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Soner Çağaptay - Erdogans Empire: Turkey and the Politics of the Middle East

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Soner Çağaptay Erdogans Empire: Turkey and the Politics of the Middle East
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Gradually since 2003, Turkeys autocratic leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan has sought to make Turkey a great power -- in the tradition of past Turkish leaders from the late Ottoman sultans to Ataturk, the founder of modern Turkey. Here the leading authority Soner Cagaptay, author of The New Sultan -- the first biography of President Erdogan -- provides a masterful overview of the power politics in the Middle East and Turkeys place in it. Erdogan has picked an unorthodox model in the context of recent Turkish history, attempting to cast his country as a stand-alone Middle Eastern power. In doing so Turkey has broken ranks with its traditional Western allies, including the United States and has embraced an imperial-style foreign policy which has aimed to restore Turkeys Ottoman-era reach into the Arabian Middle East and the Balkans. Today, in addition to a domestic crackdown on dissent and journalistic freedoms, driven by Erdogans style of governance, Turkey faces a hostile world. Ankara has nearly no friends left in the Middle East, and it faces a threat from resurgent historic adversaries: Russia and Iran. Furthermore, Turkey cannot rely on the unconditional support of its traditional Western allies. Can Erdogan deliver Turkey back to safety? What are the risks that lie ahead for him, and his country? How can Turkey truly become a great power, fulfilling a dream shared by many Turks, the sultans, Ataturk, and Erdogan himself?

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ERDOGANS
EMPIRE
In loving memory of my father
CONTENTS i iii vii iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am grateful to my assistant - photo 1
CONTENTS
  1. i
  2. iii
  3. vii
  4. iv
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I am grateful to my assistant, Egecan Alan Fay, for his exceptional work on this book. Egecan helped me at each stage of writing this monograph, from drafting chapters to compiling endnotes. He has worked tirelessly with me, with dedication and passion for scholarship, and for this, I am forever indebted to him.
Furthermore, thank you to my research assistants and research interns, including Oya Rose Aktas, Antonia Boemeke, Lauren Fredericks, Kieran Hatton, Yagiz Sullu, Maya Yalkin and Deniz Yuksel, who have helped me during various phases of this book, from drafting an outline to fact-checking to digging for sources in libraries. Deniz and Yagiz assisted me especially in the final stages of the book, diligently helping me tie loose ends. Without their collaboration and that of other members of my research team, this book would not have been completed. I am also indebted to my former research assistant, Tyler Evans, and research intern, Cagatay Ozdemir, who helped draft portions of the initial chapters of this book. Tyler and Cagatay have great insight into Turkish politics and I would like to thank them for their invaluable role; I was able to start and then move this monograph through the publication process in a timely and swift fashion.
My thanks also go to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy research interns and assistants, Emma Bapt, Avichai Ozur Bass, Arjan Ganji, Kayla Harrington, Evan Lisman, Fiona Renezeder, Basia Rosenbaum and Alessandra Testa, who fact-checked and copy-edited various chapters of this manuscript. Their contributions improved the manuscript.
I am grateful to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, which is the best place to work for a historian-cum-policy-maker. Since 2002, the Institute has strongly supported my scholarship on Turkey, its history and foreign policy. At least some parts of this book draw on my earlier analysis at the Institute, and in this regard, I am thankful to its Director, Rob Satloff, and Research Director, Patrick Clawson, who believed in my work and stood by it. I am also grateful to my colleagues, including Ambassador Jim Jeffrey, who reviewed an initial outline of this monograph, as well as to Sarah Feuer, Ben Fishman and Simon Henderson, who provided feedback on a number of the chapters of this book. My colleagues, Kori Francis, Mary Horan and Deniz Yuksel, helped produce various charts and maps that were used during the research and preparation of this book, and I am grateful to them for their assistance.
This manuscript would not be complete without the insights of my friends and colleagues, James Barnett, Dimitar Bechev, Ambassador Jonathan Cohen, Sir Michael Leigh, Alan Makovsky, Rich Outzen, Soli Ozel, Ambassador Eric Rubin, Sabri Sayari, Jesper Mller Srensen, Aaron Stein, Sinan Ulgen, Ambassador Ross Wilson and Murat Yetkin, as well as to those who have asked to remain anonymous. They have reviewed different versions and chapters of this book, providing invaluable insight and corrections to me. Additionally, I am thankful to my editor at I.B. Tauris, Tomasz Hoskins, client manager Merv Honeywood, and copy-editor Roza I. M. El-Eini. Tomasz especially assisted me in conceiving this book, Merv shepherded the manuscript successfully during the production process for on-time completion, and Roza helped improve it during the editing process.
I would also like to thank Tony and Vanessa Beyer for their continuing dedication to my work and to the mission of the Turkish Research Program at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. I am also indebted to Madeline and Michael Silverman for the support they have given me and the work of the Turkish Research Program.
Of course, all errors and omissions are mine.
I owe gratitude to my friends, Jen Moore and Yuri Kim, who have inspired me to write this book (and, of course, others). Finally, I would like to remember my parents, Mehmet and Sultan Cagaptay, who instilled in me a passion for books, scholarship and a dedication to make Turkey and the world a better place.
LIST OF
ABBREVIATIONS
A2D2Anti-Access/Air Denial
AFADDisaster and Emergency Management Presidency
AKPJustice and Development Party
AMISOMAfrican Union Mission for Somalia
ANAPMotherland Party
AUAfrican Union
BRIBelt and Road Initiative
BSECBlack Sea Economic Cooperation
BTCBakuTbilisiCeyhan Pipeline
CAATSACountering Americas Adversaries Through Sanctions Act
CDUChristian Democrat Union
CENTCOMCentral Command (US)
CHPRepublican Peoples Party
CSDPCommon Security and Defence Policy (EU)
CTPRepublican Turkish Party
DENKDenk political party
DOSTDemocrats for Responsibility, Solidarity and Tolerance
DPDemocrat Party (Turkish)
DPSMovement for Rights and Freedoms
DYPTrue Path Party
ECEuropean Community
EECEuropean Economic Community
EUEuropean Union
EUCOMEuropean Command (US)
EUFOREuropean Union Force
FDIForeign Direct Investment
FPVirtue Party
FSAFree Syrian Army
FTAFree Trade Agreement
GCCGulf Cooperation Council
GDPGross Domestic Product
GERDGrand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
HDPPeoples Democratic Party
HLSCCHigh Level Strategic Cooperation Council (TurkishTunisian)
IHHHumanitarian Relief Foundation
IMFInternational Monetary Fund
IRGCIslamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
ISISIslamic State in Syria and Iraq
KDPKurdistan Democratic Party
KDPIKurdish Democratic Party of Iran
KRGKurdistan Regional Government
MADMutually Assured Destruction
MENAMiddle East and North Africa
MITNational Intelligence Organization
MSPNational Salvation Party
MTTBNational Turkish Student Union
NAMNon-Aligned Movement
NATONorth Atlantic Treaty Organization
NPSDNational Freedom and Dignity Party
NSCNational Security Council (Turkish)
OECDOrganisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
OICOrganisation of Islamic Cooperation
PAPalestinian Authority
PCDKKurdistan Democratic Solution Party
PiSLaw and Justice Party
PJAKKurdistan Free Life Party
PKKKurdistan Workers Party
PLOPalestine Liberation Organization
PPP
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