The Worldwatch Institute - State of the World 2005: Redefining Global Security

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STATE OF THE WORLD 2005

Worldwatch publications available from Earthscan

State of the World series from 1994 to 2005
(an annual report on the progress towards a sustainable society)

Vital Signs series from 19921993 and 20032004
(an annual report on the trends that are shaping our future)

State of the World 2005

A Worldwatch Institute Report on Progress Toward a Sustainable Society

Michael Renner, Hilary French, and Erik Assadourian
Project Directors

Lori Brown
Alexander Carius
Richard Cincotta
Ken Conca
Geoffrey Dabelko
Christopher Flavin
Gary Gardner
Brian Halweil
Annika Kramer
Lisa Mastny
Danielle Nierenberg
Dennis Pirages
Thomas Prugh
Janet Sawin
Aaron Wolf

Linda Starke, Editor

First published by Earthscan in the UK in 2005

For a full list of publications please contact:
Earthscan
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY, 10017, USA

Earthscan is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

Copyright Worldwatch Institute, 2005. Published by Taylor & Francis.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishersa

Notices:
Practitioners and researchers must always rely on their own experience and knowledge in evaluating and using any information, methods, compounds, or experiments described herein. In using such information or methods they should be mindful of their own safety and the safety of others, including parties for whom they have a professional responsibility.

Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN-13: 9781-84407162-3 (pbk)

Cover design by Declan Buckley
Cover photos. Top: Ramallah, West Bank, photographer Ami Vitale, copyright Panos Pictures.
Bottom: Kazakhstan Aral Sea, photographer Gerd Ludwig/Visum, copyright Panos Pictures

Worldwatch Institute Board of Directors

ystein Dahle
Chairman
NORWAY

Thomas Crain
Vice Chairman
nd Treasurer
UNITED STATES

Larry Minear
Secretary
UNITED STATES

Geeta B. Aiyer
UNITED STATES

Adam Albright
UNITED STATES

Cathy Crain
UNITED STATES

James Dehlsen
UNITED STATES

Christopher Flavin
UNITED STATES

Lynne Gallagher
UNITED STATES

Satu Hassi
FINLAND

John McBride
UNITED STATES

Akio Morishima
JAPAN

Izaak van Melle
THE NETHERLANDS

Wren Wirth
UNITED STATES

Emeritus:

Abderrahman Khene
ALGERIA

Andrew E. Rice
UNITED STATES

Contents

Mikhail S. Gorbachev
Chairman, Green Cross International

Lori Brown

Michael Renner

Lisa Mastny and Richard P. Cincotta

Dennis Pirages

Danielle Nierenberg and Brian Halweil

Aaron T. Wolf, Annika Kramer, Alexander Carius, and Geoffrey D. Dabelko

Tom Prugh, Christopher Flavin, and Janet L. Sawin

Michael Renner

Ken Conca, Alexander Carius, and Geoffrey D. Dabelko

Hilary French, Gary Gardner, and Erik Assadourian

Boxes

2 Examining the Connections Between Population and Security

21 Are Aging and Declining Populations a Problem?

22 Land Policy Reform in Rwanda

3 Containing Infectious Disease

31 HIV/AIDS in the Military

32 Biowarfare

4 Cultivating Food Security

41 Can Food Be a Weapon of Mass Destruction?

5 Managing Water Conflict and Cooperation

51 Water Sharing Between Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinians

52 Conflict over Water Services Management: The Case of Cochabamba

53 Harnessing Wild Rivers: Who Pays the Price?

6 Changing the Oil Economy

61 Some Measures of Oils Central Place in the Economy

62 Carbon Capture: Fossil Fuel Reprieve or Red Herring?

7 Disarming Postwar Societies

71 Colombia: Obstacles to Peace

72 Angola: The Challenge of Reconstruction

8 Building Peace Through Environmental Cooperation

81 Addressing Environment and Security Risks and Opportunities in the Southern Caucasus

9 Laying the Foundations for Peace

91 Millennium Development Goals and Targets

92 Selected Targets Adopted at the World Summit on Sustainable Development

93 The Rise of Civil Society

Tables

2 Examining the Connections Between Population and Security

21 Share of Young People in Selected Countries, 2005 Projections

22 Countries with the Highest Rates of Adult Death, 200005

23 Top Countries Facing Per Capita Scarcity of Cropland or Fresh Water,

3 Containing Infectious Disease

31 Deaths from Major Communicable Diseases, 2000 and 2002

32 Healthy Life Expectancy in Selected Countries, 2002

33 Countries Most Affected by HIV/AIDS

4 Cultivating Food Security

41 Selected Food Animal Breeds in Danger of Disappearing

42 Selected Animal Diseases That Can Spread to Humans

5 Managing Water Conflict and Cooperation

51 Selected Examples of Water-related Disputes

52 Conflict Dynamics on Different Spatial Levels

53 Number of Countries Sharing a Basin

7 Disarming Postwar Societies

71 Rough Estimates of Stockpiles of Small Arms, Selected Countries and Regions

72 Selected Examples of Small Arms Transfers from Hotspot to Hotspot, 1970s to 2002

73 International Arms Embargoes, 1990 to Present

74 Selected Small Arms Collection Programs, 19892003

75 Major Surplus Small Arms Destruction Efforts, 19902003

76 Selected Demobilization Experiences in Countries Emerging from War, 1992 to Present

8 Building Peace Through Environmental Cooperation

81 Selected National and International Initiatives on the Environment, Conflict, Peace, and Security 147

9 Laying the Foundations for Peace

91 Progress in Increasing Access to Food and Water in Selected Countries

92 Regional Progress in Achieving Selected Millennium Development Goals

93 Selected Global Public Policy Networks

Figures

1 Security Redefined

11 Progress in Global Disarmament, 19852002

12 Armed Conflicts, 19552002

6 Changing the Oil Economy

61 U.S. Energy Consumption, 16352000

62 World Price of Oil, 19902004

63 Oil Consumption and Production in China, 19732004

64 U.S. Oil Production, 19542003

9 Laying the Foundations for Peace

91 Military Expenditures versus Development Assistance, Selected Countries and All Donors, 2003

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