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Albert N. Shiryaev - Probability-2

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Albert N. Shiryaev Probability-2

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Advanced maths students have been waiting for this, the third edition of a text that deals with one of the fundamentals of their field. This book contains a systematic treatment of probability from the ground up, starting with intuitive ideas and gradually developing more sophisticated subjects, such as random walks and the Kalman-Bucy filter. Examples are discussed in detail, and there are a large number of exercises. This third edition contains new problems and exercises, new proofs, expanded material on financial mathematics, financial engineering, and mathematical statistics, and a final chapter on the history of probability theory.

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Volume 95 Graduate Texts in Mathematics Series Editors Sheldon Axler San - photo 1
Volume 95
Graduate Texts in Mathematics
Series Editors
Sheldon Axler
San Francisco State University, San Francisco, CA, USA
Kenneth Ribet
University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
Editorial Board
Alejandro Adem
University of British Columbia, Canada
David Eisenbud
University of California, Berkeley & MSRI, USA
Brian C. Hall
University of Notre Dame, USA
J. F. Jardine
University of Western Ontario, Canada
Jeffrey C. Lagarias
University of Michigan, USA
Ken Ono
Emory University, USA
Jeremy Quastel
University of Toronto, Canada
Fadil Santosa
University of Minnesota, USA
Barry Simon
California Institute of Technology, USA
Ravi Vakil
Stanford University, USA
Steven H. Weintraub
Lehigh University, USA

Graduate Texts in Mathematics bridge the gap between passive study and creative understanding, offering graduate-level introductions to advanced topics in mathematics. The volumes are carefully written as teaching aids and highlight characteristic features of the theory. Although these books are frequently used as textbooks in graduate courses, they are also suitable for individual study.

More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/136

Albert N. Shiryaev
Probability-2 3rd ed. 2019
Albert N Shiryaev Department of Probability Theory and Mathematical - photo 2
Albert N. Shiryaev
Department of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Steklov Mathematical Institute and Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
Translated by R. P. Boas and D. M. Chibisov
ISSN 0072-5285 e-ISSN 2197-5612
Graduate Texts in Mathematics
ISBN 978-0-387-72207-8 e-ISBN 978-0-387-72208-5
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-72208-5
Library of Congress Control Number: 2018953349
Mathematics Subject Classication (2010): 60Axx 60Exx 60Fxx 60Gxx 60Jxx 62Lxx
Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2019
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Science+Business Media, LLC part of Springer Nature.

The registered company address is: 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, U.S.A.

Preface to the Third English Edition

The present edition is a translation of the fourth Russian edition of 2007, with the previous three published in 1980, 1989, and 2004. The English translations of the first two appeared in 1984 and 1996. The third and fourth Russian editions, extended compared to the second edition, were published in two volumes titled Probability-1 and Probability-2 . Accordingly, the present edition consists of two volumes: this Vol. 2, titled Probability-2 , contains Chaps. , and Chaps. 13 are contained in Vol. 1, titled Probability-1 , which was published in 2016.

This English translation of Probability-2 was prepared by the editor and translator Prof. D. M. Chibisov, Professor of the Steklov Mathematical Institute. A former student of N. V. Smirnov, he has a broad view of probability and mathematical statistics, which enabled him not only to translate the parts that had not been translated before, but also to edit both the previous translation and the Russian text, making in them quite a number of corrections and amendments.

The author is sincerely grateful to D. M. Chibisov for the translation and scientific editing of this book.

A. Shiryaev
Moscow, Russia
2018
Preface to the Fourth Russian Edition

A university course on probability and statistics usually consists of three one-semester parts: probability theory, random processes, and mathematical statistics.

The book Probability-1 covered the material normally included in probability theory.

This book, Probability-2 , contains extensive material for a course on random processes in the part dealing with discrete time processes, i.e., random sequences. (The reader interested in random processes with continuous time may refer to [12], which is closely related to Probability-1 and Probability-2 .)

Chapter , which opens this book, is focused mostly on the properties of sums of independent random variables that hold with probability one (e.g., zeroone laws, the strong law of large numbers, the law of the iterated logarithm).

Chapters treat the strict and wide sense stationary random sequences.

In Chaps. and , we set out random sequences that form martingales and Markov chains . These classes of processes enable us to study the behavior of various stochastic systems in the future, depending on their past and present thanks to which these processes play a very important role in modern probability theory and its applications.

The book concludes with a Historical Review of the Development of Mathematical Theory of Probability.

A. Shiryaev
Moscow, Russia
2003
Contents
Table of Contents of Probability-1
Preface to the Third English Edition
Preface to the Fourth Russian Edition
Preface to the Third Russian Edition
Preface to the Second Edition
Preface to the First Edition
Introduction
1 Elementary Probability Theory
1 Probabilistic Model of an Experiment with a Finite Number of Outcomes
2 Some Classical Models and Distributions
3 Conditional Probability: Independence
4 Random Variables and Their Properties
5 The Bernoulli Scheme: IThe Law of Large Numbers
6 The Bernoulli Scheme: IILimit Theorems (Local, de MoivreLaplace, Poisson)
7 Estimating the Probability of Success in the Bernoulli Scheme
8 Conditional Probabilities and Expectations with Respect to Decompositions
9 Random Walk: IProbabilities of Ruin and Mean Duration in Coin Tossing
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