The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637
The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London
2019 by The University of Chicago
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission, except in the case of brief quotations in critical articles and reviews. For more information, contact the University of Chicago Press, 1427 E. 60th St., Chicago, IL 60637.
Published 2019
Printed in the United States of America
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ISBN-13: 978-0-226-58920-6 (cloth)
ISBN-13: 978-0-226-58934-3 (paper)
ISBN-13: 978-0-226-58948-0 (e-book)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226589480.001.0001
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Jacobson, Gary C., author.
Title: Presidents and parties in the public mind / Gary C. Jacobson.
Description: Chicago : The University of Chicago Press, 2019. | Includes bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2018037061 | ISBN 9780226589206 (cloth : alk. paper) | ISBN 9780226589343 (pbk. : alk. paper) | ISBN 9780226589480 (e-book)
Subjects: LCSH: PresidentsUnited StatesPublic opinion. | Political partiesUnited StatesPublic opinion. | Public opinionUnited States.
Classification: LCC JK2265 .J33 2019 | DDC 324.273dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018037061
This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.481992 (Permanence of Paper).
Change in Democratic Party affect as a function of change in Democratic candidate affect
Change in Republican Party affect as a function of change in Republican candidate affect
Coefficients from regressions of party affect on candidate affect over the 2008 election year
Approval of the presidents job performance and favorable views of presidents party
Positive views of the president and positive views of presidents party
Consistent positive or negative opinions of the president and his party (percent)
Consistent approval/disapproval of presidents performance and favorable/unfavorable opinions of his party (percent)
Favorable opinion of opposition party as a function of presidential approval
Positive views of the president and the opposition party
Approval of the presidents job performance and approval / favorable opinion of the presidents party or party leaders in Congress
Ratings of the president and presidents congressional parties performance as excellent or pretty good (Harris Polls)
Approval of the presidents job performance and opinion of opposition party or party leaders in Congress
Ratings of the president and opposition congressional partys performance as excellent or very good (Harris Polls)
Approval of the presidents job performance and approval of parties or party leaders in Congress, controlling for congressional approval
Ratings of the president and congressional parties performance as excellent or pretty good, controlling for quarterly congressional approval (Harris Polls)
Approval of the presidents job performance and approval of parties or party leaders in Congress, controlling for congressional approval, by control of the House, G. W. Bush and Obama administrations
Effects of presidents thermometer ratings on party thermometer ratings, 19782016 (regression coefficients)
Relationships between party and president thermometer ratings over time
Party thermometer ratings as a function of the presidents thermometer scores (Democracy Corps Polls)
Presidential approval and perceptions of relative party competence
Estimated effects of presidential approval on individual respondents perceptions of relative party superiority in handling the most important problem
Presidential approval and the party more trusted to cope with the nations problems
Presidential approval and preference for president or rival congressional party in handling national problems
Approval of the presidents handling of the economy and party advantage on managing the economy
Presidents partys advantage over rival party in Congress in trust on handling the economy as a function of approval of presidents performance on the economy
The effects of presidential approval on education on relative party reputation for handling education
Approval of the presidents handling of foreign policy and party advantage on managing foreign policy, Reagan through Obama administrations
Approval of G. W. Bushs handling of terrorism and the Republican Party advantage on dealing with it
Approval of presidents job performance and opinion on which party is better for / cares more about people like you or the middle class
ANES questions on ideology and policy positions from the cumulative data file
Regression of mean locations of parties on locations of presidents / presidential candidates across election years
Regression of mean locations of parties on locations of presidents / presidential candidates across election years, by party identification
Effects of president/candidate location on party location on the 7-point liberalconservative scale (regression coefficients, individual surveys)
Effects of president/candidate location on party location on the 7-point issue scales (regression coefficients, individual surveys)
Changes in party location on ideology and issues scales as a function of changes in the presidents location (with controls)
Coefficients from regressing party locations on presidents / presidential candidates and House candidates locations on the 7-point ideology and issue scales (with controls)
Coefficients from regressing placement of Democratic Party on placement of Barack Obama and Democratic congressional candidates on the 7-point liberalconservative scale, 20102014
Coefficients from regressing placement of the Republican Party on placement of Mitt Romney on the 7-point liberalconservative scale, 2012
Coefficients from regressing placements of the parties on placement of the presidential candidates, Obama, and the House and Senate candidates on the 7-point liberalconservative scale in 2016 (with controls)
The effects of presidential approval on changes in individual party identification
The effects of presidential approval on changes in individual party identification (with lagged presidential approval)
Presidential approval and change in party identification between panel waves (weighted averages)
Change in party identification as function of change in candidate affect, 20082009
Presidential approval and macropartisanship
Party identification of whites, 19522016 (percentages)
Ticket splitting and party loyalty in presidential and state elections (percentages)
Net generic vote for presidents partys candidate as a function of presidential approval
Net preference for presidents partys control of congress as a function of presidential approval
Net number of House seats won or lost by the presidents party, 19462016
Presidential approval and partisan voting in midterm elections, 19742014 (percent defecting to other partys House candidate)
