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Jairam Ramesh - To the Brink and Back: Indias 1991 Story

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Jairam Ramesh To the Brink and Back: Indias 1991 Story
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1991 was Indias Greece moment. It faced an unprecedented financial crisis against the backdrop of political uncertainty and crumbling investor confidence. On 21 June 1991, P.V. Narasimha Rao became prime minister and appointed Dr Manmohan Singh as finance minister. In less than thirtyfive days, the RaoSingh duo ushered in momentous changes in economic policy-those that transformed the country. To the Brink and Back is the first account of the weeks of fastpaced change, narrated by an insider-a key aide of the prime minister, uniquely positioned both to participate and observe. It carries brisk accounts of the early days of survival; the compulsions and convictions that propelled a paradigm shift in Indias economic policy; and the ups and downs, twists and turns in the saga of fiscal reform. Along with the authors astute insights, the book holds key documents and notes, placed for the first time in the public domain; the personal papers of Narasimha Rao; private conversations with Manmohan Singh; Parliament proceedings; and the minutes of seminal Congress meetings. Coming as it does on the eve of the silver jubilee of Indias economic liberalization, To the Brink and Back will appeal not only to political history enthusiasts but also to those who wish to know how countries can be led from the brink to a radically new economic future.

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TO THE BRINK
AND BACK

Other Books by Jairam Ramesh

Mobilizing Technology for World Development (co-editor)

Kautilya Today: Jairam Ramesh on a Globalizing India

Making Sense of Chindia (also in Chinese)

Green Signals: Ecology, Growth and Democracy in India

Legislating for Justice: The Making of the 2013 Land Acquisition Law (co-author)

Published by Rupa Publications India Pvt Ltd 2015 716 Ansari Road Daryaganj - photo 1

Published by

Rupa Publications India Pvt. Ltd 2015

7/16, Ansari Road, Daryaganj

New Delhi 110002

Sales Centres:

Allahabad Bengaluru Chennai

Hyderabad Jaipur Kathmandu

Kolkata Mumbai

Copyright Jairam Ramesh 2015

The copyright for the cartoons by R.K. Laxman vests
with RK IPR Management Limited. Reproduced with permission.

Photograph inserts courtesy Hindustan Times,
India Today
and the Press Information Bureau.

The views and opinions expressed in this book are the authors own and the facts
are as reported by him which have been verified to the extent possible,
and the publishers are not in any way liable for the same.

All rights reserved.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, transmitted,
or stored in a retrieval system, in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise,
without the prior permission of the publisher.

eISBN: 9788129136497

First impression 2015

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

The moral right of the author has been asserted.

Printed by Replika Press Pvt. Ltd.

This book is sold subject to the condition that it shall not,
by way of trade or otherwise, be lent, resold, hired out, or otherwise circulated,
without the publishers prior consent, in any form of binding or cover
other than that in which it is published.

Men make their own history, but they do not make it as they please;
they do not make it under self-selected circumstances,
but under circumstances existing already,
given and transmitted from the past

KARL MARX

Contents

Key Dates and Events between June and August 1991 Covered in This Book

1. 20 June

Narasimha Rao elected leader of the Congress Parliamentary Party (CPP).

2. 21 June

Narasimha Rao takes over as prime minister.

Ministers sworn in; Dr Manmohan Singh told he is finance minister.

The prime ministers broadcast to the nation.

3. 22 June

Portfolios announced; Dr Manmohan Singh officially takes over as finance minister.

4. 23 June

A.N. Verma appointed principal secretary to the prime minister.

Pranab Mukherjee appointed deputy chairman, Planning Commission.

5. 25 June

The finance ministers prices roll-back controversy.

6. 26 June

The prime minister meets opposition leaders.

7. 27 June

Authors fax to Gopi Arora at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The prime minister and finance minister meet opposition leaders.

8. 1 July

First devaluation of the rupee.

Congress Working Committee (CWC) meeting.

Statement of four economic administrators.

9. 3 July

Second devaluation of the rupee.

10. 4 July

First trade policy package.

Second gold transfer.

The West Bengal governments alternatives to the IMF announced.

11. 7 July

Third gold transfer.

The prime ministers press meet in Hyderabad where he was critical of the finance minister.

12. 8 July

Statement of thirty-five economists.

13. 9 July

CPP meeting (address by the prime minister).

The prime ministers address to the nation.

The finance minister writes to the chief minister of West Bengal.

14. 11 July

Fourth gold transfer.

15. 12 July

The prime minister seeks a vote of confidence in the Lok Sabha.

16. 15 July

The prime minister wins the vote of confidence in the Lok Sabha.

17. 18 July

Fifth gold transfer.

18. 19 July

Cabinet meeting to discuss the new industrial policy.

19. 20 July

Group of ministers (GoM) discuss the new industrial policy.

20. 23 July

Cabinet meeting to approve the new industrial policy.

Meeting of the union council of ministers to approve the new industrial policy.

CWC meeting to approve the new industrial policy.

21. 24 July

Tabling of the new industrial policy in the Lok Sabha by P.J. Kurien.

Presentation of the budget for 1991-92.

22. 1 August

CPP meeting on the budget (with the prime minister presiding).

23. 3 August

CPP meeting on the budget (with the prime minister presiding).

24. 6 August

Small industry package tabled in the Lok Sabha by P.K. Thungon.

25. 10 August

The prime ministers reply to Jyoti Basu.

26. 13 August

Second trade policy package tabled in the Lok Sabha by P. Chidambaram.

27. 14 August

Narasimham Committee on the Financial System announced.

28. 16 August

First stock-taking by the finance minister.

29. 17 August

Full Planning Commission reconstituted.

The prime minister and finance minister meet trade union leaders.

30. 19 August

The prime minister remarks on Gorbachev. 31. 26 August The prime ministers reply in the Lok Sabha on industrial policy.

32. 27 August

CPP meeting on the budget (agriculture).

The finance minister writes to the IMF.

33. 28 August

CPP meeting on the budget (agriculture).

34. 29 August

CPP meeting on the budget (agriculture).

Chelliah Committee on tax reforms announced.

35. 31 August

The prime minister meets three national industry associations.

The prime minister meets the Kisan Congress.

1

Narasimha Raos Entry

Picture 2 or around ninety days, beginning 3 June 1991, I was catapulted into a ringside seat, as Indian economic policy was being transformed. As an aide to P.V. Narasimha Raofirst as he took over

To be sure, there had been earlier attempts at reforms. The first two years of Rajiv Gandhis tenure (1985-87) as prime minister saw a flurry of initiatives to give greater incentives to the private sector to expand. Some economists have written that the growth turnaround of the 1990s and thereafter is anchored in these initiatives. Earlier, Indira Gandhi herself had cautiously begun the process of giving a new direction to regulations when she set up the Economic Administration Reforms Commission under the chairmanship of L.K. Jha; a committee to examine the principles of a possible shift away from physical to financial control under the chairmanship of M. Narasimham; and a committee for restructuring the public sector with Dr Arjun Sengupta as its head. Indias first major reform that partially decontrolled the cement industry took place in 1982. Earlier, in May 1979, the Committee on Controls and Subsidies set up by the Morarji Desai government under the chairmanship of Vadilal Dagli submitted its report. Going back even further in time, following the hugely controversial devaluation of June 1966, new measures to attract foreign capital had been announced.

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