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Marie Bussing-Burks - Deficit: Why Should I Care?

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Marie Bussing-Burks Deficit: Why Should I Care?
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At the turn of this century, the American national debt stood at just under $6 trillion and the deficit at a mere $86 billion. Today, the national debt has topped $15 trillion, and the yearly deficit for 2012 is projected at a whopping $1.2 trillion. This new, second edition of Deficits: Why Should I Care? updates all the statistics, charts, and forecasts, while adding a new chapter on how global economies now, for better or worse, affect the U.S. debt and the annual budget deficit. It also includes a new appendix detailing how the U.S. political parties view the debt issue. According to the U.S. Treasury Departments Annual Report on the Public Debt, the debt is estimated to hit $19.6 trillion by 2015. The federal government has borrowed roughly 40 percent of its total budget for the last several years, a trend that could leave the U.S. in an economic crisis. Astronomical interest payments, a debt burden to your children and grandchildren, and an increased reliance on foreign creditors are just a few of the problems. Although the U.S. has experienced soaring unemployment, stagnant production, and a crippled housing market, foremost on many economists minds are rising deficits and ballooning debt. Others feel fears of the national debt are overblown or pale in comparison to todays economic problems. This clear, concise book will give you the need-to-know on the debt. You will learn: How to calculate deficits and the national debt The history of U.S debt and its recent unparalleled growth over the years How and why the government borrows money The economic arguments for, and against, accruing a debt Could we become like Greece if we dont cut our deficit? The impact of the debt on interest rates and inflation The impact of the debt on the value of the dollar and U.S. economic power This book also answers key questions: Can the government go bankrupt? Why have there seemingly been no repurcussions of the large debt to date and is that likely to change? When the interest on the debt becomes higher than the revenue of the government, what happens? And many more practical insights into the government debt controversy. Business professionals, parents, retirees, and students are all concerned about the debt. This quick read will provide an understanding of the ramifications of the rising debt and what the consequences may be. What youll learn Why the debt now could be a problem when people have been crying wolf about it for for the last 40 years How the world economy affects the U.S. debt and deficit What the government can do to reduce the debt and the implicationsespecially for such programs as Medicare and Social Security The long-term implications of the debt Methods and tactics for balancing the budget When accruing a debt makes sense and when it does not Action steps for monitoring the debt Who this book is for Deficit: Why Should I Care? is written for the busy business professional, concerned parent, retired worker, or student. While academic and theoretical texts on the subject lack brevity, this book will help you understand the seriousness of the debt issue in a clear, concise format. This work has been condensed into eight need-to-know chapters, each containing the key points necessary for understanding this complex economic issue affecting the economic future of all Americans. Whether you are a businessperson concerned about the economy, a parent anxious about the debt burden of your children and grandchildren, a retiree fretful about programs like Social Security, or a student who needs additional information to supplement a textbook, this is the book for you. The appendix provides a website selection covering government agencies, economic sources, and academic sites to assist you in finding the most up-to-date information on the debt drama. Table of ContentsIn addition to the new material (about 6,000 words), all statistics will be updated and more charts and graphs will be added to provide insight. Chapter 1. Crash Course on the National Debt This chapter delves into the role of the government in the U.S. economy. The government must provide certain essential goods and services for its taxpayers. In turn, the government collects taxes to pay for these goods and services. But when the government spends more than it takes in, a deficit occurs, and the government must borrow to pay for its overspending. This chapter takes a look at the budget process and the different types of budgets: balanced, deficit, and surplus. Chapter 2. A Huge Credit Card This chapter introduces the history of the debt and the issuing agency, the Bureau of the Public Debt. It examines details of the agencys financing instruments, Treasury securities, and savings bonds. Other main topics include the ownership of the debt, United States versus foreign, and interest payments, which hamper the governments ability to balance the budget. **NEW ** Chapter 3. Primer on the Current Global Economy Our Interconnected World --Policies and Events in One Country Affect Other Countries --The Impact of Weakening Economies on the U.S. --Trade Downturns --Declining Income and Jobs Potential Global Recession China: Long-term Slowing? European Debt Crisis --Spreading Financial Disease Across the Globe for Years to Come? Worlds Financial Markets --Unresolved Banking Crises --Periodic Stock Market Selloffs Economic Growth Key to Revenue Growth --Revenue Key to Managing Deficit --Earnings Stagnant Impact on the U.S. Budget and Deficit Chapter 4. Deficit and Debt Projections This chapter describes how the governments spending and tax policies influence output. The government has historically used fiscal policies to alter the macro economy, with some successes and some failures. We will look at an overview of recent fiscal policies, including the economic stimulus package designed to combat the December 2007 downturn, and impacts on the deficit and debt. This chapter introduces the rising debt compared with gross domestic product (GDP), considers the productive capacity debate, and provides projections on the debt trend. Chapter 5. Do Deficits and the Debt Matter? This chapter sets the stage for the debt debate. It was back in 2002, at a meeting of President Bushs economic advisors, that Vice President Dick Cheney said, Deficits dont matter, a viewpoint many politicians and economists have held for years. The deficit at that time was just $158 billion. Now some in Congress and many interest groups say deficits matter a great deal, and we must eliminate deficits and pay down the debt. others say no, we must spend in the face of economic hard times. NEW ADDITIONS FOR THE SECOND EDITION: Changing Demographics --Historical Overview of Social Security --Historical Overview of Medicare --Historical Overview of Medicaid Chapter 6. Deficits Do Not Matter This chapter focuses on the viewpoint that deficit spending is not a concern to the health of the U.S. economy. In fact, sometimes running a deficit contributes beneficial effects for the economy. Government spending supports the economy through building strong economic growth and more jobs. The federal governments deficit financing provides many essential services to society, such as national defense, education, public welfare, Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. In addition, the government sells Treasury securities and savings bonds to finance the debt. Not only are these important savings instruments for investors, but the Federal Reserve formulates monetary policy using government securities. A common view says that Treasuries can be issued continually to finance the governments needs, and it is not imperative to pay down the debt. The United States is not unique in its deficit situation. NEW ADDITIONS FOR THE SECOND EDITION How Deficits Help Other Major Economies Sidebar: Interview with a Leading Economist Who Favors Deficit Spending Chapter 7. Deficits Do Matter This chapter explores the concerns with deficit financing. It provides a deeper explanation as to why some feel the debt matters more now than it has in the past. You will be introduced to both the long-time arguments against deficit financingburden to future generations, hefty interest payments, crowding out of the lending, and economic instabilityalong with some new twists. The United States has an increased reliance on foreign creditors. China is now our number one creditor. Chapter 8. Get a Handle on the National Debt This chapter teaches the reader about government spending and ways to curb deficit spending. Pork projects impact government money spent in a particular locale and bring advantages to their political representative...

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Deficit Why Should I Care - image 1

DEFICIT

WHY SHOULD I CARE?

Second Edition

_____________

Marie Bussing-Burks

Deficit Why Should I Care - image 2

Deficit: Why Should I Care? Second Edition

Copyright 2012 by Marie Bussing-Burks

All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the copyright owner and the publisher.

ISBN-13 (pbk): 978-1-4302-4839-2

ISBN-13 (electronic): 978-1-4302-4840-8

Trademarked names may appear in this book. Rather than use a trademark symbol with every occurrence of a trademarked name, we use the names only in an editorial fashion and to the benefit of the trademark owner, with no intention of infringement of the trademark.

President and Publisher: Paul Manning

Acquisitions Editor: Jeff Olson

Technical Reviewer: Todd Knoop

Editorial Board: Steve Anglin, Mark Beckner, Ewan Buckingham, Gary Cornell, Louise Corrigan, Morgan Ertel, Jonathan Gennick, Jonathan Hassell, Robert Hutchinson, Michelle Lowman, James Markham, Matthew Moodie, Jeff Olson, Jeffrey Pepper, Douglas Pundick, Ben Renow-Clarke, Dominic Shakeshaft, Gwenan Spearing, Matt Wade, Tom Welsh

Coordinating Editor: Rita Fernando

Copy Editor: Judy Ann Levine

Compositor: SPi Global

Indexer: SPi Global

Cover Designer: Anna Ishschenko

Distributed to the book trade worldwide by Springer-Verlag New York, Inc., 233 Spring Street, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10013. Phone 1-800-SPRINGER, fax 201-348-4505, e-mail orders-ny@springer-sbm.com , or visit www.springeronline.com .

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The information in this book is distributed on an as is basis, without warranty. Although every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this work, neither the author(s) nor Apress shall have any liability to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused or alleged to be caused directly or indirectly by the information contained in this work.

To Phyllis and Bill

Contents

About the Author

Marie Bussing-Burks holds Master of Business Administration and Doctorate of - photo 3

Marie Bussing-Burks holds Master of Business Administration and Doctorate of Arts in Economics degrees. She is an Assistant Professor of Economics in the College of Business at the University of Southern Indiana.

Bussing-Burks is the author of six other books: 100 Years of the Federal Reserve: The Central Banking System in the United States, Starbucks: Corporations that Changed the World, Money for Minors: A Students Guide to Economics, Influential Economists, Profit from the Evening News: Using Leading Economic Indicators to Make Smart Money Decisions, and The Young Zillionaires Guide to Taxation and Government Spending. In addition, she has more than 30 magazine, newspaper, and journal articles to her credit.

About the Technical Reviewer

Todd Knoop is a Professor of Economics and Business at Cornell College and the - photo 4

Todd Knoop is a Professor of Economics and Business at Cornell College and the author of two books: Recessions and Depressions: Understanding Business Cycles and Modern Financial Macroeconomics: Panics, Crashes, and Crises. He also has a forthcoming book on financial markets in emerging market economies and has published articles in the Canadian Journal of Economics, Economic Inquiry, and Southern Economic Journal. He holds a Doctorate from Purdue University.

Acknowledgments

Writing this book has been a great learning experience and a collaborative effort. It is with sincere appreciation that I acknowledge the efforts of those who assisted me in this endeavor.

A special thanks to Jeff Olson, Executive Editor/Business at Apress, for providing me with this enlightening opportunity to explore the deficit and the national debt. His knowledge and insight on business topics has been invaluable. My sincere gratitude to Rita Fernando, Coordinating Editor at Apress. Her guidance, expertise, and contributions assisted me greatly. I am grateful to Professor Todd Knoop for his helpful comments on review of the text. My thanks to Cathy Bowman for her excellent editorial assistance. Last, I owe a debt of gratitude to Harry Zeeve, the National Field Director of The Concord Coalition, and Representative Bill Frenzel, guest scholar at Brookings Institution, for their valued interview responses.

It has been a pleasure working with everyone who has assisted with the writing of this book. I appreciate the assistance in investigating the largest economic concern of the time: the rising deficits and $16 trillion plus national debt.

Introduction

The United States is experiencing a host of serious economic problems, including soaring unemployment, stagnant production, a crippled housing market, and ballooning government spending. Although each issue is important, it is the governments burgeoning spending, along with the weakening economy from an approaching fiscal cliff, that has really captured everyones attention. The hot economic topic discussed around the kitchen table, at dinner parties and business meetings, on nightly news programs, and in academic settings is the deficit and the national debt.

Most people agree that the government is a big spender and the mounting debt is troublesome. In fact, in a recent USA Today/Gallup poll, federal government debt and terrorism tied as the most serious issue of concern to Americans for the future well-being of the United States. Yet some people, including prominent economists, are not all that worried about the debt.

In the press, on the Internet, and in the media, the public is often misinformed regarding the specifics of the current deficit and debt issue. In fact, the terms deficit and debt are routinely and incorrectly used as interchangeable vocabulary. This book will set the record straight on the deficit and the debt, while presenting the facts in a clear, concise manner.

Here is a preview of what you will learn. The federal governments annual budget impacts the national debt. If the government were to post a balanced budget, it would mean the governments revenues equal expenses, or that taxation and fee collection are equal to spending. A balanced budget is an extremely rare occurrence. Routinely, budgets are either in a surplus or a deficit. When the government spends less than it collects in taxes, it runs a surplus. Each year for a 4-year period from 1998 to 2001, the United States had a surplus budget. Since then, the government has incurred a widening and alarming deficit.

The deficit is the yearly amount by which government spending exceeds taxation. The yearly deficit for 2012 is projected to surpass $1 trillion. The deficit stirs concern and debate because the government must borrow funds to pay for its excess spending. Too large to place on a giant credit card, the funds are borrowed by the federal government by issuing Treasury securities and savings bonds. The total amount of borrowing, known as the

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