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Manuel - This brave new world: India, China and the United States

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    This brave new world: India, China and the United States
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Part I: Setting the scene. Long memories -- The nations they built -- Economic takeoff -- Part II: Building a brave new world. Sharing the wealth -- Banishing bribes -- The young and the old -- Half the sky -- Energy vs. the environment -- Managing discontent -- Part III: Stepping onto the world stage. The new mercantilists -- The world they will make -- The next master and commander.;In the next decade and a half, China and India will be indispensable powers--whether they rise peacefully or not. During that time, Asia will surpass the combined strength of North America and Europe in economic might, population size, and military spending. Both India and China will have vetoes over many international decisions, from climate change to global trade, human rights, and business standards. From her front-row view of this colossal shift, first at the State Department and now as an advisor to American business leaders, Anja Manuel escorts the reader on an intimate tour of the corridors of power in Delhi and Beijing. Her encounters with political and business leaders reveal how each countrys history and politics influence its conduct today. Through vibrant stories, she reveals how they are both working to surmount enormous challenges--from the crushing poverty of Indian slum dwellers and Chinese factory workers, to outrageous corruption scandals, rotting rivers, unbreathable air, and managing their citizens discontent. We wring our hands about China, Manuel writes, while we underestimate India, which will be the most important country outside the West to shape Chinas rise. Manuel shows us that a different path is possible--we can bring China and India along as partners rather than alienating one or both, and thus extend our own enduring influence and leadership in the world--;The US has the power to shape the geopolitical future of this century. We must stop obsessing about China alone and actively encourage Indias enormous potential to balance Chinas power. India, China, and the US will be the twenty-first centurys dynamic triumvirate. The axial shift of world power from the United States and Europe to China and India is unrelenting. By 2030, intelligence agencies estimate that Asia will surpass the combined power of North America and Europe in economic might, population size, and military spending. From a front row seat Anja Manuel argues and demonstrates that India has the assets and structure to grow democratically to full strength and balance the Chinese hegemony and aggression while it takes its proper place in leadership with India and the US. In This Brave New World, Manuel takes the reader along on her business trips as she meets leaders and counts the assets and deficiencies of the two giant countries. India has a youthful, English-speaking population and democratic traditions, but it is inefficient, misogynist, and often corrupt. China has an aging population, no tradition of citizen rule, an ideological central government, and is ruthlessly expansionist. Indias democratic system slows it down; Chinas centralized authority races it erratically. Balancing these giants is the key to a prosperous and open global system and Americas opportunity to maintain its world power. In the present and near future the USs aim should be to embrace the inevitable rise of India and China and with them continue to lead the global governance. We must stop our handwringing about Chinas rise and focus instead, warns Manuel, on forging harmonious relationships with both giants, to create this brave new world--

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CONTENTS To my parents Oma and Opa for believing I can do anything to - photo 1
CONTENTS To my parents Oma and Opa for believing I can do anything to - photo 2
CONTENTS

To my parents, Oma, and Opa,

for believing I can do anything,

to Greg,

for being my partner in everything,

and for Alia and Alexei,

because it is your new world.

O wonder!

How many godly creatures are there here!

How beauteous mankind is!

O brave new world

That has such people in it!

William Shakespeare, The Tempest (161011)

He halted and, with bewildered and horrified eyes, stared round him.... The words mocked him derisively. How beauteous mankind is! O brave new world...

Aldous Huxley, Brave New World (1932)

MAIN CHARACTERS

INDIA

Mohandas Karamchand (the Mahatma) Gandhi (18691948) was the preeminent leader of the Indian independence movement and the pioneer of nonviolent civil disobedience, sparking many other such movements around the world. He was a lifelong advocate of religious pluralism and Hindu-Muslim cooperation and for a unified India. He was assassinated in 1948 by a Hindu fanatic.

Jawaharlal Nehru (18891964) was a key leader in the Indian independence movement and the Indian National Congress Party along with Mahatma Gandhi. He served as the first prime minister of India from independence in 1947 until his death in 1964. He was a strong supporter of democracy, freedom of religion and expression, and economic assistance to the poor, and is considered a key architect of the modern Indian state.

Muhammad Ali Jinnah (18761948) was an Indian Muslim leader who became the founder and first governor-general of Pakistan after Indian Independence, ruling until his early death from illness in 1948. A moderate Muslim who trained as a barrister in London, Jinnah later became concerned with how Muslims would be treated in a Hindu-dominated India and became a key figure in the creation of Pakistan in 1947.

Sonia Gandhi (1946 ) is an Italian-born Indian politician who has served as president of the Indian National Congress Party since 1998. A strong advocate for Indias poor and rural voters, she is the daughter-in-law of former Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and widow of former Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi.

Manmohan Singh (1932 ) is an Indian economist who served as the prime minister of India from 2004 to 2014 as part of the Congress Party, the first Sikh to hold the office. Prior to that, as finance minister from 1991 to 1996, Singh carried out important structural reforms that liberalized Indias economy.

Montek Singh Ahluwalia (1943 ) is an Indian economist and senior civil servant who was one of former Prime Minister Manmohan Singhs most trusted advisers. He served as the top economic advisor to Singh from 2004 to 2014. Ahluwalia consistently pushed for inclusive growth and a more open economy, which some in the left-leaning Congress Party opposed.

Kapil Sibal (1948) is a senior Indian Congress Party politician. He led multiple ministries in the Indian government under Prime Minister Singh, including Science and Technology, Human Resource Development, Communications and Information Technology, and Law and Justice; at times, he led several ministries simultaneously.

Narendra Modi (1950) has served as the prime minister of India since May 2014. Modi, a leader of the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), was the chief minister of Gujarat from 2001 to 2014, where he was known for his pro-business economic growth agenda.

Arun Jaitley (1952) is a senior member of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and one of Prime Minister Modis most trusted senior leaders. He has been finance minister of India since 2014, for a time serving simultaneously as defense minister. Jaitley held multiple cabinet level positions between 1999 and 2014 and was also leader of the opposition in the Rajya Sabha from 2009 to 2014.

Kisan Baburao Anna Hazare (1937) is an Indian social activist who led movements to promote rural development and increase government transparency. Most recently he led mass protests around India to establish a national ombudsman (or Jan Lokpal) to investigate and punish corruption in public life.

Nandan Nilekani (1955) is an Indian entrepreneur. He is a cofounder of Infosys, one of Indias preeminent IT companies, and in 2009 led the creation of Indias biometric identification program, Aadhaar, which was created to generate a national identity number for every Indian and to make government services and subsidies more transparent. Nearly 1 billion Indians have voluntarily signed up.

CHINA

Mao Zedong (18931976) was an early leader of the Chinese Communist Party whose forces won the civil war against the nationalist Kuomintang Party (KMT). He became the founding father of the Peoples Republic of China and led the country from 1949 until his death in 1976. Mao is still revered by many Chinese for modernizing China and improving livelihoods. At the same time, his dramatically failed policies, such as the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution, and other missteps, are thought to have cost between 40 and 70 million lives.

Chiang Kai-Shek (18871975) led the centrist, nationalist Kuomintang Party (KMT) in the civil war against Maos Communist forces and later led Chinas defense against the Japanese invasion in 1937. Despite help from the United States, a drained KMT lost the civil war in 1949, and Chiang and his allies fled to Taiwan island, where his KMT Party is still a serious political force today.

Deng Xiaoping (19041997) was a key Communist Party revolutionary and economic reformer who was Chinas paramount leader from 1978 through the early 1990s. He led the opening of Chinas economy, dismantling Chinas immense agricultural communes and creating Special Economic Zones, and became the father of Chinas economic miracle. He also presided over a gradual political opening, which ended abruptly with the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989.

Hu Jintao (1942) was Chinas president from 2003 to 2013. He worked his way up through Chinas bureaucracy as a technocrat, was known for his emphasis on consensus-based rule, and is associated with the Communist Youth League or populist faction in Chinese politics.

Xi Jinping (1953 ) has been general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party since 2012 and Chinas president since 2013. Xi is associated with the princeling faction in Chinese politics and is known as a strong, assertive leader who has implemented a tough anticorruption crackdown, as well as economic and military reforms.

Li Keqiang (1955) has been Chinas premier since 2013. An economist by training, he heads the state bureaucracy, including the State Council. He is the only Hu Jintao protg currently on Chinas powerful Politburo Standing Committee.

Liu He (1952) is President Xi Jinpings closest economic advisor. He leads the general office of the Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs and is responsible for Chinas most important economic reforms.

Wang Qishan (1948) is another of President Xis closest advisors, a former banker, mayor of Beijing, and one of the key organizers of the Beijing Olympics. Since late 2012 he has been leading Chinas anticorruption drive as head of Chinas fearsome Central Commission for Discipline Inspection.

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