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Jonathan Haskel - Capitalism without Capital: The Rise of the Intangible Economy

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Jonathan Haskel Capitalism without Capital: The Rise of the Intangible Economy
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The first comprehensive account of the growing dominance of the intangible economy

Early in the twenty-first century, a quiet revolution occurred. For the first time, the major developed economies began to invest more in intangible assets, like design, branding, R&D, and software, than in tangible assets, like machinery, buildings, and computers. For all sorts of businesses, from tech firms and pharma companies to coffee shops and gyms, the ability to deploy assets that one can neither see nor touch is increasingly the main source of long-term success.

But this is not just a familiar story of the so-called new economy. Capitalism without Capital shows that the growing importance of intangible assets has also played a role in some of the big economic changes of the last decade. The rise of intangible investment is, Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake argue, an underappreciated cause of phenomena from economic inequality to stagnating productivity.

Haskel and Westlake bring together a decade of research on how to measure intangible investment and its impact on national accounts, showing the amount different countries invest in intangibles, how this has changed over time, and the latest thinking on how to assess this. They explore the unusual economic characteristics of intangible investment, and discuss how these features make an intangible-rich economy fundamentally different from one based on tangibles.

Capitalism without Capital concludes by presenting three possible scenarios for what the future of an intangible world might be like, and by outlining how managers, investors, and policymakers can exploit the characteristics of an intangible age to grow their businesses, portfolios, and economies.

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CAPITALISM
WITHOUT
CAPITAL

CAPITALISM WITHOUT CAPITAL THE RISE OF THE INTANGIBLE ECONOMY Jonathan - photo 1

CAPITALISM
WITHOUT
CAPITAL

THE RISE OF THE INTANGIBLE ECONOMY

Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake

PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS
Princeton & Oxford
Copyright 2018 by Princeton University Press Published by Princeton - photo 2

Copyright 2018 by Princeton University Press

Published by Princeton University Press, 41 William Street,
Princeton, New Jersey 08540
In the United Kingdom: Princeton University Press, 6 Oxford
Street, Woodstock, Oxfordshire OX20 1TR

press.princeton.edu

Jacket images courtesy of iStock

All Rights Reserved

ISBN 978-0-691-17503-4

British Library Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available

This book has been composed in Berling LT Std
and Gotham

Printed on acid-free paper.

Printed in the United States of America

1 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 2

ILLUSTRATIONS Figures Tables Boxes ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This book would be impossible - photo 3
Figures
Tables
Boxes
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This book would be impossible without the years of determined and insightful - photo 4

This book would be impossible without the years of determined and insightful work by economists and others who glimpsed the beginnings of the intangible economy and sought to understand and to measure it. From the very start, Carol Corrado, Chuck Hulten, and Dan Sichel have been extraordinarily open and generous with their time and advice and have become delightful coauthors and friends. In particular, Carol Corrado has made detailed and invaluable comments on this text.

It is a pleasure as well to thank our various close coauthors over the years, as much of the data and thinking in this book is drawn from our joint work. Particular thanks are due to Tony Clayton of the Office for National Statistics and UK Intellectual Property Office, Peter Goodridge (Imperial College), Massimiliano Iommi (ISTAT), Cecilia Jona-Lasinio (LUISS), Gavin Wallis (Bank of England), Albert Bravo Biosca (Nesta), Mariela Dal Borgo (Warwick), Peter Gratzke (Nesta), Brian MacAulay (Nesta), Martin Brassell (Inngot), Ben Reid (Nesta), and Mauro Giorgio Marrano (Queen Mary).

We are also grateful to the organizations that have funded this work, including the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC, EP/K039504/1), the European Commission Seventh Framework Programme (COINVEST, 217512; SPINTAN 612774), HM Treasury, and the Agensi Inovasi Malaysia. In particular, much of the cross-country data in this book comes from the COINVEST- and SPINTAN-funded projects with long-standing coauthors Carol Corrado, Massimiliano Iommi, and Cecilia Jona-Lasinio.

Our authorial partnership began with our collaboration on Nestas Innovation Index, a project that would not have happened without the support of Richard Halkett and Jonathan Kestenbaum of Nesta, John Kingman of HM Treasury, and David Currie, who chaired the advisory board. A commission from Ryan Avent of the Economist gave us the idea of writing something for a wider audience.

We are also grateful to the people who challenged us to think about the broader implications of intangibles for the economy and for society and who patiently commented on drafts. Particular thanks go to Diane Coyle, for her insightful advice and comments throughout the project, and to Alex Edmans, Fernando Galindo Rueda, Neil Lee, Mike Lynch, David Pitt Watson, and Giles Wilkes, who commented on particular chapters, and Simon Haskel, who read the text in its entirety. Other readers and discussants to whom we are very grateful include Hasan Bakhshi, Daniel Finkelstein, Tom Forth, John Kay, Juan Mateos Garcia, Ramana Nanda, Paul Nightingale, Robert Peston, and Bart van Ark. Jonathan thanks his students Hussam Bakkar, Viktor Bertilsson, Shi The, and Xiaoyi Wang, while Stian thanks Nestas Policy & Research team for their input and support.

Of course, all errors and omissions are our responsibility.

Stians participation in the project was enabled by a period of leave from Nesta, which would not have been possible but for Geoff Mulgan, who generously granted it, and Louise Marston, who led the team with flair in his absence. Jonathan is grateful for the support of Imperial College and the European Commission-funded SPINTAN project during the writing period. All the while, Gemima King of Nesta and Donna Sutherland Smith of Imperial helped keep the show on the road.

Princeton University Press has been a source of support and encouragement throughout; we are especially grateful to Sarah Caro, Hannah Paul, and Chris Van Horne for their hard work.

Above all, we are grateful to our families for their boundless support and encouragement throughout this project: Stian to Kirsten, Aurelia, and Clara and Jonathan to Sue, Hannah, and Sarah. We dedicate this book, with love, to them.

1 Introduction Valuation the Old-Fashioned Way or a Thousand Years in - photo 5
1
Introduction Valuation the Old-Fashioned Way or a Thousand Years in Essex - photo 6
Introduction
Valuation, the Old-Fashioned Way: or,
a Thousand Years in Essex

Colin Matthews was vexed. To have valuers crawling all over his airport was the last thing he wanted. But after three years, it could no longer be stopped.

It was the summer of 2012. For three years he had been fighting the UK competition authorities attempts to break up British Airports Authority (BAA), the company he ran and which owned most of Britains large airports. He had exhausted his legal options and was giving up.

So now the men and women with suits and spreadsheets and high-viz vests were going round his airports, working out how much they were worth to potential buyers. Accountants and lawyers and surveyors and engineers measured and counted, and bit by bit, they came up with a value for the whole of Stansted, Britains fourth-busiest airport, to the northeast of London.

They priced up the tarmac, the terminal, the baggage equipment. There was an agreed value for the parking lots, the bus station, and the airport hotel. There was some argument about the underground fuel pumps, but the calculation was not out of the ordinary for BAAs accountants: the cost of the asset less its depreciation, with some adjustment for inflation. Sure enough, when Stansted was sold in 2013 (for 1.5 billion), the price was pretty close to what the accountants had valued the business at.

In one sense, the valuation of Stansted looked like a quintessentially twenty-first-century scene. There was the airport itself. What could be a better emblem of globalized high modernity than an airport? There was the troupe of accountants and lawyers, those ubiquitous servants of financial capitalism. And, of course, there was the economic logic of the process: from the privatization that put BAA in the private sector in the first place, to the competition policy that caused the breakup, to the infrastructure funds that circled to buy the assets after breakup; all very modern.

But at the same time, the valuation of Stansted was the kind of thing that had been going on for centuries. The business of working out how much something was worth by counting up and measuring physical stuff has a long and noble tradition.

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