Gelman.
At SAGE, I would first like to thank Katie Metzler (and, although not a Sager, Nick Allum) who helped start the process of getting this book made.