Andrew Cook - Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management
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Air traffic management (ATM) comprises a highly complex socio-technical system that keeps air traffic flowing safely and efficiently, worldwide, every minute of the year. Over the last few decades, several ambitious ATM performance improvement programmes have been undertaken. Such programmes have mostly delivered local technological solutions, whilst corresponding ATM performance improvements have fallen short of stakeholder expectations. In hindsight, this can be substantially explained from a complexity science perspective: ATM is simply too complex to address through classical approaches such as system engineering and human factors. In order to change this, complexity science has to be embraced as ATMs best friend. The applicability of complexity science paradigms to the analysis and modelling of future operations is driven by the need to accommodate long-term air traffic growth within an already-saturated ATM infrastructure.
Complexity Science in Air Traffic Management is written particularly, but not exclusively, for transport researchers, though it also has a complementary appeal to practitioners, supported through the frequent references made to practical examples and operational themes such as performance, airline strategy, passenger mobility, delay propagation and free-flight safety. The book should also have significant appeal beyond the transport domain, due to its intrinsic value as an exposition of applied complexity science and applied research, drawing on examples of simulations and modelling throughout, with corresponding insights into the design of new concepts and policies, and the understanding of complex phenomena that are invisible to classical techniques.
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First published 2016
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
and by Routledge
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017
Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
2016 Andrew Cook and Damin Rivas
The right of Andrew Cook and Damin Rivas to be identified as the authors of the editorial material, and of the authors for their individual chapters, has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.
The production of this book was co-financed by EUROCONTROL, acting on behalf of the SESAR Joint Undertaking and the European Union. The SESAR Project ComplexWorld Consortium are owners of the Foreground.
Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.
British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Cook, Andrew, Dr., author. | Rivas, Damin, author.
Title: Complexity science in air traffic management / by Andrew Cook
and Damin Rivas.
Description: Burlington, VT : Ashgate, [2016] |
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2015037713 | ISBN 9781472460370 (hardback)
Subjects: LCSH: Air traffic control. | AirportsTraffic control. |
Operations research. | System analysis. | Complexity (Philosophy)
Classification: LCC TL725.3.T7 C68 2016 | DDC 387.7/4042601172dc23
LC record available at http://lccn.loc.gov/2015037713
ISBN: 9781472460370 (hbk)
ISBN: 9781315573205 (ebk)
Typeset in Times New Roman
by Apex CoVantage, LLC
4D Four-dimensional
ABMS Agent-based modelling and simulation
AOC Airline operations control
ASAS Airborne separation assistance system
ATC Air traffic control
ATFM Air traffic flow management
ATM Air traffic management
CNT Complex network theory
EUROCONTROL European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation
FAA Federal Aviation Administration (United States)
IATA International Air Transport Association
KPI Key performance indicator
SES Single European Sky
SESAR Single European Sky ATM research (programme)
TBO Trajectory-based operations
Marc Bourgois
Innovative Research Manager
EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre
Brtigny-sur-Orge, France
Dr Andrew Cook
Principal Research Fellow
Department of Planning and Transport
University of Westminster
London, UK
Dr Massimiliano Zanin
Principal Researcher
The INNAXIS Foundation & Research Institute
Madrid, Spain
Fabrizio Lillo
Associate Professor
Scuola Normale Superiore
Pisa, Italy
Rosario N. Mantegna
Full Professor
Dipartimento di Fisica e Chimica
Universit degli Studi di Palermo, Italy and
Center for Network Science and Department of Economics
Central European University
Budapest, Hungary
Salvatore Miccich
Associate Professor
Dipartimento di Fisica e Chimica
Universit degli Studi di Palermo, Italy
Damin Rivas
Professor
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Universidad de Sevilla, Spain
Rafael Vazquez
Associate Professor
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Universidad de Sevilla, Spain
Dr Henk A.P. Blom
Full Professor
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
and
Principal Scientist
National Aerospace Laboratory NLR
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Soufiane Bouarfa
Researcher
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
Dr Henk A.P. Blom
Full Professor
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands and
Principal Scientist
National Aerospace Laboratory NLR
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Dr Mariken H.C. Everdij
Senior Scientist
National Aerospace Laboratory NLR
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Soufiane Bouarfa
Researcher
Department of Aerospace Engineering
Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
Dr Massimiliano Zanin
Principal Researcher
The INNAXIS Foundation & Research Institute
Madrid, Spain
Dr Andrew Cook
Principal Research Fellow
Department of Planning and Transport
University of Westminster
London, UK
Seddik Belkoura
Researcher
The INNAXIS Foundation & Research Institute
Madrid, Spain
David Prez
Director
The INNAXIS Foundation & Research Institute
Madrid, Spain
Our thanks are extended to the SESAR Joint Undertaking for funding the research network, supporting its activities and providing valuable opportunities to present its work to a large audience of stakeholders.
We would like to thank Marc Bourgois of the EUROCONTROL Experimental Centre, Paris, for his excellent support during the production of this book. For over ten years, Marc has been managing innovative research activities in ATM at EUROCONTROL. He is always ready with insightful comments and suggestions on numerous research projects and initiatives, many of which have been cited within the book, and directly regarding the book itself, not least in our introductory chapter. He has also shown great patience regarding some of the delays in getting the text ready, having faith that it was in a good cause as we attended to some big questions, and the dots and commas, as best we could.
We would also like to thank Dr Victoria Williams for going beyond the call of duty in her exemplary copy-editing, drawing on her knowledge of ATM and editorial skills alike to improve the text and raise numerous helpful questions, and to Helen Varley for her meticulous final proof-reading.
Thanks also are extended to Fraport AG (Frankfurt Airport Services Worldwide) for reviewing part of .
The production of this book was co-financed by EUROCONTROL, acting on behalf of the SESAR Joint Undertaking and the European Union. The SESAR ComplexWorld Consortium are owners of the Foreground. The opinions expressed herein are entirely those of the Consortium and do not necessarily reflect those of the SESAR Joint Undertaking, European Union or EUROCONTROL, none of whom are liable for the use of any of the content.
In the following chapters all figures and tables not separately credited are the work of the contributors to this book.
Ahern, N.R., Kiehl, E.M., Sole, M.L., Byers, J., 2006. A review of instruments measuring resilience. Issues in Comprehensive Pediatric Nursing , 29, 103125.
Ahnert, S.E., Garlaschelli, D., Fink, T.M.A., Caldarelli, G., 2007. Ensemble approach to the analysis of weighted networks. Physical Revue E 76, 016101.
Albert, R., Jeong, H., Barabsi, A.-L., 2000. Error and attack tolerance of complex networks. Nature , 406, 378382.
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