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Kwang Ho Chun - The BRICs Superpower Challenge: Foreign and Security Policy Analysis

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In an imaginative and interesting way, Kwang Ho Chun seeks to capture the dynamics of the changing international system and the prospects for a change in the international distribution of power. The idea that new superpowers could rise and that some of the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China) could be such superpowers, is particularly intriguing and the main idea explored in this study. In line with neo-realist approaches, this book argues that in a unipolar world competitors will rise to challenge the global hegemon. As the power profiles of the BRICs rise and they gain greater control of geo-global politics, they are likely to attain significant regional dominance among other regional powers although their underdeveloped tradition of hard power and internal challenges could prevent them from gaining superpower status. This book captures the dynamics of the changing international system and the prospects for a change in the international distribution of power.

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THE BRICS SUPERPOWER CHALLENGE

The BRICs Superpower Challenge

Foreign and Security Policy Analysis

KWANG HO CHUN
Chonbuk National University, Korea

ASHGATE

Kwang Ho Chun 2013

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher.

Kwang Ho Chun has asserted his right under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988, to be identified as the author of this work.

Published by
Ashgate Publishing Limited
Wey Court East
Union Road
Farnham
Surrey, GU9 7PT
England

Ashgate Publishing Company
110 Cherry Street
Suite 3-1
Burlington, VT 05401-3818
USA

www.ashgate.com

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

The Library of Congress has cataloged the printed edition as follows:
Chun, Kwang Ho.

The BRICs superpower challenge : foreign and security policy analysis / by Kwang Ho Chun.

pages cm

ISBN 978-1-4094-6869-1 (hardback : alk. paper) ISBN 978-1-4094-6870-7 (ebook) ISBN 978-1-4094-6871-4 (epub) 1. World politics21st century. 2. Security, International. 3. BrazilForeign relations21st century. 4. Russia (Federation)Foreign relations21st century. 5. IndiaForeign relations21st century. 6. ChinaForeign relations21st century. I. Title.

JZ1310.C495 2013
327dc23

2013021069

ISBN 9781409468691 (hbk)
ISBN 9781409468707 (ebk-PDF)
ISBN 9781409468714 (ebk-ePUB)

Contents
Acknowledgements

I would like to thank all those who helped me to complete this research. My thanks go to Dr Chungwon Choue, who first inspired me on this topic and in starting my research, Prof. Dr Luc Reychler of Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Prof. Dr Andr-Paul Frognier of Universit Catholique de Louvain, Prof. Christoph Bluth of the University of Leeds and Prof. Hazel Smith of the Woodrow Wilson Center. They all helped me develop and polish my ideas regarding this research topic through valuable comments and constructive criticism. I would particularly like to express my whole-hearted gratitude to my lifetime adviser, Dr Chungwon Choue. I am equally grateful to Dr Guh Suk Seo, the President of Chonbuk National University, Korea for his financial and undoubted support and trust in me as a researcher. They ceaselessly encouraged and stimulated my work with a great deal of kindness and endurance during my research.

I also wish to acknowledge the assistance of those who offered me valuable comments on the text, including my editor, Brian Austerfield of the University of Central Lancashire.

This research required an enormous amount of material and a number of occasions for practical observation of the BRICs countries. The Royal United Service Institute, the International Institute for Strategic Studies and University of Central Lancashire helped me greatly in this matter. I would like to extend my warm gratitude to members of all these research centres and many others.

Finally, I also would like to take this opportunity to express my deepest love to my family, Dr Sung Eun Kim and Hyung Mo. The completion of this work in England was possible only thanks to my familys full-time support, endurance and sacrifice.

List of Abbreviations

APEC

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation

ARF

ASEAN Regional Forum

ASCM

anti-ship cruise missile

ASEAN

Association of South East Asian Nations

ASEM

AsiaEurope Meeting

ASF

African Support Force

AU

African Union

BNDES

Brazilian Development Bank

BRICs

Brazil, Russia, India and China

C4ISR

command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance

CIS

Commonwealth of Independent States

CNO

computer network operation

CTR

Cooperative Threat Reduction

DDG

guided-missile destroyer

EAS

East Asia Summit

EU

European Union

FDI

foreign direct investment

FOCAC

Forum on ChinaAfrica Cooperation

FOCALAE

Forum for East AsiaLatin America Cooperation

GATT

General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade

GDP

gross domestic product

GICNT

Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism

ICBM

inter-continental ballistic missile

IMF

International Monetary Fund

IR

international relations

IRC

International Relations Center

ISS

International Institute for Strategic Studies

ISTC

International Science and Technology Center

LACM

land attack cruise missile

MIC

military-industrial complex

MPC&A

Materials Protection, Control and Accounting

MTCR

Missile Technology Control Regime

NCO

non-commissioned officer

NGO

non-governmental organization

NPT

Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

NRF

NATO Response Force

NSG

Nuclear Suppliers Group

OAS

Organization of American States

OPCW

Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons

OSCE

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe

PLA

Peoples Liberation Army

PLAAF

Peoples Liberation Army Air Force

PLAN

Peoples Liberation Army Navy

PRC

Peoples Republic of China

RATS

Regional Anti-Terrorist Structure

SAM

surface-to-air missile

SCO

Shanghai Cooperation Organization

SLBM

sea-launched ballistic missile

SRBM

short-range ballistic missile

UAV

unmanned aerial vehicle

UNASUR

Union of South American Nations

UNSC

United Nations Security Council

WTO

World Trade Organization

Part I
Background
Chapter 1
Introduction
Introduction

Since the collapse of the USSR in the early 1990s, the United States has been enjoying a dominant position in the global power system as the sole superpower nation. However, there have been arguments by some international relations (IR) and political science academics and commentators to the effect that the US may not continue as the worlds sole superpower in the near future; rather, a power shift is likely to be witnessed as some of the contemporary major powers step up their resources and power games to become major forces in the global arena. At the dawn of the twenty-first century, some economic analysts, led by Goldman Sachs, noted the rapid pace with which the economies of the BRICs countries (an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India and China) were growing and noted that in the near future, their economies will have overtaken most of the current major world powers. This revelation heightened the debate that had been under way among IR academics and analysts about the future of the BRICs in the global power system, and in particular what the future might hold for them. It is a debate that remains highly controversial to date.

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