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Jeffrey W. Knopf - International Cooperation on WMD Nonproliferation

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Jeffrey W. Knopf International Cooperation on WMD Nonproliferation

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INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION ON WMD NONPROLIFERATION
SERIES EDITORS William W Keller Professor of International Affairs Center - photo 1
SERIES EDITORS

William W. Keller
Professor of International Affairs, Center for International Trade and Security, University of Georgia
Scott A. Jones
Director of Export Control Programs, Center for International Trade and Security, University of Georgia
SERIES ADVISORY BOARD

Pauline H. Baker
The Fund for Peace
Eliot Cohen
Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University
Eric Einhorn
Center for Public Policy and Administration, University of Massachusetts, Amherst
John J. Hamre
The Center for Strategic and International Studies
Josef Joffe
Hoover Institution, Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
Lawrence J. Korb
Center for American Progress
William J. Long
Sam Nunn School of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology
Jessica Tuchman Mathews
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Scott D. Sagan
Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University
Lawrence Scheinman
Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey,CNS-WDC
David Shambaugh
The Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University
Jessica Stern
FXBCenter, Harvard School of Public Health
International Cooperation on WMD Nonproliferation
Edited by Jeffrey W. Knopf
2016 by the University of Georgia Press Athens Georgia 30602 wwwugapressorg - photo 2
2016 by the University of Georgia Press
Athens, Georgia 30602
www.ugapress.org
All rights reserved
Set in Minion Pro by Graphic Composition, Inc., Bogart, Georgia
Printed and bound by Sheridan Books
The paper in this book meets the guidelines for
permanence and durability of the Committee on
Production Guidelines for Book Longevity of the
Council on Library Resources.
Most University of Georgia Press titles are available from popular e-book vendors.
Printed in the United States of America
20 19 18 17 16 c 5 4 3 2 1
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
International cooperation on WMD nonproliferation/edited
by Jeffrey W. Knopf.
pages cm
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978-0-8203-4891-9 (ebook) ISBN 978-0-8203-4527-7 (hardcover : alk. paper) 1. Nuclear nonproliferation. 2. National security. 3. Security, International. I. Knopf, Jeffrey W.
JZ 5675. I 687 2016
327.1745dc23
2015012856
CONTENTS
Jeffrey W. Knopf
Scott A. Jones
Alan J. Kuperman
Togzhan Kassenova
Wyn Q. Bowen and Alan Heyes
Emma Belcher
Tanya Ogilvie-White
Gavin Cameron
Elizabeth Turpen
Michael Hamel-Green
Sara Z. Kutchesfahani
Francesca Giovannini
David Santoro
Jeffrey W. Knopf
PREFACE
This book is a testament to the value of hallway conversations. The idea for this project grew out of a series of conversations I had with Michael Malley, a former colleague at the Naval Postgraduate School. Mike is a specialist on Southeast Asia who had begun to do work on initiatives within the region dealing with nuclear proliferation. He asked me about theoretical literature on international cooperation that might help him understand cooperation in the nonproliferation domain. Our discussions led to the realization that the leading existing frameworks fall short of capturing the kinds of dynamics we were both observing empirically. The seeds of suggestion for a new research project had been planted, and I thank Mike for providing the intellectual stimulus to embark on this line of research.
Funding to support this research was provided by the U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Agency, through its Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD ( PASCC ). I am grateful to PASCC for the support. The views expressed in this book, however, are entirely those of the authors and are not intended to represent U.S. government policy.
After a canvass of the existing literature, I developed a preliminary theoretical framework that could guide further exploration of the sources and impact of international cooperation intended to counter the proliferation of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. I then invited a group of subject-matter experts to apply this framework to case studies of cooperative initiatives in support of nonproliferation. We came together to discuss first drafts of the case studies at a workshop at the Portola Hotel in Monterey, California, in March 2012. Since then, two additional authors who focus on regional efforts joined the project, and all the chapters have been revised and updated to reflect further developments, in most cases through about mid-2014.
Many people helped make this book possible and gave valuable suggestions to improve its contents. I give special thanks to Angela Archambault, whose administrative assistance ensured our authors workshop ran smoothly. In addition to most of the authors whose chapters appear in this volume, several other people participated in the workshop and gave feedback on the individual papers and the project as a whole. This book benefitted from the valuable comments provided by Christine Wing, Wade Huntley, Bill Potter, Clay Moltz, Jeffrey Fields, Arturo Sotomayor, Bryan Lee, Anne Clunan, and Mike Malley. I also thank the anonymous reviewers of the book proposal and manuscript for their helpful suggestions. From start to finish, it has been a pleasure to work with the people at the University of Georgia Press, including Nancy Grayson, Walter Biggins, Jon Davies, and Bethany Snead. In addition, I am grateful to Joseph Dahm for his careful copyediting and to Kate Lucitt and Crystal Wilhite for preparing the index. Finally, I learned more than I can convey from the other contributors to this volume, and I thank each of them for accepting my invitation to be part of this project.
ABBREVIATIONS
ABACC
Brazilian-Argentine Agency for Accounting and Control of Nuclear Materials
AFA
Argentine Physics Association (Asociacin Fsica Argentina)
AFNWFZ
African Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone
AG
Australia Group
ANZUS
Australia, New Zealand, and United States Security Treaty
AP
Additional Protocol
ASEAN
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
BJP
Bharatiya Janata Party
BOG
Board of Governors (of the IAEA)
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