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Shashank Joshi - Indian Power Projection: Ambition, Arms and Influence

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Shashank Joshi Indian Power Projection: Ambition, Arms and Influence
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India is growing into one of Asias most important military powers. Its defence budget has more than doubled in the past decade, and it imports more arms than anyone else in the world. But India is still seen as a land power focused on long, disputed and militarised borders with Pakistan and China rather than the global military force it was in the first half of the twentieth century under British rule. Is this changing? India is acquiring increasing numbers of key platforms aircraft carriers, amphibious ships, refuelling tankers and transport aircraft that are extending its reach to the Indian Ocean littoral and beyond. But most accounts of this build-up have been impressionistic and partial.

Indian Power Projection assesses the strength, reach and purposes of Indias maturing capabilities. It offers a systematic assessment of Indias ability to conduct long-range airstrikes from land and sea, transport and convey airborne and amphibious forces, and develop the institutional and material enablers that turn platforms into capabilities. It draws extensively on the lessons of modern expeditionary operations, and considers how Indias growing interests might shape where and how it uses these evolving capabilities in the future.

This study finds that Indian power projection is in a nascent stage: limited in number, primarily of use against much-weaker adversaries, and deficient in some key supporting capabilities. Indias defence posture will continue to be shaped by local threats, rather than distant interests. Indian leaders remain uncomfortable with talk of military intervention and expeditionary warfare, associating these with colonial and superpower excess. But as the countrys power, interests and capabilities all grow, it is likely that India will once more find itself using military force beyond its land borders.

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Whitehall Paper 85 Indian Power Projection Ambition Arms and Influence - photo 1Whitehall Paper 85
Indian Power Projection
Ambition, Arms and Influence
Shashank Joshi
www.rusi.org
Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies
Indian Power Projection: Ambition, Arms and Influence
Shashank Joshi
First published 2015
Whitehall Papers series
Series Editor: Professor Malcolm Chalmers
Editors: Adrian Johnson and Ashlee Godwin
RUSI is a Registered Charity (No. 210639)
ISBN 978-1-138-65496-9
Published on behalf of the Royal United Services Institute for Defence
and Security Studies
by
Routledge Journals, an imprint of Taylor & Francis, 4 Park Square,
Milton Park, Abingdon OX14 4RN
SUBSCRIPTIONS
Please send subscription orders to:
USA/Canada: Taylor & Francis Inc., Journals Department, 530 Walnut Street, Suite 850, Philadelphia, PA 19106, USA
UK/Rest of World: Routledge Journals, T&F Customer Services, T&F Informa UK Ltd, Sheepen Place, Colchester, Essex CO3 3LP, UK
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher.
Contents
Shashank Joshi is a Senior Research Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute in London and a Research Associate at the Changing Character of War Programme at Oxford University. He is also a PhD candidate in the Department of Government, Harvard University. He specialises in international security in South Asia and the Middle East, with a particular interest in Indian foreign and defence policy. He received his BA from Gonville and Caius College, University of Cambridge and his MA from Harvard, where he was a Kennedy Scholar. He has lectured frequently at the UK Defence Academy and to other diplomatic, military, and academic audiences in the UK and abroad. His work has been published in a variety of peer-reviewed and policy journals, and in British, American and Indian newspapers.
His most recent academic and policy publications include India and the Middle East, Asian Affairs (Vol. 46, No. 2, 2015); Indias Nuclear Anxieties: The Debate Over Doctrine, Arms Control Today (September 2015); An Evolving Indian Nuclear Doctrine? in Michael Krepon, Joshua T White, Julia Thompson and Shane Mason (eds), Deterrence Instability and Nuclear Weapons in South Asia (Washington DC: Stimson Center 2015); Assessing Britains Role in Afghanistan, Asian Survey (Vol. 55, No. 2, March/April 2015); The Coup-Proofing of India, Survival (Vol. 57, No. 2, AprilMay 2015); Indias Role in a Changing Afghanistan, Washington Quarterly (Vol. 37, No. 2, Summer 2014); Looking West: India and the Middle East, Seminar (No. 658, June 2014); and Iran and the Geneva Agreement: A Footnote to History or a Turning Point?, RUSI Journal (Vol. 159, No. 1, 2014).
Many people helped with the writing of this Whitehall Paper. Malcolm Chalmers, Sumit Ganguly, Jack Gill and Iskander Rehman were all exceptionally generous with their time and advice. I am also grateful to Air Vice Marshal (Ret) Manmohan Bahadur, Abhijit Iyer-Mitra, Captain Gurpreet Khurana, Walter Ladwig, Antoine Levesques, Frank ODonnell, Peter Roberts, Jaganath Sankaran, Angad Singh, Vice Admiral Madanjit Singh, Ashley J Tellis and participants at workshops in New Delhi in March 2015 and London in June 2015. The manuscript was much improved by the expert editing of Adrian Johnson and Edward Mortimer.
My greatest thanks go to Hannah Cheetham Joshi, Sunanda Joshi and Vinit Joshi for their love and support. Finally, my late grandfather Lieutenant Colonel H C Pant served his country for twenty-eight years as an officer in the Indian Army between 1949 and 1977. Appropriately enough, this included his own contribution to Indian power projection, with a posting to the International Control Commission in Vietnam in 1964. I dedicate this book to his memory.
AEW Airborne early warning
AEWC Airborne early warning and control
AFSPA Armed Forces (Special Powers) Acts
AMCA Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft
ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations
ASW Anti-submarine warfare
AWACS Airborne Warning and Control System
BJP Bharatiya Janata Party
BRO Border Roads Organisation
C4ISR Command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
CAG Comptroller and Auditor General
CDS Chief of the Defence Staff
CEP Circular error probable
CISMOA Communications and Information Security Memorandum of Agreement
CTF Combined Task Force
DAC Defence Acquisition Council
DFS Department of Field Support (UN)
DRDO Defence Research and Development Organisation
ELINT Electronic intelligence
FAC Forward air control
FDI Foreign direct investment
FGFA Fifth-Generation Fighter Aircraft
GCC Gulf Cooperation Council
GDP Gross domestic product
HADR Humanitarian assistance and disaster relief
HAL Hindustan Aeronautics Limited
IAF Indian Air Force
IDS Integrated Defence Staff
INSAT Indian National Satellite
IPKF Indian Peace Keeping Force
IRNSS Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System
ISAF International Security Assistance Force
ISR Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance
ITBP Indo-Tibetan Border Police
JDAM Joint Direct Attack Munition
LCU Landing craft, utility
LPD Landing platform dock
LSA Logistics Support Agreement
MILSATCOM Military satellite communications
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NSA National Security Advisor
PGM Precision-guided munition
PJHQ Permanent Joint Headquarters (UK)
PLAN Peoples Liberation Army Navy
PSI Proliferation Security Initiative
QDR Quadrennial Defense Review (US)
RUF Revolutionary United Front (Sierra Leone)
SAM Surface-to-air missile
SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
SSBN Nuclear ballistic-missile submarine
UAE United Arab Emirates
UAV Unmanned aerial vehicle
UK United Kingdom
UN United Nations
US United States
USAF US Air Force
WMD Weapons of mass destruction
Map 1 India and Neighbouring Regions Map 2 Indicative Ranges of Indian - photo 2
Map 1: India and Neighbouring Regions.
Map 2 Indicative Ranges of Indian Strike Aircraft Map 3 Indian Overseas - photo 3
Map 2: Indicative Ranges of Indian Strike Aircraft.
Map 3 Indian Overseas Military-Relevant Facilities In the thirty years - photo 4
Map 3: Indian Overseas Military-Relevant Facilities.
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