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Ankur Ankan - Hands-On Markov Models with Python

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Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a statistical model based on the Markov chain concept. Hands-On Markov Models with Python helps you get to grips with HMMs and different inference algorithms by working on real-world problems. The hands-on examples explored in the book help you simplify the process flow in machine learning by using Markov model concepts, thereby making it accessible to everyone.Once youve covered the basic concepts of Markov chains, youll get insights into Markov processes, models, and types with the help of practical examples. After grasping these fundamentals, youll move on to learning about the different algorithms used in inferences and applying them in state and parameter inference. In addition to this, youll explore the Bayesian approach of inference and learn how to apply it in HMMs.In further chapters, youll discover how to use HMMs in time series analysis and natural language processing (NLP) using Python. Youll also learn to apply HMM to image processing using 2D-HMM to segment images. Finally, youll understand how to apply HMM for reinforcement learning (RL) with the help of Q-Learning, and use this technique for single-stock and multi-stock algorithmic trading.By the end of this book, you will have grasped how to build your own Markov and hidden Markov models on complex datasets in order to apply them to projects.

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Hands-On Markov Models with Python Implement probabilistic models for - photo 1
Hands-On Markov Models with Python
Implement probabilistic models for learning complex data sequences using the Python ecosystem
Ankur Ankan
Abinash Panda

BIRMINGHAM - MUMBAI Hands-On Markov Models with Python Copyright 2018 Packt - photo 2

BIRMINGHAM - MUMBAI
Hands-On Markov Models with Python

Copyright 2018 Packt Publishing

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embedded in critical articles or reviews.

Every effort has been made in the preparation of this book to ensure the accuracy of the information presented. However, the information contained in this book is sold without warranty, either express or implied. Neither the author(s), nor Packt Publishing or its dealers and distributors, will be held liable for any damages caused or alleged to have been caused directly or indirectly by this book.

Packt Publishing has endeavored to provide trademark information about all of the companies and products mentioned in this book by the appropriate use of capitals. However, Packt Publishing cannot guarantee the accuracy of this information.

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First published: September 2018

Production reference: 1250918

Published by Packt Publishing Ltd.
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ISBN 978-1-78862-544-9

www.packtpub.com

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Contributors
About the authors

Ankur Ankan is a BTech graduate from IIT (BHU), Varanasi. He is currently working in the field of data science. He is an open source enthusiast and his major work includes starting pgmpy with four other members. In his free time, he likes to participate in Kaggle competitions.

Abinash Panda has been a data scientist for more than 4 years. He has worked at multiple early-stage start-ups and helped them build their data analytics pipelines. He loves to munge, plot, and analyze data. He has been a speaker at Python conferences. These days, he is busy co-founding a start-up. He has contributed to books on probabilistic graphical models by Packt Publishing.

About the reviewer

Abdullah al Mamun is a professional software engineer and researcher. He has completed his graduation from rajshahi university of engineering & technology (RUET) and BSc in Computer Science and Engineering (CSE). Currently, he is working as a Senior Executive Officer of the Software section in Primeasia University. As a professional software engineer, he has experience in object-oriented design, software architectures, design patterns, test-driven development, and project management. Also, he is interested in research in the fields of artificial intelligence, neural network, pattern recognition, and machine learning. His research has been published in different international journals and conferences, including IEEE.

This Hands-On Markov Models with Python book is a good reference for those involved with teaching and also research and development. In this book, the authors explain the Hidden Markov Model and its real-time application, illustrated with Python source code. I would like to express my gratitude toward the books authors and Packt Publishing for their wonderful collaboration.
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Preface

Using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) is a technique for modeling Markov processes with unobserved states. They are a special case of Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs) but have been found to perform well in a wide range of problems. One of the areas where HMMs are used a lot is speech recognition because HMMs are able to provide a very natural way to model speech data. This book starts by introducing the theoretical aspects of HMMs from the basics of probability theory, and then talks about the different applications of HMMs.

Who this book is for

A basic understanding of probability theory, linear algebra, and calculus will make reading this book a lot easier. For the code examples, basic familiarity with Python programming is expected.

What this book covers

, Introduction to Markov Process , starts with a discussion of basic probability theory, and then introduces Markov chains. The chapter also talks about the different types of Markov chain classifying based on continuous or discrete states and time intervals.

, Hidden Markov Models , builds on the concept of Markov processes and DBNs to introduce the concepts of the HMM.

, State Inference Predicting the States , introduces algorithms that can be used to predict the states of a defined HMM. The chapter introduces the Forward algorithm, the backward algorithm, the forward-backward algorithm, and the Viterbi algorithm.

, Parameter Inference Using Maximum Likelihood , discusses the basics of maximum likelihood learning. The chapter then moves on to applying maximum likelihood learning in the case of HMMs and introduces the Viterbi learning algorithm and Baum-Welch algorithm.

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