CHINAS MILITARY FACES THE FUTURE
Studies on Contemporary China
CHINAS MILITARY FACES THE FUTURE
JAMES R. LILLEY AND DAVID SHAMBAUGH
EDITORS
Tai Ming Cheung
June Teufel Dreyer
Richard D. Fisher, Jr.
Wendy Frieman
Bates Gill
Paul H.B. Godwin
Taeho Kim
Eric A. McVadon
Michael Pillsbury
AN EAST GATE BOOK
First published 1999 by M.E. Sharpe
Published 2015 by Routledge
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Chinas military faces the future / edited by James Lilley and David Shambaugh
p. cm.(Studies on contemporary China)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
An East gate book.
ISBN 0-7656-0505-8 (hardcover : alk. paper).
ISBN 0-7656-0506-6 (pbk.: alk. paper)
1. ChinaArmed Forces. 2. ChinaMilitary policy. I. Lilley, James R. II. Shambaugh, David, L. III. Series.
UA835.C4463 1999
355.033551dc21 99-29195
CIP
ISBN 13: 9780765605061 (pbk)
ISBN 13: 9780765605054 (hbk)
Dedicated to
Ellis Joffe
Pioneer of PLA Studies
Contents
James Lilley and David Shambaugh
David Shambaugh
Paul H.B. Godwin
Michael Pillsbury
Richard D. Fisher, Jr.
Bates Gill
Tai Ming Cheung
Wendy Frieman
Eric A. McVadon
Taeho Kim
June Teufel Dreyer
Tai Ming Cheung works as a business consultant in Hong Kong. He was a research associate at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London during the writing of this chapter and is completing a book on the Chinese military-business complex. His research interests include Chinese military economic issues, cross-strait relations, and Chinese defense decision-making.
June Teufel Dreyer is Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Coral Gables. She received her Ph.D. from Harvard University, and formerly served as Senior Far East Specialist at the Library of Congress and as Asia Advisor to the Chief of Naval Operations. Her research and publishing has concentrated on Chinas ethnic minorities, various aspects of the Chinese military and security affairs, international relations of the Asia-Pacific, and Taiwan politics. She is the author of Chinas Forty Millions and Chinas Political System: Modernization and Tradition.
Richard D. Fisher, Jr., is a Senior Policy Analyst and Acting Director with the Asian Studies Center of the Heritage Foundation. He is a graduate of Eisenhower College and has worked at the Heritage Foundation since 1983. During this time he has authored numerous briefing papers and policy studies. He has published in several journals and newspapers, including Janes Intelligence Review and The Wall Street Journal.
Wendy Frieman is Director of the Asia Technology Program at Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC). She was a Visiting Scholar at the Sigur Center for Asian Studies of the George Washington University during 199799. She is a specialist in the areas and interaction of technology and defense of the Pacific Rim. She has published widely in these areas, including Gaining Ground: Japans Strides in Science and Technology. In recent years her research has focused on the Chinese military industrial and technology establishments, and she is presently completing a book on Chinas behavior in arms control regimes.
Bates Gill is a Senior Fellow with the Brookings Institution and Director of its Center for Northeast Asia Policy Studies. Previously, he directed East Asia programs at the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies and at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. He publishes widely on Chinese and East Asian defense and security issues. His most recent books are Chinese Arms Acquisitions from Abroad: A Quest for Superb and Secret Weapons (Oxford University Press, 1995) and Arms, Transparency, and Security in Southeast Asia (Oxford University Press, 1997).
Paul H.B. Godwin is Professor Emeritus of International Affairs at the National War College, Washington, DC. His teaching and research specialties focus on Chinese defense and security policies. In the fall of 1987 he was a visiting professor at the Chinese National Defense University in Beijing. He graduated from Dartmouth College with a degree in international relations and received his doctorate in political science from the University of Minnesota.
Dr. Taeho Kim is a Senior China Analyst in the Policy Planning Directorate at the Korea Institute for Defense Analyses (KIDA), Seoul, Korea, and a nonresidential research associate of the Mershon Center, Ohio State University. He is also a former associate editor of The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis. Dr. Kim is the author and co-author of several books, reports, and monographs, including Chinas Arms Acquisitions from Abroad: A Quest for Superb and Secret Weapons (Oxford University Press, 1995), The Dynamics of Sino-Russian Military Relations: An Asian Perspective (CAPS, 1994), and The ROK Defense Policy after the ROK-PRC Normalization (KIDA, 1993). His research interests are Sino-Russian military cooperation, Chinese arms acquisitions, Asian nations threat perceptions of the PRC, and SinoNorth Korean relations. He is currently writing a book on The Armed Forces of South Korea (with Dr. Kang Choi) to be published by Allen & Unwin in 1999.
James Lilley is Resident Fellow and former Director of the Asian Studies Program at the American Enterprise Institute. He has also served as founding Director of the Institute for Global Chinese Affairs at the University of Maryland, College Park. He formerly served as Ambassador to the Peoples Republic of China and the Republic of Korea, as well as serving as Director of the American Institute in Taiwan. He also served in the Central Intelligence Agency, on the National Security Council staff, and as Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs. He has published articles in
