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Bilyana Lilly - Russian Foreign Policy Toward Missile Defense: Actors, Motivations, and Influence

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Bilyana Lilly Russian Foreign Policy Toward Missile Defense: Actors, Motivations, and Influence
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This book is devoted to one of the central issues in U.S.-Russian and NATO-Russian relations--ballistic missile defense. Drawing on more than 2,000 primary sources, interviews with Russian and NATO officials, and a variety of Russian and Western publications, this book offers an unparalleled, in-depth analysis of the reasons behind Russias policy towards the construction of a U.S ballistic missile defense in Europe. It provides a critical assessment of the decision-making mechanisms that shape Russias position on ballistic missile defense, as well as Russias strategic relations with the United States and Russias interaction with European and non-European powers.Lilly argues that contrary to Moscows official claims during the Putin era, Russian objections to the construction of ballistic missile defense in Europe have not been wholly dictated by security concerns. To Russia, missile defense is not purely an issue in and of itself, but rather a symbol and instrument of broader political considerations. At the international level, the factors that have shaped Russias response include Moscows perception of the overall state of U.S.-Russian relations, the Kremlins capacity to project influence and power abroad, and NATOs behavior in the post-Soviet space. Domestically, the issue of missile defense has been a facilitating instrument for strengthening Putins regime and justifying military modernization. Taken together, these instrumental considerations and their fluctuating intensity in different periods prompt the Russian leadership to pursue contradictory policy approaches simultaneously. On the one hand, the Kremlin seeks U.S. cooperation, while on the other hand, it threatens retaliation and reinforces Russian offensive capabilities. The result is Moscows incoherence, inconsistency, and double-speak over the issue of missile defense.

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Bilyana Lilly - Russian Foreign Policy Toward Missile Defense: Actors, Motivations, and Influence
Russian Foreign Policy Toward Missile Defense: Actors, Motivations, and Influence
Bilyana Lilly
Russian Foreign Policy Toward Missile Defense: Actors, Motivations, and Influence
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Bilyana Lilly
Russian Information Warfare

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Russian Foreign Policy
toward Missile Defense


Russian Foreign Policy
toward Missile Defense

Actors, Motivations, and Influence

Bilyana Lilly


LEXINGTON BOOKS

Lanham Boulder New York London

Published by Lexington Books

An imprint of The Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, Inc.

4501 Forbes Boulevard, Suite 200, Lanham, Maryland 20706

www.rowman.com


16 Carlisle Street, London W1D 3BT, United Kingdom


Copyright 2014 by Lexington Books


All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any electronic or mechanical means, including information storage and retrieval systems, without written permission from the publisher, except by a reviewer who may quote passages in a review.


British Library Cataloguing in Publication Information Available


Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data


Lilly, Bilyana.

Russian foreign policy toward missile defense : actors, motivations, and influence / Bilyana Lilly.

pages cm

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN 978-0-7391-8384-7 (cloth : alk. paper) -- ISBN 978-0-7391-8385-4 (electronic)

1. Ballistic missile defenses--Government policy--Russia (Federation) 2. National security--Russia (Federation) 3. Ballistic missile defenses--United States. 4. Ballistic missile defenses--Europe. I. Title.

UG745.R8L55 2014

327.1'74--dc23

2014023714


Picture 1 TM The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of American National Standard for Information Sciences Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI/NISO Z39.48-1992.


Printed in the United States of America

To Antoaneta and Ventsislav Tsvetkovi


List of Illustrations List of Acronyms ABM antiballistic missile ABM - photo 2
List of Illustrations
List of Acronyms

ABM

antiballistic missile

ABM Treaty

Treaty on the Limitation of Anti-Ballistic Missile Systems

ALTBMD

Active Layered Theatre Ballistic Missile Defense (NATO)

AVN

Academy of Military Sciences (Akedemiya Voyennykh Nauk) (Russia)

BMD

ballistic missile defense

CEO

chief executive officer

CFE

Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe

CIS

Commonwealth of Independent States

CRS

Congressional Research Service (United States)

CSTO

Collective Security Treaty Organization

CTBT

Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty

CWC

Chemical Weapons Convention

DARPA

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (United States)

DOD

Department of Defense (United States)

EASI

Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative

EMR

European Midcourse Radar

EPAA

European Phased Adaptive Approach

FAS

Federation of American Scientists

FPI

Russian Foundation for Advanced Research Projects in the Defense Industry (Fond perspektivnykh issledovaniy) (Russia)

FSB

Federal Security Service (Federalnaya Sluzhba Bezopasnosti) (Russia)

G8

Group of Eight

GBI

ground-based interceptors

GCS

Global Control System (for the Non-Proliferation of Missiles and Missile Technology)

GDP

gross domestic product

GMD

ground-based mid-course defense

GPV-2020

State Armaments Program through 2020 (Gosudarstvennaya Programma Vooruzheniya ) (Russia)

GRU

Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff (Glavnoye Razvedyvatelnoye Upravleniye GeneralnogoShtaba ) (Russia)

ICBM

intercontinental ballistic missile

IMEMO

Institute of World Economy and International Relations (Institut mirovoy ekonomiki i mezhdunarodnykh otnosheniy) (Russia)

IMF

International Monetary Fund

INF Treaty

Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles

ISKRAN

Institute for the U.S. and Canadian Studies (Institut SShA i KanadyRossiyskoy akademii nauk) (Russia)

JDEC

Joint Data Exchange Center

MAD

mutually assured destruction

MAP

membership action plan (NATO)

MDA

Missile Defense Agency (United States)

MGIMO

Moscow State Institute of International Relations (Russia)

MIC

Military Industrial Commission (Voyenno-Promyshlennaya Komissiya) (Russia)

MID

Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ministerstvo Inostrannykh Del) (Russia)

MIRV

multiple independently targeted reentry vehicle

MITT

Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology

MO

Ministry of Defense (Ministerstvo Oborony) (Russia)

NATO

North Atlantic Treaty Organization

NGO

nongovernmental organization

NMD

National Missile Defense (United States)

NPT

Non-Proliferation Treaty

NRC

NATO-Russia Council

NSA

National Security Agency (United States)

NSBM

non-strategic ballistic missile

NVO

Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye (Russia)

OOS

Assembly of All Russian Officers (Obshcherossiyskoye Ofitserskoye Sobraniye) (Russia)

OPCW

Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons

PIR Center

Russian Center for Policy Studies (Tsentr Politicheskikh Issledovaniiy Rossii) (Russia)

RAMOS

Russian-American Observation Satellite

RSMD

Russian International Affairs Council (Rossiyskiy sovet po mezhdunarodnym delam) (Russia)

RVSN

Russias Strategic Rocket Forces (Raketnye Voyska Strategicheskogo Naznacheniya)

SCO

Shanghai Cooperation Organization

SDI

Strategic Defense Initiative (United States)

SHAPE

Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (NATO)

SIPRI

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

SLBM

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