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Lance Taylor - Socially Relevant Policy Analysis: Structuralist Computable General Equilibrium Models for the Developing World

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Economist Lance Taylor is an advocate of aggressive government management of developing economies. The models described in this book are are easy to set up and manipulate on microcomputers and should dominate the development debate. Taylors detailed discussion of structuralist COE models is followed by contributions that take up their application in specific countries.This collection of work reviews the results of using CGE models since the early 1970s, with an emphasis on models that encompass broad structural factors such as distribution of income and wealth, land tenancy relationships, foreign trade, production, markets, and control of the means of production that are fundamental to the behavior of developing economies.Chapters explain the macro constraints on Indias economic growth and describe Plan Austral and other heterodox shocks, describe the application of a structuralist model to Nicaragua, to Mexican food consumption policies, and to the food market in Colombia. They discuss a model with portfolio choice for Thailand, resource mobilization through administered prices, and conflicting claims and dynamic inflationary mechanisms in India, short-run energyeconomy interactions in Egypt, policy options for growth and the alleviation of poverty in Sri Lanka, currency devaluation in Mexico, and medium-term growth projections for Kuwait. The book concludes with a manual for a structuralist macro model program.Lance Taylor is Professor of Economics at MIT.

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title Socially Relevant Policy Analysis Structuralist Computable General - photo 1

title:Socially Relevant Policy Analysis : Structuralist Computable General Equilibrium Models for the Developing World
author:Taylor, Lance.
publisher:MIT Press
isbn10 | asin:0262200759
print isbn13:9780262200752
ebook isbn13:9780585344287
language:English
subjectDeveloping countries--Economic conditions--Econometric models, Equilibrium (Economics)--Mathematical models.
publication date:1990
lcc:HC59.7.S8738 1990eb
ddc:330/.01/5195
subject:Developing countries--Economic conditions--Econometric models, Equilibrium (Economics)--Mathematical models.
Page iii
Socially Relevant Policy Analysis
Structuralist Computable General Equilibrium Models for the Developing World
edited by Lance Taylor
Page iv 1990 Massachusetts Institute of Technology All rights reserved - photo 2
Page iv
1990 Massachusetts Institute of Technology
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher.
This book was set in Palatino by Asco Trade Typesetting Ltd., Hong Kong and printed and bound in the United States of America.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Socially relevant policy analysis: structuralist computable general equilibrium models for
the developing world / edited by Lance Taylor.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN 0-262-20075-9
1. Developing countriesEconomic conditionsEconometric models. 2. Equilibrium
(Economics)Mathematical models. I. Taylor, Lance.
HC59.7.S8738 1990
330'.01'5195dc20 89-13624
CIP
Page v
Contents
List of Contributors
vii
Preface
ix
1
Structuralist CGE Models
Lance Taylor
1
2
Mexican Food Consumption Policies in a Structuralist CGE Model
Nora Lustig and Lance Taylor
71
3
IS-FM Macroeconomics: General Equilibrium Linkages of the Food Market in Columbia
Juan Luis Londoo de la Cuesta
85
4
A CGE for Nicaragua
Bill Gibson
114
5
Resource Mobilization through Administered Prices in an Indian CGE
Manoj Panda and Hiren Sarkar
147
6
Short-Run Energy-Economy Interactions in Egypt
Nazli Choucri and Supriya Lahiri
177
7
Continuing the Tradition of Equity in Sri Lanka: Policy Options in a CGE Model
Anne Maasland
197

Page vi
8
Macro Constraints on India's Economic Growth
Lance Taylor
220
9
Conflicting Claims and Dynamic Inflationary Mechanisms in India
Jrn Ratts
241
10
Portfolio Effects in a CGE Model: Devaluation in a Dollarized Economy
William Easterly
269
11
Devaluation, Capital Flows, and Crowding-out: A CGE Model with Portfolio Choice for Thailand
Jeffrey A. Rosensweig and Lance Taylor
302
12
Medium-Term Growth Projections for Kuwait from a Dynamic CGE
Motaz Khorshid
333
13
Plan Austral and Other Heterodox ShocksPhase II
Lance Taylor
358
Index
377

Page vii
List of Contributors
Nazli Choucri
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
William Easterly
The World Bank, Washington, DC
Bill Gibson
University of Vermont, Burlington, VT
Motaz Khorshid
Kuwait Institute of Scientific Research, Kuwait, and Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt
Supriya Lahiri
University of Lowell, Lowell, MA
Juan Luis Londoo
FEDESARROLLO, Bogot, Colombia, and Harvard University, Cambridge, MA
Nora Lustig
El Colegio de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico, and the Brookings Institution, Washington, DC
Anne Maasland
The World Bank, Washington, DC
Manoj Panda
National Council of Applied Economic Research, New Delhi, India
Jrn Ratts
University of Trondheim, Trondheim, Norway
Jeffrey Rosensweig
Emory University Business School, Atlanta, GA
Hiren Sarkar
National Council of Applied Economic Research, New Delhi, India
Lance Taylor
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
Page ix
Preface
This book presents a sample of work from the structuralist tradition in formulating and applying computable general equilibrium models in economies in the developing world. The endeavor dates back several decades, inspired originally by the late Leif Johansen's multisectoral growth model for Norway (published in 1960) and demonstration models put together by Hollis Chenery and associates in the late 1950s. (Chenery's models, incidentally, were solved using virtually the same algorithms as the authors in this book apply today; fixed-point approaches of the sort proposed in the neoclassical tradition by Herbert Scarf in the late 1960s have fallen by the practical wayside.)
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