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Peter Fox-Penner - Power after Carbon

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As the electric power industry faces the challenges of climate change, technological disruption, new market imperatives, and changing policies, a renowned energy expert offers a roadmap to the future of this essential sector.
As the damaging and costly impacts of climate change increase, the rapid development of sustainable energy has taken on great urgency. The electricity industry has responded with necessary but wrenching shifts toward renewables, even as it faces unprecedented challenges and disruption brought on by new technologies, new competitors, and policy changes. The result is a collision course between a grid that must provide abundant, secure, flexible, and affordable power, and an industry facing enormous demands for power and rapid, systemic change.
The fashionable solution is to think small: smart buildings, small-scale renewables, and locally distributed green energy. But Peter Fox-Penner makes clear that these will not be enough to meet our increasing needs for electricity. He points instead to the indispensability of large power systems, battery storage, and scalable carbon-free power technologies, along with the grids and markets that will integrate them. The electric power industry and its regulators will have to provide all of these, even as they grapple with changing business models for local electric utilities, political instability, and technological change. Power after Carbon makes sense of all the moving parts, providing actionable recommendations for anyone involved with or relying on the electric power system.

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POWER AFTER CARBON BUILDING A CLEAN RESILIENT GRID PETER FOX-PENNER - photo 1

POWER AFTER CARBON

BUILDING A CLEAN, RESILIENT GRID

PETER FOX-PENNER

Cambridge Massachusetts and London England 2020 Copyright 2020 by Peter - photo 2Cambridge Massachusetts and London England 2020 Copyright 2020 by Peter - photo 3

Cambridge, Massachusetts, and London, England 2020

Copyright 2020 by Peter Fox-Penner

All rights reserved

Jacket design: Jill Breitbarth

Jacket photo: studio-fi/iStock/Getty Images Plus

978-0-674-24107-7 (cloth)

978-0-674-24562-4 (EPUB)

978-0-674-24563-1 (MOBI)

978-0-674-24564-8 (PDF)

The Library of Congress has cataloged the printed edition as follows:

Names: Fox-Penner, Peter S., 1955 author.

Title: Power after carbon : building a clean, resilient grid / Peter Fox-Penner.

Description: Cambridge, Massachusetts : Harvard University Press, 2020. | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2019045200 (print) | LCCN 2019045201 (ebook)

Subjects: LCSH: Electric power systemsUnited States. | Renewable energy sourcesUnited States.

Classification: LCC TK3001 .F69 2020 (print) | LCC TK3001 (ebook) | DDC 621.31028/6dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019045200

LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019045201

For Susan, Emmy, Jake, and Plum

No longer can we tear the world apart to make our fire.

The Gates of Prayer

When you have exhausted all possibilities, remember this you havent.

Thomas Edison

Contents

After Smart Power (SP) was published in 2010, I spent the next few years pretending that writing more books about electric power was no longer my destiny. I was encouraged to see the debate over whether the electric industry needed fundamental change settled much more quickly and decisively than I feared when I wrote SP. Utility managements, outside stakeholders, and most importantly industry regulators seemed to embrace the idea; writings, conferences, and regulatory activity on the utility of the future seemed to be sprouting everywhere. We were now into tactics and execution: how-to manuals for industry specialists, not conceptual arguments that might be interesting to both generalists and insiders.

Yet, I gradually became nagged by the notion that the important policy issues were changing. One review of SP on Amazon began by saying, its now a little bit dated, but Once I began noodling on what an update would look like, I quickly realized that I had far underestimated how much the frame had shifted. Climate change had become the industrys (and one of civilizations) most urgent public policy challenges, and electrification had become a critical pathway to decarbonization. The latter made the sheer pace of industry expansion, simultaneous with a massive shift in generation resources and industry structure, a global imperative. Speed to the ball and sound execution were now paramount.

Rather than becoming an SP update, this book became a more current, wider, and sometimes deeper companion piece. If SP is the text for Future Utilities 100, I hope that Power after Carbon supports the next course in the sequence. I have tried to make it nearly as accessible to non-specialists as SP has proven to be, and I hope it sparks an even greater pace of constructive change.

From Facebook posts to refereed academic papers, transparency regarding sources and support is becoming recognized as an essential ethical dimension of any published work. Toward that end, I close by noting that during the time I wrote this book at the Boston University Institute for Sustainable Energy, the Institute was supported by the Hewlett Foundation, the Energy Foundation, and Bloomberg Philanthropies, among others. The book itself did not receive any direct support from any funder. In addition, I am fortunate to serve as Chief Strategy Officer at Energy Impact Partners, which invests in many clean technology companies (listed at www.energyimpactpartners.com) and where I hold an equity interest. I also hold a small equity-like interest in, and serve as academic advisor to, the Brattle Group, as well as options in EOS Energy Storage.

I am grateful for another chance to contribute to the electricity industrys transition, and to all the people and organizations listed in the Acknowledgments. All errors, of fact and judgment, are my own.

AC

alternating current

ACEEE

American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy

AI

artificial intelligence

AV

autonomous vehicle

BA

balancing area

BAA

balancing area authority

CCA

Community Choice Aggregation

CCS

carbon capture and storage

CCUS

carbon capture, utilization, and storage

CSAT

customer satisfaction

DC

direct current

DDPP

U.S. Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project

DER

distributed energy resources

DG

distributed generation

DLMP

distribution locational marginal pricing

DOE

U.S. Department of Energy

DR

demand response

DSO

Distribution System Operator

EAAS

energy as a service

ED

energy democracy

EE

energy efficiency

EIA

U.S. Energy Information Administration

EIRP

Energy Innovation Reform Project

ESCO

energy service company

ESU

Energy Service Utility

EV

electric vehicle

FERC

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

GDP

gross domestic product

GHG

greenhouse gas

GMP

Green Mountain Power

GND

Green New Deal

HVDC

high-voltage direct current

ICT

information and communications technology

IEA

International Energy Agency

IOT

Internet of Things

IOU

investor-owned electric distribution utilities

IPCC

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

IPP

independent power producer

ISO

independent system operator

KPI

key performance indicator

kWh

kilowatt hour

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