Cover
title | : | Analysis of Financial Time Series 2Nd Ed. |
author | : | Tsay, Ruey S. |
publisher | : | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (US) |
isbn10 | asin | : | 0471690740 |
print isbn13 | : | 9780471690740 |
ebook isbn13 | : | 9780471746188 |
language | : | English |
subject | Time-series analysis, Econometrics, Risk management. |
publication date | : | 2005 |
lcc | : | HA30.3T76 2005eb |
ddc | : | 332/.01/51955 |
subject | : | Time-series analysis, Econometrics, Risk management. |
Page i
Analysis of Financial Time Series
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WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
Established by WALTER A. SHEWHART and SAMUEL S. WILKS
Editors: David J. Balding, Noel A. C. Cressie, Nicholas I. Fisher,
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David W. Scott, Adrian F. M. Smith, Jozef L. Teugels
Editors Emeriti: Vic Barnett, J. Stuart Hunter, David G. Kendall
A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.
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Analysis of Financial Time Series
Second Edition
RUEY S. TSAY
University of Chicago
Graduate School of Business
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Copyright 2005 by John Wiley Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Published by John Wiley Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.
Published simultaneously in Canada.
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Tsay, Ruey S., 1951
Analysis of financial time series/Ruey S. Tsay.2nd ed.
p. cm.
"Wiley-Interscience."
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN-13 978-0-471-69074-0
ISBN-10 0-471-69074-0 (cloth)
1. Time-series analysis. 2. Econometrics. 3. Risk management. I. Title.
HA30.3T76 2005
332.0151955dc22
2005047030
Printed in the United States of America.
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
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To my parents and Teresa
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Contents
Preface | xvii |
Preface to First Edition | xix |
1. Financial Time Series and Their Characteristics | |
1.1 Asset Returns, | |
1.2 Distributional Properties of Returns, | |
1.2.1 Review of Statistical Distributions and Their Moments, | |
1.2.2 Distributions of Returns, | |
1.2.3 Multivariate Returns, | |
1.2.4 Likelihood Function of Returns, | |
1.2.5 Empirical Properties of Returns, | |
1.3 Processes Considered, | |
Exercises, | |
References, | |
2. Linear Time Series Analysis and Its Applications | |
2.1 Stationarity, | |
2.2 Correlation and Autocorrelation Function, | |
2.3 White Noise and Linear Time Series, | |
2.4 Simple Autoregressive Models, | |
2.4.1 Properties of AR Models, | |
2.4.2 Identifying AR Models in Practice, | |
2.4.3 Goodness of Fit, | |
2.4.4 Forecasting, | |
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2.5 Simple Moving-Average Models, | |
2.5.1 Properties of MA Models, | |
2.5.2 Identifying MA Order, | |
2.5.3 Estimation, | |
2.5.4 Forecasting Using MA Models, | |
2.6 Simple ARMA Models, | |
2.6.1 Properties of ARMA(1,1) Models, | |
2.6.2 General ARMA Models, | |
2.6.3 Identifying ARMA Models, | |
2.6.4 Forecasting Using an ARMA Model, | |
2.6.5 Three Model Representations for an ARMA Model, | |
2.7 Unit-Root Nonstationarity, | |
2.7.1 Random Walk, | |
2.7.2 Random Walk with Drift, | |
2.7.3 Trend-Stationary Time Series, | |
2.7.4 General Unit-Root Nonstationary Models, | |
2.7.5 Unit-Root Test, | |
2.8 Seasonal Models, |
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