Jonathan Bales - Fantasy Football for Smart People: How to Dominate Your Draft
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- Book:Fantasy Football for Smart People: How to Dominate Your Draft
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- Publisher:Jonathan Bales;CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform
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- Year:2012
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Loved it. I've beentrying to convince myself to write a book like this for years.
- Mike Clay, Head ofFantasy at Pro Football Focus
What anengrossing read!
- Lee Kleiner,President of Fantrax
This is good stuff!It should be received very well by the fantasy public."
- Mike Krueger,Founder of FF Today
Love the fantasy footballcontent youre writing.
Just got your book and tore through it in two nights - lotsof great information!
Strong work on the book! It's literally one of the best purchases of my life whenconsidering cost to value! Amazing stuff.
Just wanted to let you know that I finished 1st and 3rd inmy two leagues this year. I did not make one trade. I only used players Idrafted and players from the waiver wire. This was the first year I have placedin both leagues. I have had success in the past, but not like this! Thanks forthe book!!
Fantasy Football for Smart People:
How to Dominate Your Draft
Jonathan Bales
All Rights Reserved 2013
Jonathan Bales. First Printing: 2012. The editorialarrangement, analysis, and professional commentary are subject to thiscopyright notice. No portion of this book may be copied, retransmitted,reposted, duplicated, or otherwise used without the express written approval ofthe author, except by reviewers who may quote brief excerpts in connection witha review.
United States laws and regulations are public domain and notsubject to copyright. Any unauthorized copying, reproduction, translation, ordistribution of any part of this material without permission by the author isprohibited and against the law.
Disclaimer and Terms of Use: Your reliance uponinformation and content obtained by you at or through this publication issolely at your own risk. The author assumes no liability or responsibility fordamage or injury to you, other persons, or property arising from any use of anyproduct, information, idea, or instruction contained in the content or servicesprovided to you through this book. Reliance upon information contained in thismaterial is solely at the reader's own risk. The authors have no financialinterest in and receive no compensation from manufacturers of products orwebsites mentioned in this book.
I like giving things away, so heres some stuff for youbefore we get started. The first is 10 percent off anything you purchase on my siteall books, allrankings, all draft packages, and even past issues of RotoAcademy myfantasy football training school . Just go to FantasyFootballDrafting.comand use the code Smart10 at checkout to get the savings.
The second freebie is an entire issue of RotoAcademy. Why an entire issuefor free? Because Im really excited about this product and I think if youstart reading, youll be hooked and become a full-time student. Remember, thisis a year-long training course thats absolutely guaranteed to turn you into adominant fantasy owner.
Go to FantasyFootballDrafting.comfor your free issue ( RotoAcademy Issue II ), add theitem to your cart, and enter RA100 at checkout to get it free of charge.
Finally, Ive partnered with DraftKings to giveyou a 100 percent deposit bonus when you sign up there. Deposit $500 and thenbam! you got $1,000. DraftKingsis the main site where I play daily fantasy football. Deposit there by clickingon the following ad (or use https://www.draftkings.com/r/Bales)to get the bonus, use the Smart10 code to buy my in-season package at FantasyFootballDrafting.com(complete with DraftKingsvalues all year long), and start cashing in on your hobby.
A whole lot of readers profited last year, with one cashing$25,000 in multiple leagues since purchasing my in-season package.Theres an outstanding investment opportunity in daily fantasy sports rightnow, and theres really no reason for you not to get involved.
And of course, continue to check out the FantasyFootball for Smart People series; I add new books every year, and Imconfident theyll help you have success this season and beyond.
Preface
Chapter 1:TheMost In-Depth Introduction Youll Ever Read
This is an introduction, but I dive right into complex draftstrategy, explaining how position scarcity, consistency, game theory, andleague requirements are the four pillars of fantasy football draft strategy.
How to use scarcity at a position to acquire maximum value
How to use your opponents beliefs to get the best players
Why predictability is more important than projected points
Chapter 2:Why Week-to-Week Consistency is (Almost) Worthless
An explanation of why weekly projections are of little value, whyseason-to-season consistency is invaluable, and how to implement risk
Why you should start a nearly identical lineup each week
How to create tiered rankings that implement players risk
When and how to take gambles during your draft
Chapter 3:Season-to-Season Consistency: Why It Matters and How to Useit
The strength of correlation of fantasy football statistics fromone year to the next
How stats like rushing, receiving, and passingyards/touchdowns translate from one season to another
Why defenses and kickers are almost entirely unpredictable
Why a quarterback or top-tier running back should be yourfirst-round selection
Why tight ends are the most consistent players in fantasyfootball
Chapter 4:Tier-ing Up: How to Create Basic Projections and TieredRankings
Basic projection philosophy, including how to use consistency,risk, and average draft position to create rankings
A basic formula to create projections
How to make tiers in your rankings
Why you should almost never take the best player availableon your board (for real)
Why drafting near the end of a round is advantageous
Chapter 5:More onPosition Scarcity
A short chapter on scarcity and VORP draft strategy
Why Aaron Rodgers and Rob Gronkowski might be the perfect1-2 combination
Why you can grab quality wide receivers late
Chapter 6:IdentifyingValue: Regression, Randomness, and Running Backs
Using stats to identify breakout players and dispel fantasyfootball truisms
How to identify undervalued players
Why running backs with lots of carries arent really being overworked or overvalued
How to predict running backs yards-per-carry
Chapter 7:GettingBullish: What the Stock Market Can Teach Us About Fantasy Football
How fantasy football is incredibly similar to the stock market(and what we can learn from the latter)
Why a players value can be different for different teams
How to buy low and sell high during your draft
How to utilize public perception
Why your focus shouldnt be securing the most projectedpoints with each pick, but rather losing the least
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