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Josh Ryan-Collins - Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing

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Josh Ryan-Collins Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing

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Why are house prices in many advanced economies rising faster than incomes? What is the relationship between the financial system and the price of land? In this accessible but provocative guide to the economics of land and housing, the authors reveal how many of the key challenges facing modern economies, including housing crises, financial instability, and growing inequalities, are intimately tied to the land economy.
Looking at the ways in which discussions of land have been routinely excluded from both housing policy and economic theory, Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing argues that in order to tackle these increasingly pressing issues a major re-thinking by both politicians and economists is required. This is the first comprehensive guide to the role of land in the economy, making this an essential reference for students, scholars, policymakers, activists, and NGOs working on land issues.

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A comprehensive survey of the role of land in the economy and its neglect in economics, as well as a profile of how ownership of this essential requirement for life has become unattainable for the majority of young Britons, thanks to the march of finance and the compliance of Parliament.

Steve Keen, author of Debunking Economics

Land policy is the missing issue in any discussion on planning, development and the property market. This book is therefore long overdue. It returns land to its central role in both economic theory and in built environment discourses.

Duncan Bowie, author of Radical
Solutions to the Housing Supply Crisis

Dr Josh Ryan-Collins is senior economist at the New Economics Foundation, where he has been based since 2006. He leads a research programme at NEF focusing on monetary and financial reform and the economics of land and housing and has published widely across these areas. Josh is the lead author of Where Does Money Come From? , a comprehensive guide to the workings of the modern monetary system, which is used as a textbook to teach banking and finance courses at universities in the UK and United States. He has a PhD in economics from the University of Southampton and is visiting research fellow at Southampton Business School and City Universitys Political Economy Research Centre in London.

Toby Lloyd is head of housing development at Shelter, the UKs largest housing charity, where he was previously head of policy. He has worked on housing issues across the public, private and voluntary sectors for over twelve years, advising ministers, mayors, businesses and communities. His proposal for a new Garden City won the runner-up award in the Wolfson Economics Prize 2014.

Laurie Macfarlane is an economist at the New Economics Foundation, working on land and financial reform issues. He was previously head of economic analysis at the Water Industry Commission for Scotland and also spent one year working in the markets and economics division at Ofwat. Laurie has written on land and housing reform for the progressive Scottish think tank Common Weal. He has a first class degree in economics from the University of Strathclyde.

The New Economics Foundation is the only people-powered think tank. It works to build a new economy where people really take control.

RETHINKING THE
ECONOMICS
OF LAND AND
HOUSING

Josh Ryan-Collins, Toby Lloyd and Laurie Macfarlane

Foreword by John Muellbauer

Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing was first published in 2017 by Zed - photo 1

Rethinking the Economics of Land and Housing was first published in 2017 by Zed Books Ltd, The Foundry, 17 Oval Way, London SE11 5RR, UK

www.zedbooks.net

Copyright Josh Ryan-Collins, Toby Lloyd and Laurie Macfarlane 2017

The rights of Josh Ryan-Collins, Toby Lloyd and Laurie Macfarlane to be identified as the author of this work have been asserted by them in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988

Typeset in Sabon by seagulls.net

Index: Rohan Bolton

Cover design: and illustration by David A. Gee

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of Zed Books Ltd.

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN 978-1-78699-119-5 hb

ISBN 978-1-78699-118-8 pb

ISBN 978-1-78699-120-1 pdf

ISBN 978-1-78699-121-8 epub

ISBN 978-1-78699-122-5 mobi

CONTENTS

FIGURES, TABLES AND BOXES

Figures

Tables

Boxes

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors are most grateful to the following individuals for reviewing initial drafts and chapters of the book and providing invaluable suggestions: John Muellbauer, Kate Barker, Alison Wallace, Howard Reed, James Bruges, Allana Yurko, Steve Keen, Michael Kumhof, Nicholas Tideman, Ken Gibb, Bob Colenutt, Duncan Bowie, Paul Gilbert and Giorgos Galanis.

Thanks to Duncan McCann, Alice Martin and Beth Stratford for intellectual and practical support in getting the book written. The book has also benefited from the insights of participants at a roundtable on the financialisation of housing held at the Bank of England in July 2016.

Josh and Toby would like to thank their respective families for their considerable patience in the writing up process. Thanks also to Ken Barlow and colleagues at Zed for their support in bringing the book to publication.

Finally, thanks to the RH Southern Trust and James and the late Marion Bruges for their financial support for this project. Sadly Marion passed away before this book was completed we dedicate it to her memory.

ABBREVIATIONS

ARLA

Association of Residential Letting Agents

BSA

Building Societies Association

BTL

buy-to-let

CAP

Common Agricultural Policy

CLT

community land trust

CMU

Capital Markets Union

CPI

consumer price inflation

CRE

commercial real estate

FPC

Financial Policy Committee

GDP

gross domestic product

HEW

home equity withdrawal

IHT

inheritance tax

IMF

International Monetary Fund

ISA

Individual Savings Account

LBTT

land and buildings transaction tax

LTI

loan-to-income (ratio)

LTV

loan-to-value (ratio)

LVT

land value tax

MBS

mortgage-backed security

MIRAS

mortgage interest relief at source

NIMBY

not-in-my-back-yard

OECD

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

OPEC

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

QE

quantitative easing

RMBS

residential mortgage-backed security

SDLT

stamp duty land tax

SMEs

small and medium sized enterprises

SPV

special purpose vehicle

GLOSSARY

Bank capital Bank capital can be considered as a banks own funds. For banks, capital mainly consists of common shares (also known as common equity) and retained earnings which can easily absorb losses and therefore protect them from insolvency. Taken together, these own funds are equivalent to the difference between the value of total assets and liabilities.

Buy-to-let When a property is purchased with the specific intention of being let out to tenants. A buy-to-let mortgage is a mortgage taken out by a landlord specifically designed for this purpose.

Capital gains tax A charge on gains realised due to the disposal of assets, calculated as the difference between the cost of acquiring the asset and the income acquired due to the disposal of that asset.

Collateral Something pledged as security for repayment of a loan. If the borrower fails, the bank covers its losses by repossessing the underlying asset the loan was raised against.

Credit creation Lending by deposit-taking banks, involving the creation of both an asset (the loan) and a simultaneous liability (the deposit), the latter adding to the money supply.

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