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Economic forecasting--New York (State) , New York (State)--Economic conditions.
publication date
:
1988
lcc
:
HC107.N7N447 1988eb
ddc
:
338.5/443/09747
subject
:
Economic forecasting--New York (State) , New York (State)--Economic conditions.
Page iii
New York State in the Year 2000
Edited by Jeryl L. Mumpower and Warren F. Ilchman
State University of New York Press
Page iv
Published by State University of New York Press, Albany
1988 State University of New York
All rights reserved
Printed in the United States of America
No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews.
For information, address State University of New York Press, State University Plaza, Albany, N.Y., 12246
Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
New York State in the year 2000.
1. Economic forecastingNew York (State) 2. New York (State)Economic conditions. I. Mumpower, Jeryl, 1949- II. Ilchman, Warren Frederick. HC107.N7N447 1988 338.544309747 87-6486 ISBN 0-88706-602-X ISBN 0-88706-603-8 (pbk.)
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Page v
CONTENTS
Preface
ix
Prospectus
1
Forecasting the Future
3
Prospects for the Future of New York
7
Conclusion
13
Part I The Cross-Cutting Studies
Chapter 1. Population
19
Prospects for Population Growth
21
The Master Trend: The Changing Age Structure
43
New York as "The Golden Door": The Renewed Importance of Immigration
64
New York's Changing Racial and Ethnic Mosaic
85
New York's Families and Households
103
The Many New Yorks: The Demography of New York State's Regions
124
New York State on the Threshold of the Twenty-First Century
145
Appendix I: Methodology of the State Data Center Population Projections
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