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Brewster - India and China at sea: competition for naval dominance in the Indian Ocean

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Brewster India and China at sea: competition for naval dominance in the Indian Ocean
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China and India are emerging as major maritime powers of the Indo-Pacific as part of long-term shifts in the regional balance of power. As their wealth, interests, and power expand, China and India will increasingly come into contact in the shared maritime security space of the Indo-Pacific. How India and China get along in that new context - cooperation, coexistence, competition, or confrontation - will be one of the key strategic challenges for the region of the twenty-first century. 00This book brings together top strategic analysts from India, China, the United States and Australia to better understand Indian and Chinese perspectives about their respective roles and relationship in the maritime domain and their evolving naval strategies towards each other. The strategic blind spots India and China have towards each other may be leading to ever greater competition in the maritime domain.;A Contest of Status and Legitimacy in the Indian Ocean -- Managing Maritime Competition between India and China -- The China Factor in Indian Ocean Policy of the Modi and Singh governments -- Limitations on Chinas Ability to Understand Indian Apprehensions about Chinas Rise as a Naval Power -- The Indian Ocean: A Grand Sino-Indian Game of Go -- Chinas Evolving Naval Presence in the Indian Ocean Region: An Indian Perspective -- Scenarios for Chinas Naval Deployment in the Indian Ocean and Indias Naval Response -- The Subsurface Dimension of Sino-Indian Maritime Rivalry -- Indias Evolving Maritime Domain Awareness Strategy in the Indian Ocean -- Indias Naval Interests in the Pacific -- The Maritime Silk Route and India: The Challenge of Overcoming Cognitive Divergence -- Chinas Evolving Strategy in the Indian Ocean Region: Risks in Chinas MSR Initiative -- India and China: Terms of Engagement inthe Western Indo-Pacific

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India and China at Sea

David Brewster hits the mark, yet again, with this topical anthology, offering incisive insights into ongoing strategic developments in the Indian Ocean; where delusional superpower, China faces off against apprehensive neighbour, India.

An eclectic selection of analysts present the reader with fascinating nuances of the maritime Great Game in progress; and leave him wondering if it will all end in tame capitulation (to an emerging hegemon) or dramatic dnouement (on the high seas)?

Admiral Arun Prakash, former Chief of Naval Staff,

Indian Navy

I have long argued that the ChinaIndia maritime rivalry will be a defining feature of geopolitics in the twenty-first century. As Chinas navy goes south to the Indian Ocean, Indias navy is going east to the Pacific. This very timely volume on India and China at Sea, with thought-provoking papers from several distinguished scholars and analysts from Australia, China, India, and the United States, makes an invaluable contribution to our understanding of the maritime ambitions and strategies of Asias rising powers and the complex maritime security challenges facing all sea-faring nationsbig and small. A must read for practitioners, policymakers, media persons, academics, and students of international affairs.

J. Mohan Malik, Professor of Asian Security,

Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, Honolulu

India and China at Sea

Competition for Naval Dominance in the Indian Ocean

edited by

David Brewster

India and China at sea competition for naval dominance in the Indian Ocean - image 1

India and China at sea competition for naval dominance in the Indian Ocean - image 2

Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford.

It furthers the Universitys objective of excellence in research, scholarship,

and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trademark of

Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries.

Published in India by

Oxford University Press

2/11 Ground Floor, Ansari Road, Daryaganj, New Delhi 110 002, India

Oxford University Press 2018

The moral rights of the authors have been asserted.

First Edition published in 2018

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in

a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the

prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted

by law, by licence, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics

rights organization. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the

above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the

address above.

You must not circulate this work in any other form

and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer.

ISBN-13 (print edition): 978-0-19-947933-7

ISBN-10 (print edition): 0-19-947933-X

ISBN-13 (eBook): 978-0-19-909168-3

ISBN-10 (eBook): 0-19-909168-4

Typeset in Adobe Garamond Pro 11/13

by The Graphics Solution, New Delhi 110 092

Printed in India by Replika Press Pvt. Ltd

Thanks to Christine, Jack, Juliette, Bronte, Essie,

and Artie for their patience, support,

and editorial assistance

Contents

David Brewster

Jingdong Yuan

Pramit Pal Chaudhuri

John Garver

You Ji

Srikanth Kondapalli

Raja Menon

Iskander Rehman

Darshana M. Baruah

Abhijit Singh

Zhu Li

Jabin T. Jacob

Rory Medcalf

This book is the outcome of a project undertaken by the Australia India Institute, University of Melbourne, with the generous support of the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation.

ADIZAir Defence Identification Zone
ANIAndaman and Nicobar Islands
ASCMsanti-ship cruise missiles
ASWanti-submarine warfare
ASUWanti-surface warfare
ASEANAssociation of Southeast Asian Nations
AWACSAirborne Warning and Control System
AUSINDEXIndiaAustralia biennial exercises
BCIMBangladeshChinaIndiaMyanmar
BCIM-ECBangladeshChinaIndiaMyanmar Economic Corridor
BECABasic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement
CNACenter for Naval Analyse
CSGcarrier strike group
CPECChinaPakistan Economic Corridor
CUESCode for Unplanned Encounters at Sea
CISMOACommunications and Information Security Memorandum of Agreement
DPPDemocratic Progressive Party
EEZExclusive Economic Zone
EAMFExpanded ASEAN Maritime Forum
HADRhumanitarian assistance and disaster relief
IMACInformation Management and Analysis Centre
IORIndian Ocean Region
IORAIndian Ocean Rim Association
ISLsInternational Shipping Lanes
JMSDFJapanese Maritime Self Defence Forces
LAClines of actual control
LACMsland attack cruise missiles
LPDsLanding Platform Docks
LEMOALogistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement
LSALogistics Support Agreement
MCMVsmine countermeasure vessels
MDAmaritime domain awareness
MSRMaritime Silk Route
MODMinistry of Defence
MPAmaritime patrol aircraft
SSNsnuclear attack submarines
OBOROne Belt One Road
PLAPeoples Liberation Army
PLANPeoples Liberation Army Navy
RFIRequest for Information
SLOCssea lines of communication
SIMBEXSingaporeIndia annual maritime exercises
SOFSpecial Operations Forces
SSBNsballistic missile nuclear submarines
SSKsdiesel-electric submarines
TELsTransporter Erector Launchers
UUVsunmanned underwater vehicles
USMCUS Marine Corps
VLSvertical launch systems
VLCCvery large crude carriers
WTOWorld Trade Organization

China and India are fast emerging as major maritime powers of the Indo-Pacific. As their wealth, power, and interests expand, they are increasingly coming into contact with each other in the maritime domain. How India and China get along in the shared Indo-Pacific maritime spacecooperation, coexistence, competition, or confrontationmay be one of the key strategic challenges for the region in the twenty-first century. The relationship between these powers is sometimes a difficult one: in particular, their security relationship is relatively volatile and there are numerous unresolved issues. Not least is Chinas growing presence in the Indian Ocean where it is perceived in New Delhi to be shaping the strategic environment and forming alignments that could be used against India.

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