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Daniel Drache - One Road, Many Dreams: China’s Bold Plan to Remake the Global Economy

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Daniel Drache One Road, Many Dreams: China’s Bold Plan to Remake the Global Economy
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One Road, Many Dreamsreveals the true extent of Chinas ambition, analyzes the impact of the One Belt, One Road initiative and assesses its chances of success and failure.
This is the Asian century and China has a plan--to remake the world economy. Under its audacious One Belt, One Road strategy, China is investing trillions of dollars in hundreds of projects all around the globe. Its buying up ports, building transport networks and constructing major infrastructure. From hydroelectric plants to oil pipelines, China supplies the labour if needed, the raw materials and the finance, creating customers and boosting its own economy in the process. The objective? To challenge the existing economic and political world order.
More than 80 nations have already joined Chinas increasingly less exclusive club and by 2049, when One Belt, One Road is set to end, its number of members is likely to rival the UN. So far, China has exercised its soft power of debt diplomacy and financial might shrewdly, serving the planets overlooked middle-income and poor countries. The rest of the world needs to wake up because the scale of One Belt, One Road is unprecedented. Its implications for the global structure of power are potentially seismic as the geopolitical ties between Europe and Asia deepen.
Written by three highly regarded political economists,One Road, Many Dreamsexamines the One Belt, One Road initiative from all angles. It looks at the projects and the players, the alliances and the governance. It explores the opportunities for China and the threat to the West, particularly for Trumps isolationist US administration. At home and abroad, China is staking its credibility as a superpower on One Belt, One Road. Its resources appear limitless, butOne Road, Many Dreamsasks a tough question: has China overreached? Or can it really pull this off and remake the world economy in its own interests?

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Contents Chinas Belt and Road Initiative has created a tr - photo 1

Contents Chinas Belt and Road Initiative has created a transcontinental - photo 2

Contents Chinas Belt and Road Initiative has created a transcontinental - photo 3

Contents

Chinas Belt and Road Initiative has created a transcontinental infrastructure - photo 4

Chinas Belt and Road Initiative has created a transcontinental infrastructure consisting of a network of railroads, ports and pipelines running across 88 countries. Source : Merics 2018.

ADB

Asian Development Bank

ADBC

Agricultural Development Bank of China

AfDB

African Development Bank

AIIB

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

ASEAN

Association of Southeast Asian Countries

BIT

bilateral investment treaty

BOC

Bank of China

BoCOM

Bank of Communications

BRI

Belt Road Initiative

BRICS

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa

CBRC

China Banking Regulatory Commission

CCB

China Construction Bank

CCP

Chinese Communist Party

CCTV

China Central Television

CDB

China Development Bank

CEA

French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission

CETA

Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement between the EU and Canada

CFLD

China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd, a leading industry city operator in China

CGN

China General Nuclear Power Group

CMB

China Merchants Bank

CHEXIM

Export-Import Bank of China

CIS

The Commonwealth of Independent States

COVEC

China Overseas Engineering Group

CNNR

China National Nuclear Corporation

CPECC

China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation

CSRC

China Securities Regulatory Commission

DBAR

Digital Belt and Road

EEA

European Environment Agency

EFSI

European Fund for Strategic Investment

ERDF

European Regional Development Fund

G7

Group of Seven: Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States; the European Union is also represented

G20

Group of Twenty: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States; the European Union is also represented

GLOF

glacial lake outburst floods

H-1B

A visa allowing US employers to employ foreign workers in specialised occupations

HSBC

Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation

ICBC

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

IADB

Inter-American Development Bank

ICC

International Criminal Court

IMF

International Monetary Fund

IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

LNG

liquefied natural gas

MPI

Multidimensional Poverty Index

MSCI

Includes Morgan Stanley Capital International and MSCI Barra

NDRC

National Development and Reform Commission of the Peoples Republic of China

NSR

New Silk Road

OBOR

One Belt, One Road

OECD

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

PBOC

Peoples Bank of China

PRC

Peoples Republic of China

RCEP

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership

ROI

return on investment

RTA

regional trade agreement

S&P

Standard & Poors

SASAC

State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Committee

SCO

Shanghai Cooperation Organisation

SICC

Singapore International Commercial Court

SOE

state-owned enterprise

SPC

Supreme Peoples Court

TAZARA

Tanzania-Zambia Railway Authority

TBNA

Tianjin Binhai New Area

TBEA

Tebian Electric Apparatus Stock Co. Ltd.

TIR

Transports Internationaux Routier (International Road Transports)

TPP

Trans-Pacific Partnership

UNFCCC

Paris Global Warming Convention

WTO

World Trade Organization

ZTE

Chinese Multinational Telecommunications Equipment and Systems Company

Building a Transnational Network of Urban Corridors and Commercial Beachheads

Chinas Infrastructural Economic Model

Chinas Multi-tiered Financial Cake

Chinas Deep Pockets: Banks, Special Funds and State Money

Chinas Financial Shock Absorbers

China and the World Bank: Deep Pockets Compared

Bigger than Big: Chinas Leading Development Banks in Global Context

Portland Soft Power Index

Two Models of Financial Globalisation

Chinas Investment Blitzkrieg in Malaysia, South Asia and Indochina

Lifting the Curtain on Chinas and the World Banks Risky Lending Practices to Precarious Economies

Africas Steep Climb out of Poverty?

ASEANs Long Road to Prosperity?

Daniel Drache, A.T. Kingsmith and Duan Qi

Impatiently Biding Its Time

Five years ago China announced the creation of a new initiative called The New Silk Road also called One Belt, One Road (OBOR) or the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to link China more closely with its neighbours and to the wider global community. The focus is on building infrastructure all around the globe: railroads, ports, roads, factories the nervous system of the modern economy. The scale is unmatched in history only the American Marshall Plan that rebuilt western Europe after the Second World War is somewhat comparable, but One Belt, One Road far surpasses it in scale and imagination.

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