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Archie Brown - The Human Factor: Gorbachev, Reagan, and Thatcher, and the End of the Cold War

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Archie Brown The Human Factor: Gorbachev, Reagan, and Thatcher, and the End of the Cold War
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What brought about an end to the Cold War has long been a subject of speculation and mythology. One prominent argument is that the United States simply bankrupted the Soviet Union, outspending the Soviets on the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI, or Star Wars) and forcing a reckoning. Archie Browns latest work rejects any simple answers. The Human Factor focuses on the human element, and in particular on the main figures involved--Mikhail Gorbachev, Ronald Reagan, and Margaret Thatcher. His book looks at them both as individuals and as engaged in a dynamic that between 1985, when Gorbachev came to power and 1989, when Reagan left office, brought about not only an easing of East-West tensions but a great deal more. Brown argues that the Cold War ended at an ideological level with Mikhail Gorbachevs speech at the United Nations in December 1988, when he announced that the people of every country had the right to choose their own government. The Cold War ended on the ground when the peoples of Eastern Europe took Gorbachev at his word in 1989 and Soviet troops were ordered to stay in their barracks.
The standard narrative of the end of the Cold War--that it was won by the threat of Western (especially American) military power and spending--has underpinned support for the use of force in the Middle East (including the invasion of Iraq in 2003), the expansion of NATO, and advocacy of a hard line toward contemporary Russia. On the other side of the divide, the view that the United States set out to break up the Soviet Union and undermine Russia is widely accepted in Russia today and has led to a hardening of both domestic and foreign policy. Vladimir Putins high popularity ratings owe much to his being perceived as the leader who restored Russian pride and great power status. Brown ultimately confronts standard, monocausal explanations for the end of the Cold War and does so by offering a nuanced and deeply personal account of the three individuals most responsible for bringing it about.

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The Human Factor Books by the Same Author The Myth of the Strong Leader - photo 1
The Human Factor
Books by the Same Author

The Myth of the Strong Leader: Political Leadership in the Modern Age (2014; with updating new Foreword, 2018)

Counter-intuitive but splendidly argued an ambitious work made more compelling by its breadth, Washington Post

A profound, and wise, bookone of the most important works on politics for a long time, Sir Ian Kershaw

Brown is both an outstanding political scholar and an elegant, witty writer, The Guardian

The Rise and Fall of Communism (2009)

Consistently superb, New York Times

A grimly humorous and richly anecdotal study, Financial Times (Books of the Year)

Superb A hugely readable book, Daily Telegraph

Seven Years that Changed the World: Perestroika in Perspective (2007)

Archie Brown is the dean of Gorbachev experts, Sir Rodric Braithwaite, Moscow Times

the Western scholar who recognized first and most fully the remarkable leadership talents and radical reformist instincts of Gorbachev, Thomas F. Remington, The Russian Review

Archie Browns knowledge of Gorbachev and Gorbachevism is unsurpassed, Vladimir Tismaneanu, Perspectives on Politics

The Gorbachev Factor (1996)

A rich study, as impressive in its sweep as in its details, New York Times

The most fundamental of all the books on perestroika, Sergei Peregudov, Polis (Moscow)

The fullest and most objective analysis of the perestroika period in Western scholarly literature, Georgiy Shakhnazarov, Svobodnaya mysl (Moscow)

The Human Factor Gorbachev Reagan and Thatcher and the End of the Cold War - image 2

Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the Universitys objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and certain other countries.

Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press

198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016, United States of America.

Archie Brown 2020

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above.

You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer.

A copy of this books Cataloging-in-Publication Data is on file with the Library of Congress.

ISBN 9780190614898

ebook ISBN 9780190614911

1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2

Printed by Sheridan Books, Inc., United States of America

Contents

Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty

African National Congress

British Broadcasting Corporation Summary of World Broadcasts

Central Committee [of Communist Party]

Conventional Forces in Europe

Central Intelligence Agency (US foreign intelligence service)

Commonwealth of Independent States

Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (of USSR and Eastern Europe, known in the West as Comecon)

Coordinating Committee for Multilateral Export Controls

Centre for Policy Studies (UK)

Communist Party of the Soviet Union

Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe

Federal Bureau of Investigation (US domestic intelligence and security organization)

Foreign Broadcast Information Service (USA)

Foreign and Commonwealth Office (UK) [also FO, Foreign Office]

Freedom of Information (Act, UK)

Federal German Republic (West Germany, prior to German unification, and united Germany today)

Government Communications Headquarters (UK government intelligence-gathering organization)

German Democratic Republic (East Germany when under Communist rule)

transparency, openness

State Planning Committee of USSR

Hoover Institution Archives (Stanford, California)

intercontinental ballistic missile

International Department (of the Central Committee of the CPSU)

Institute of World Economy and International Relations

intermediate-range nuclear forces

researchers in academic, especially policy-related, institutes

Komitet gusudarstvennoy bezopastnosti (Committee of State Security)

Mutually Assured Destruction

memorandum of conversation

Soviet specialists on international affairs

Ministry of Foreign Affairs (USSR)

common name for UK Secret Intelligence Service (SIS)

Multiple Independently Targeted Re-Entry Vehicle

Narodnyy komissariat vnutrennikh del (Peoples Commissariat of Internal Affairs, a forerunner of the KGB)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization

National Intelligence Estimate (USA)

National Security Agency (US Department of Defense)

National Security Archive (George Washington University)

National Security Council (USA)

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (formerly CSCE)

reconstruction; and the name for the period (198591) when Mikhail Gorbachev was Soviet leader

Partito Comunista Italiano (Italian Communist Party)

Royal United Services Institute (UK)

Screen Actors Guild

Strategic Arms Limitation Talks

Strategic Defense Initiative (Reagans anti-ballistic missile project)

Russian term for those who work in agencies with coercive force at their disposal (internal security forces and the military), also known as the power ministries

submarine-launched ballistic missile

Strategic Arms Reduction Talks

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (Soviet Union)

Collective defence treaty of Soviet and East European Communist states

I use East Europe, with capital letters, to refer to that part of Europe under Communist rule. This term was in use throughout the Cold War to describe what was a political, rather than geographical, entity. East (or Eastern) Europe contained both east and central European states, but the longer and geographically more precise wording is used only occasionally in the book, for its repetition would be a cumbersome substitute for the easily understood politically defined term. For the post-Communist period, in contrast, it would be nonsensical to refer to the Czech Republic (for example) as part of east (or East) Europe.

There is always a tension between consistency and familiarity in transliteration from Russian, especially where peoples names are concerned. In the bibliographical references in the endnotes and, for the most part, in the main text, I have used y for and also for , yu for , ya for , and iy for . I have made exceptions, however. Thus, Andrei Gromyko and Andrei Sakharov were better known in the West as Andrei than as Andrey and they remain Andrei in this book. With names such as Georgiy and Anatoliy, I have preferred familiarity to precise transliteration: thus, Georgy and Anatoly. Use of the Russian soft sign has been avoided, other than in the endnote referencesthus, Yeltsin rather than Yeltsin and glasnost rather than glasnost

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