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Andrew Sven Erickson - Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Development: Drivers, Trajectories, and Strategic Implications

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Andrew Sven Erickson Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Development: Drivers, Trajectories, and Strategic Implications
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Jamestowns Mission The Jamestown Foundations mission is to inform and educate - photo 1
Jamestowns Mission
The Jamestown Foundations mission is to inform and educate policymakers and the broader policy community about events and trends in those societies which are strategically or tactically important to the United States and which frequently restrict access to such information. Utilizing indigenous and primary sources, Jamestowns material is delivered without political bias, filter or agenda. It is often the only source of information which should be, but is not always, available through official or intelligence channels, especially in regard to Eurasia and terrorism.
Origins
Launched in 1984 by its founder William Geimer, The Jamestown Foundation has emerged as one of the leading providers of research and analysis on conflict and instability in Eurasia. The Jamestown Foundation has rapidly grown to become one of the leading sources of information on Eurasia, developing a global network of analytical expertise from the Baltic to the Horn of Africa. This core of intellectual talent includes former high-ranking government officials, journalists, research analysts, scholars and economists. Their insight contributes significantly to helping policymakers around the world understand the emerging trends and developments in many of the worlds under-reported conflict zones in Eurasia.
THE JAMESTOWN FOUNDATION
Published in the United States by
The Jamestown Foundation
1111 16th St. N.W.
Suite 320
Washington, DC 20036
http://www.jamestown.org
Copyright The Jamestown Foundation, May 2013
All rights reserved. No part of this report may be reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written consent. For copyright permissions information, contact The Jamestown Foundation.
The views expressed in this report are those of the contributing author and not necessarily those of The Jamestown Foundation. The report was edited by Peter Mattis, Editor of China Brief at The Jamestown Foundation.
For more information on this report or The Jamestown Foundation, email: .
ISBN: 978-0-9855-0458-8
We are continentalists. Now guided missiles are well developed. Installed on shore, they can hit any target, and there is no need to build a big navy.
- Vice Premier Zhang Chunqiao addressing the Central Military Commission (1972)
Whatever the enemy fears most, that is what we should develop.
- President Jiang Zemin as quoted by General Zhang Wannian (1999)
When many carrier-borne aircraft are used in continuous air strikes against our coast, in order to halt the powerful air raids, the enemys core carrier should be struck as with a heavy hammer.
- Science of Second Artillery Campaigns (2004)
Since the introduction of nuclear weapons, all the major nuclear powers have developed ballistic missile warning systems against possible nuclear attacks, and there has not been a single precedent of a major nuclear power attacking another with ballistic missiles.
- Huo Fei and Luo Shiwei, Modern Ships (2008)
The queen of the American fleet, and the centerpiece of the most powerful Navy the world has ever seen, the aircraft carrier, is in danger of becoming like the battleships it was originally designed to support: big, expensive, vulnerableand surprisingly irrelevant to the conflicts of the time.
- Captain Henry J. Hendrix, U.S. Navy (2013)
Table of Contents
List of Figures and Tables
List of Acronyms
A2/AD
Anti-Access, Area Denial
ASBM
Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile
ASW
Anti-Submarine Warfare
ASCM
Anti-ship Cruise Missile
AMS
Academy of Military Science
AWACS
Airborne Warning and Control System
BMD
Ballistic Missile Defense
C4ISR
Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance
CASC
China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
CASIC
China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation
CBERS
China-Brazil Earth Resources Satellite
CEP
Circular Error Probable
CMC
Central Military Commission
CNSA
China National Space Administration
CSG
Carrier Strike Group
CSIC
China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation
CSIS
Center for Strategic and International Studies
DMC
Disaster Monitoring Constellation
DOD
U.S. Department of Defense
DOT&E
Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (U.S.)
ELINT
Electronic Intelligence
EO
Electro-Optical
FOC
Full Operational Capability
GAD
General Armaments Department
GSD
General Staff Department
INF Treaty
Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty
ISR
Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance
IOC
Initial Operational Capability
KKV
Kinetic Kill Vehicle
MaRV
Maneuverable Re-entry Vehicle
MR
Military Region
MRBM
Medium-Range Ballistic Missile
NASIC
National Air and Space Intelligence Center
NOSS
Naval Ocean Surveillance System
NSB
National Security Bureau (Republic of China, Taiwan)
ONI
Office of Naval Intelligence (U.S.)
OTH
Over-the-Horizon
PLA
Peoples Liberation Army
PLAAF
Peoples Liberation Army Air Force
PLAN
Peoples Liberation Army Navy
PNT
Positioning, Navigation and Timing
RORSAT
Radar Ocean Reconnaissance Satellite
RV
Reentry Vehicle
SAR
Synthetic-Aperture Radar
SOC
Science of Campaigns
SRBM
Short-Range Ballistic Missile
SSAC
Science of Second Artillery Campaigns
SSBN
Ballistic Missile Submarine, Nuclear-Powered
SSGN
Guided Missile Submarine, Nuclear-Powered
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