Barry Rubin - Crises in the Contemporary Persian Gulf

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CRISES IN THE CONTEMPORARY PERSIAN GULF

CRISES in the CONTEMPORARY PERSIAN GULF

Edited by

BARRY RUBIN

First published in 2002 in Great Britain by

FRANK CASS PUBLISHERS

2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon,

Oxon, OX14 4RN

and in the United States of America by

FRANK CASS PUBLISHERS

270 Madison Ave,

New York NY 10016

Transferred to Digital Printing 2005

Website: www.frankcass.com

Copyright 2002 B. Rubin

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data

Crises and quandries in the contemporary Persian Gulf. (BESA studies in international security)

1. National security Persian Gulf Region 2. Persian Gulf Region Strategic aspects 3. Persian Gulf Region Foreign relations 4. Persian Gulf Region Politics and government I. Rubin, Barry II. Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies 953.6

ISBN 0-7146-5267-9 (cloth)

ISSN 1368-9541

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Crises and quandries in the contemporary Persian Gulf / edited by Barry Rubin.

p. cm. (BESA studies in international security, ISSN 1368-9541)

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN 0-7146-5267-9 (cloth)

1. Persian Gulf RegionStrategic aspects. 2. Persian Gulf RegionPolitics and government20th century. 3. National securityPersian Gulf Region. I. Rubin, Barry M. II. Series

DS326.C75 2001

327.09536dc21

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in or introduced into a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher of this book.

Typeset in 11.5/13pt Goudy Old Style with Janson

by Vitaset, Paddock Wood, Kent

Contents

Barry Rubin

Turki al-Hamad

Sean Foley

Daniel L. Byman and Jerrold D. Green

Shafeeq Ghabra

Daryl Champion

Jon B. Alterman

Amin Tarzi

9. Saddams State, Iraqs Politics and Foreign Policy

Amatzia Baram

Michael Eisenstadt

Seth Carus

Abbas Samii

: The Gulf States: A Profile

ADNOC	Abu Dhabi National Oil Company
AI	Amnesty International
Bpd	barrels per day
BSIS	Bahrain Security and Intelligence Service
BWC	Biological Weapons Convention
CBW	chemical and biological weapons
CDLR	Committee for the Defense of Legitimate Rights
CENTCOM	US Central Command
CENTRASBAT	Central Asian Peacekeeping Battalion
CIA	Central Intelligence Agency
CWC	Chemical Weapons Convention
ECP	Executives of Construction Party
EU	European Union
GCC	Gulf Co-operation Council
GDP	Gross Domestic Product
GHQ	general headquarters
IAEA	International Atomic Energy Agency
ICA	Islamic Coalition Association
ICBM	Intercontinental-range ballistic missile
ICM	Islamic Cultural Movement
IIPP	Islamic Iran Participation Party
ILA	Iraq Liberation Act
ILSA	Iran and Libya Sanctions Act
IMF	International Monetary Fund
INA	Islamic National Alliance
INC	Iraqi National Congress
IRBM	Intermediate-range ballistic missile
IRGC	Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
IRIB	Islamic Republic of Islam Broadcasting
IRNA	Iranian Republic National Assembly
MAD	mutually assured destruction
MWt	Megawatt
MIRA	Movement for Islamic Reform in Arabia
MOIS	Ministry of Intelligence and Security
MRBM	Medium-range ballistic missile
NATO	North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NBC	nuclear, biological and chemical (weapons)
NPT	Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty
OECD	Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
OMV	ongoing monitoring and verification
OPEC	Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
OPCW	Organization for the Prevention of Chemical Warfare
P-5	the five permanent members of the UN Security Council
RCC	Revolutionary Command Council
RL	Iraqi Regional Leadership of the Bath party
PLO	Palestinian Liberation Organization
SAMBA	Saudi American Bank
SABIC	Saudi Basic Industries Corporation
SLV	space launch vehicle
SRTI	Special Representative for Transition in Iraq
Tcf	trillion cubic feet
TEU	Twenty foot Equivalent Unit
UAE	United Arab Emirates
UN	United Nations
UNCIM	UN Commission on Inspection and Monitoring
UNCTI	UN Commission for Transition in Iraq
UNMOVIC	UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Committee
UNSC	UN Security Council
UNSCOM	United Nations Special Commission
WMD	weapons of mass destruction
WTO	World Trade Organization

Jon B. Alterman works in the Research and Studies Program at the United States Institute of Peace, Washington, DC, where he covers issues related to the Middle East. He edited Sadat and His Legacy: Egypt and the World, 19771997

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