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Moorad Choudhry - Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

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Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve: summary, description and annotation

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Understand and interpret the global debt capital markets
Now in a completely updated and expanded edition, this is a technical guide to the yield curve, a key indicator of the global capital markets and the understanding and accurate prediction of which is critical to all market participants. Being able to accurately and timely predict the shape and direction of the curve permits practitioners to consistently outperform the market.
Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve, 2nd Editiondescribes what the yield curve is, explains what it tells participants, outlines the significance of certain shapes that the curve assumes and, most importantly, demonstrates what factors drive it and how it is modelled and used.
Covers the FTP curve, the multi-currency curve, CSA, OIS-Libor and 3-curve models Gets you up to speed on the secured curve Describes application of theoretical versus market curve relative value trading Explains the concept of the risk-free rate Accessible demonstration of curve interpolation best-practice using cubic spline, Nelson-Siegel and Svensson 94 models This advanced text is essential reading for traders, asset managers, bankers and financial analysts, as well as graduate students in banking and finance.

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Table of Contents List of Tables Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 8 Chapter - photo 1
Table of Contents
List of Tables
  1. Chapter 1
  2. Chapter 2
  3. Chapter 8
  4. Chapter 9
  5. Chapter 11
  6. Chapter 12
  7. Chapter 13
  8. Appendix
List of Illustrations
  1. Chapter 1
  2. Chapter 2
  3. Chapter 3
  4. Chapter 4
  5. Chapter 5
  6. Chapter 7
  7. Chapter 8
  8. Chapter 9
  9. Chapter 10
  10. Chapter 11
  11. Chapter 12
  12. Chapter 13
  13. Appendix
Guide
Pages
Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Second Edition

MOORAD CHOUDHRY

With contributions from Polina Bardaeva, Ken Kortanek, Kevin Liddy, Wolfgang Marty and Vladimir Medvedev

Founded in 1807 John Wiley Sons is the oldest independent publishing company - photo 2

Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers professional and personal knowledge and understanding.

The Wiley Finance series contains books written specifically for finance and investment professionals as well as sophisticated individual investors and their financial advisors. Book topics range from portfolio management to ecommerce, risk management, financial engineering, valuation and financial instrument analysis, as well as much more.

For a list of available titles, visit our website at www.WileyFinance.com.

First published 2004

Second Edition published 2019

2004, 2019 Moorad Choudhry

John Wiley & Sons Ltd

Registered office

John Wiley & Sons Ltd, The Atrium, Southern Gate, Chichester, West Sussex, PO19 8SQ, United Kingdom

For details of our global editorial offices, for customer services and for information about how to apply for permission to reuse the copyright material in this book, please see our website at www.wiley.com.

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, except as permitted by the UK Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, without the prior permission of the publisher.

Wiley publishes in a variety of print and electronic formats and by printondemand. Some material included with standard print versions of this book may not be included in ebooks or in printondemand. If this book refers to media such as a CD or DVD that is not included in the version you purchased, you may download this material at http://booksupport.wiley.com. For more information about Wiley products, visit www.wiley.com.

Designations used by companies to distinguish their products are often claimed as trademarks. All brand names and product names used in this book are trade names, service marks, trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners. The publisher is not associated with any product or vendor mentioned in this book.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. It is sold on the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services and neither the publisher nor the author shall be liable for damages arising herefrom. If professional advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed in this book are those of the author in his individual private capacity and should not in any way be attributed to any employing firm, or to Moorad Choudhry as a representative, officer, or employee of any employing institution or affiliated firm.

Whilst every effort has been made to ensure accuracy, no responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of reading any material in this book can be accepted by the author, publisher or any named person or corporate entity. The author may or may not hold, or have held, any security identified in this book.

Library of Congress CataloginginPublication Data

Names: Choudhry, Moorad.

Title: Analysing and interpreting the yield curve / Moorad Choudhry.

Other titles: Analysing & interpreting the yield curve | Analyzing and interpreting the yield curve

Description: Second edition. | Chichester, UK : Wiley, 2019. | Series: Wiley finance | Revised edition of the author's Analysing and interpreting the yield curve, c2004. | Includes bibliographical references and index. |

Identifiers: LCCN 2018056454 (print) | LCCN 2018057854 (ebook) | ISBN 9781119141068 (AdobePDF) | ISBN 9781119141051 (ePub) | ISBN 9781119141044 (hardback)

Subjects: LCSH: BondsValuationEconometric models. | BISAC: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Banks & Banking.

Classification: LCC HG4651 (ebook) | LCC HG4651 .C6793 2019 (print) | DDC 332.63/23dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018056454

Cover Design: Wiley

Cover Images: top: Gen Epic Solutions/Shutterstock, bottom: hywards/shutterstock

For Lindsay Ultimate Yummy Mummy Foreword It is an honour to be asked to - photo 3

For Lindsay

Ultimate Yummy Mummy

Foreword

It is an honour to be asked to contribute a few words at the beginning of this publication.

Moorad and I first met back in 2010. We were both attending the Group Balance Sheet Management Committee at The Royal Bank of Scotland, our employer at the time. Although I forget the specific theme of the discussion, I remember our desire, incidentally which was not necessarily shared by the other committee members, to investigate and better understand a trend in the balance sheet of our organisation and in the wider economy.

Respecting each other's viewpoint, we quickly became good friends. However, we are like chalk and cheese. In Belbin's terminology, Moorad possesses many of the qualities of the Plant and Resource Investigator, being creative, imaginative and freethinking as well as outgoing and enthusiastic, whereas I am most comfortable in the role of the Completer Finisher.

Although our shared passion for the financial markets became evident at our first meeting, it was only later I realised Moorad also possesses a burning desire to pass on his knowledge, understanding and perceptive insights to others, by either delivering lectures and presentations or through the written word.

I first became aware of Moorad's teaching skills in 2014 when he invited me to speak to students studying for the Certificate of Bank Treasury Risk Management. This is a practitioneroriented professional qualification in bank assetliability management, which is delivered to a global audience and was developed by Moorad and the team from WBS Training Ltd. There are also his numerous short course and conference performances I could highlight, all with financial risk management as the enduring theme.

When it comes to writing, Moorad is both versatile and prolific. By my counting, this updated edition of Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve is his third book of the year so far. However, there's still a way to go to catch Corin Tellado, a renowned Spanish author who published over 4,000 novels in her lifetime. The comparison is probably unfair as it is doubtless a more difficult challenge to combine risk management theory, practice and current market developments in a captivating read, whilst also pursuing a fulltime career in banking!

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