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Chad C. Serena - It Takes More Than a Network: The Iraqi Insurgency and Organizational Adaptation

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Chad C. Serena It Takes More Than a Network: The Iraqi Insurgency and Organizational Adaptation
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It Takes More than a Network presents a structured investigation of the Iraqi insurgencys capacity for and conduct of organizational adaptation. In particular, it answers the question of why the Iraqi insurgency was seemingly so successful between 2003 and late 2006 and yet nearly totally collapsed by 2008. The books main argument is that the Iraqi insurgency failed to achieve longer-term organizational goals because many of its organizational strengths were also its organizational weaknesses: these characteristics abetted and then corrupted the Iraqi insurgencys ability to adapt. The book further compares the organizational adaptation of the Iraqi insurgency with the organizational adaptation of the Afghan insurgency. This is done to refine the findings of the Iraq case and to present a more robust analysis of the adaptive cycles of two large and diverse covert networked insurgencies. The book finds that the Afghan insurgency, although still ongoing, has adapted more successfully than the Iraqi insurgency because it has been better able to leverage the strengths and counter the weaknesses of its chosen organizational form.

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Stanford University Press
Stanford, California
2014 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University.
All rights reserved.
The views expressed here are those solely of the author and do not reflect the views or opinions of the RAND Corporation or its sponsors.
No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system without the prior written permission of Stanford University Press.
Printed in the United States of America on acid-free, archival-quality paper
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Serena, Chad C., author
It takes more than a network : the Iraqi insurgency and organizational adaptation / Chad C. Serena.
pages cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-0-8047-8903-5 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-8047-9045-1 (pbk : alk. paper)
1. InsurgencyIraq. 2. Iraq War, 20032011. 3. Organizational changeIraq. 4. Organizational effectivenessIraq. 5. InsurgencyAfghanistan. 6. Afghan War, 2001. I. Title.
DS79.76.S457 2014
956.7044'3dc23
2013043449
ISBN 978-0-8047-9046-8 (electronic)
Typeset at Stanford University Press in 10/14 Minion
Special discounts for bulk quantities of Stanford Security Studies are available to corporations, professional associations, and other organizations. For details and discount information, contact the special sales department of Stanford University Press. Tel: (650) 736-1782, Fax: (650) 736-1784
It Takes More than a Network
The Iraqi Insurgency and Organizational Adaptation
Chad C. Serena
Stanford Security Studies
An Imprint of Stanford University Press
Stanford, California
Contents
Acknowledgments
I owe a debt of gratitude to a number of friends and colleagues for their support and assistance; without their stewardship, efforts, and counsel, this book would not have been possible.
At the University of Pittsburgh, I am indebted to Phil Williams for his continued willingness to advise and assist me. I would also like to thank Dennis Gormley, Donald Goldstein, and Michael Brenner for their friendship and support.
At the RAND Corporation, I would like to thank my friend and colleague Colin Clarke for taking the time to review my work in detail, for availing his expertise, and for providing steady counsel.
At the U.S. Army War College, I would like to thank Steve Metz for his friendship and guidance. It was at his suggestion that I further developed the central thesis of this book. He was also largely responsible for putting me into contact with many of the people that I interviewed or had discussions with while researching this book.
I would especially like to acknowledge the many named and unnamed veterans of the U.S. Army who selflessly took the time to inform me with their experience and expertise. In particular, I would like to thank General (Ret.) Peter W. Chiarelli, Lieutenant General Daniel Bolger, Lieutenant General David Perkins, Major General H. R. McMaster, Colonel James Crider, and Colonel (Ret.) Peter Mansoor. These discussions helped to refine my thoughts and provided the appropriate context for my understanding of the subject of this book.
At Stanford University Press, I would like to thank Geoffrey Burn and James Holt for their editorial support and advice. I would also like to acknowledge and thank my reviewers: their comments and contributions helped to make this a better book.
Most important, I would like to thank my family for always being there to provide me with support, especially my wife, Mia. Words cannot express how much she means to me.
Acronyms and Abbreviations
AARAfter Action Review
AQIal Qaeda in Iraq
ASUActive Service Unit
C4ISRCommand, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
COMINTCommunications Intelligence
DODDepartment of Defense
ETIMEastern Turkestan Islamic Movement
EFPExplosively Formed Penetrators (and Projectiles)
EWElectronic Warfare
FATAFederally Administered Tribal Areas
FOBForward Operating Base
FREFormer Regime Elements
HiGHizb-i-Islami Gulbuddin
HUMINTHuman Intelligence
IEAIslamic Emirate of Afghanistan
IEDImprovised Explosive Device
IMUIslamic Movement of Uzbekistan
INPIraqi National Police
IRInfra-red
IRGCIslamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
ISFIraqi Security Forces
ISIInter-Services Intelligence
ITInformation Technology
JAMJaish al Mahdi
JIEDDOJoint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization
LeTLashkar-e Taiba
MDMPMilitary Decision Making Process
MSCMujahideen Shura Council
MTTMobile Training Team
NCTCNational Counterterrorism Center
NGONon-Governmental Organization
PDFPortable Document Format
PIRAProvisional Irish Republican Army
ROERules of Engagement
RPGRocket Propelled Grenade
SGCSpecial Group Criminals
SIGINTSignals Intelligence
SOPStanding Operating Procedure
STXSquad Training Exercise
SVBIEDSuicide Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Device
TNSMTehreek-e-Nafaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi
TTPTehreek-e Taliban (Pakistan)
UAVUnmanned Aerial Vehicle
Introduction
Between 2003 and 2008, there were no fewer than ninety named insurgent organizations in Iraq engaged in a struggle against the U.S.-led Coalition and a nascent Iraqi government. Many of these attacks were conducted against Coalition forces but many were also conducted against the Iraqi National Police (INP), the Iraqi Army, and Iraqi businessmen, educators, store owners, politicians, and civilians.
The actual size of the Iraqi insurgency is difficult to estimate.bership is used, then it may have had, potentially, 200,000 (minimum) to 2.7 million (maximum) underground supporters. These are quite large numbers in a country that currently has a population of roughly 30 million.
The Iraqi insurgency was unquestionably large and complex in terms of membership and composition. Adding to its complexity was its networked structure, disposition, and operations. Insurgent organizations operated on local, provincial, or regional levels. They were linked by shared membership, associations, familial ties, tribal affiliations, religion, ideology, needs, transaction structures, and the overarching goal of ridding Iraq of the U.S.-led Coalition and the government that the Coalition helped establish. These shared interests and the compelling goal of ousting what many viewed as a hostile occupying force were the unifying factors that both compelled the insurgency and gave it a measure of coherence. Few if any insurgent organizations had the capacity to conduct operations across the whole of Iraq, and none had the ability to coordinate operations countrywide on anything other than a very temporary basis. Nonetheless, the insurgency engulfed the Iraqi state: not as a structured whole but instead as a loose and shifting mosaic of small- and medium-size organizations sharing a mutual and broader interest. This phenomenon, although not sui generis or entirely new, had not been seen on this scale in previous insurgencies.
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