Gudmund R. Iversen - Bayesian statistical inference

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title	:	Bayesian Statistical Inference Sage University Papers Series. Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences ; No. 07-043
author	:	Iversen, Gudmund R.
publisher	:	Sage Publications, Inc.
isbn10 | asin	:	0803923287
print isbn13	:	9780803923287
ebook isbn13	:	9780585180861
language	:	English
subject	Bayesian statistical decision theory.
publication date	:	1984
lcc	:	QA279.5.I94 1984eb
ddc	:	519.5/42
subject	:	Bayesian statistical decision theory.

Bayesian Statistical Inference

SAGE UNIVERSITY PAPERS Series: Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences Series Editor: Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa Editorial Consultants Richard A. Berk, Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles William D. Berry, Political Science, Florida State University Kenneth A. Bollen, Sociology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Linda B. Bourque, Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles Jacques A. Hagenaars, Social Sciences, Tilburg University Sally Jackson, Communications, University of Arizona Richard M. Jaeger, Education, University of North Carolina, Greensboro Gary King, Department of Government, Harvard University Roger E. Kirk, Psychology, Baylor University Helena Chmura Kraemer, Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University Peter Marsden, Sociology, Harvard University Helmut Norpoth, Political Science, SUNY, Stony Brook Frank L. Schmidt, Management and Organization, University of Iowa Herbert Weisberg, Political Science, The Ohio State University Publisher Sara Miller McCune, Sage Publications, Inc. INSTRUCTIONS TO POTENTIAL CONTRIBUTORS For guidelines on submission of a monograph proposal to this series, please write Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Editor Sage QASS Series Department of Political Science University of Iowa Iowa City, IA 52242

Page 1 Series / Number 07-043 Bayesian Statistical Inference Gudmund R. Iversen Swarthmore College SAGE PUBLICATIONS The International Professional Publishers Newbury Park London New Delhi

Page 2 Copyright 1984 by Sage Publications, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. For information address: SAGE Publications, Inc. 2455 Teller Road Newbury Park, California 91320 E-mail: order@sagepub.com SAGE Publications Ltd. 6 Bonhill Street London EC2A 4PU United Kingdom SAGE Publications India Pvt. Ltd. M-32 Market Greater Kailash I New Delhi 110 048 India Printed in the United States of America International Standard Book Number 0-8039-2328-7 Library of Congress Catalog Card No. 84-050890 98 99 00 01 15 14 13 12 11 10 When citing a University Paper, please use the proper form. Remember to cite the correct Sage University Paper series title and include the paper number. One of the following formats can be adapted (depending on the style manual used): (1) Iversen, G. R., & Norpoth, H. (1976). Analysis of variance (Sage University Paper series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences, No. 07-001). Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. OR (2) Iversen, G. R., & Norpoth, H. 1976. Analysis of variance. Sage University Paper series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences, series no. 07-001. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.

Page 3 Contents Series Editor's Introduction 5 1. Thomas Bayes and Statistical Inference 7 2. Classical Statistical Inference 9 Use of Tail Probabilities 10 Interpretation of Confidence Intervals 11 Uncertainty about Parameter Values 11 3. Bayes' Theorem 12 Derivation 12 An Example 13

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