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Spencer Jakab - The Revolution That Wasnt: Gamestop, Reddit, and the Fleecing of Small Investors

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Spencer Jakab The Revolution That Wasnt: Gamestop, Reddit, and the Fleecing of Small Investors
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The Revolution That Wasnt: Gamestop, Reddit, and the Fleecing of Small Investors: summary, description and annotation

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The saga of GameStop and other meme stocks is revealed with the skill of a thrilling whodunit. Jakab writes with an anti-Midas touch. If he touched gold, he would bring it to life. Burton G. Malkiel, author of A Random Walk Down Wall Street
From Wall Street Journal columnist Spencer Jakab, the real story of the GameStop squeezeand the surprising winners of a rigged game.
During one crazy week in January 2021, a motley crew of retail traders on Reddits r/wallstreetbets forum had seemingly done the impossiblethey had brought some of the biggest, richest players on Wall Street to their knees. Their weapon was GameStop, a failing retailer whose shares briefly became the most-traded security on the planet and the subject of intense media coverage.
The Revolution That Wasnt is the riveting story of how the meme stock squeeze unfolded, and of the real architects (and winners) of the GameStop rally. Drawing on his years as a stock analyst at a major bank, Jakab exposes technological and financial innovations such as Robinhoods habit-forming smartphone app as ploys to get our dollars within the larger story of evolving social and economic pressures. The surprising truth? What appeared to be a watershed momenta revolution that stripped the ultra-powerful hedge funds of their market influence, placing power back in the hands of everyday investorsonly tilted the odds further in the houses favor.
Online brokerages love to talk about empowerment and democratizing finance while profiting from the mistakes and volatility created by novice investors. In this nuanced analysis, Jakab shines a light on the often-misunderstood profit motives and financial mechanisms to show how this so-called revolution is, on balance, a bonanza for Wall Street. But, Jakab argues, there really is a way for ordinary investors to beat the pros: by refusing to play their game.

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Copyright 2022 by Spencer Jakab Penguin supports copyright Copyright fuels - photo 4

Copyright 2022 by Spencer Jakab

Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin to continue to publish books for every reader.

ISBN: 9780593421154 (hardcover)

ISBN: 9780593421161 (ebook)

book design by chris welch, adapted for ebook by estelle malmed

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To my three apes,Jonah, Elliott, and Danny

Contents
Introduction

Ill never forget the day I found out that my sons were degenerates.

With my newsroom shut by COVID-19, I was working from home the morning of January 25, 2021, when I stopped editing a column for the next days Wall Street Journal midsentence to see what they had been up to on the internet. After less than ten minutes of scrolling, I began to draft an email. It wasnt to their mom or their principal or even a child psychologist. It was to the publisher of the book youre holding in your hands.

My oldest boy, a college senior, and my youngest, a high school freshman, were members of a subreddit called r/wallstreetbets whose members call one another degenerates, apes, and some even less flattering names. I had been aware of social networking site Reddits freewheeling stock market forum for about a year at that pointan irreverent alternative to its older, more buttoned-down r/investing board. In the months before the pandemic, with the market booming, every week or so some random stock would jump on heavy volume because its members had started to buy it en masse. As far as I was concerned, it was an amped-up version of the infamous Yahoo stock message boards of the late 1990s. I would soon learn that I had woefully underestimated modern social media and the power of the latest smartphone-based, commission-free trading apps.

When the economy ground to a halt and stocks plunged as the world grasped the severity of the pandemic, older, grayer investors once again failed to follow their own advice about buying when others were panicking. Not the degenerates, thoughmaybe because they didnt know any better. The amateurs plunged in, and soon they were running circles around investing legends like Warren Buffett. But they were doing dumb things too like buying the shares of bankrupt companies or snapping up stocks with names that sounded like ones mentioned on Twitter by Elon Musk but that actually were worthless shells. Traders and fund managers thought it was hilarious. From what I saw and heard that morning, though, Wall Street wouldnt be laughing anymore.

My oldest son had prompted my deep dive into the subreddit by asking whether I was writing something about GameStop. The reason was that a friend of his, a bright boy I had known since they were both in kindergarten, had bought shares in the video game retailer after reading about it on WallStreetBets (WSB) and had nearly doubled his money in a couple of days. When I said he should count himself lucky and sell and he said he absolutely wouldnt, I was intrigued and began to read the forum.

With three sons, I was all too familiar with GameStop. I had driven them there countless times as they bought discs and then later traded them in for different ones. From editing columns about the chain over the years and from my sons recent preference for bypassing the store and buying digital games online, I knew it was a dying businesssort of like Blockbuster Video after Netflix really started to take off. This was so obvious that it seemed like every hedge fund manager on Wall Street had piled into a bet that its share price was eventually headed to zero.

But the pros suddenly found themselves facing a group that wasnt interested in cash flows or when the next Xbox was coming out. If a stock went up for a week, or a day, or even a few hours and they sold it in time, the degenerates were happy. Over the past year or so, they had noticed that some stocks rose simply because they and a lot of strangers they had met on Reddit bought them. There was power in numbers.

Now they were playing a new and dangerous gameruining the lives of hedge fund bosses. There were more than two million members of WallStreetBets by that day, and the groups membership would quadruple within a couple of weeks as they shocked the financial establishment.

Some users had grasped that investment funds were exposed to unlimited losses because they had engaged in a technique called short selling, which allowed them to profit if stock prices fellthe opposite of what most investors do. The funds bet against GameStop was so popular that it had left them with a very narrow escape hatch if the price started to rise sharply for some reason. With brokers like Robinhood allowing inexperienced traders to buy stocks using borrowed money and to employ derivatives that acted like a force multiplier, the amateurs had the means to do some serious damage.

They also had the motive. There was a lot of resentment in America at wealth inequality and what seemed like two sets of rulesone for the rich and connected and another for everybody else. Their formative experiences had included struggling to repay student loans and seeing their parents struggle during the financial crisis. What had started out as a way to have fun and make some money gained a special frisson: exacting revenge on the architects of a rigged system.

Intuitive, colorful apps made it surprisingly easy for a generation that had grown up glued to their phones. Bored and stuck at home during the pandemic, they found speculating on the stock market and comparing notes with strangers online even more exciting than betting on sports and, in a bull market, a whole lot more lucrative too. With nearly every stock going up, the challenge wasnt to pick a winner but to find a trade that would make it rain money. Meme-loving influencers who were rich, but the good kind of rich, were all too happy to make suggestions.

The new class of investors didnt trust traditional Wall Street advice, yet many were more than willing to take their cues from those influencers, and from fellow Redditors. Now some members of WallStreetBets who seemed to know a lot about arcane financial subjects like short selling and derivatives were talking about an investing opportunity that was a twofera way to make a bundle and to send some people who were the bad kind of rich to the poorhouse. The only thing was that you needed diamond handsto hold on no matter how high the stock went. That was why my sons friend wouldnt sell.

Secretly setting up a stock market corner in which you squeeze a short seller dry by snapping up all the available shares was the sort of thing that happened all the time in 1921, but not in 2021. It has long been illegal. But what if, instead of a few rich people doing it behind closed doors, a few million strangers with small accounts did it in full public view? Even if regulators cried foul, what on earth were they going to do about it?

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