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Dirk Helbing - Digital Democracy and Socio-Ecological Finance—How to Avoid Dystopia and Upgrade Society by Digital Means

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Digital transformation sounds harmless, given that the explosion in data volumes, processing power and Artificial Intelligence has driven humanity and the entire world to a point of no return. We will surely see a new civilization, but we are at a crossroads. The future needs to be re-invented, decisions must be taken.After the automation of factories and the creation of self-driving cars, the automation of society is on its way. But there are two kinds of automation: a centralized top-down control of the world and a distributed control approach, supporting local self-organization. Using the power of todays information systems, governments and big tech companies seem to engage in the first approach. Might they even build a digital Crystal Ball that knows almost everything, including your personality, and a super-intelligent digital God to control what we do?We are much closer to such science fiction scenarios than you probably think. In this much expanded second edition of The Automation of Society is Next: How to Survive the Digital Revolution (2015), the author discusses lessons learned on digital democracy, aspects of transhumanism and far-reaching thoughts about life in the digital age and what it may mean to be human in the future.

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Book cover of Next Civilization Dirk Helbing Next Civilization Digital - photo 1
Book cover of Next Civilization
Dirk Helbing
Next Civilization
Digital Democracy and Socio-Ecological FinanceHow to Avoid Dystopia and Upgrade Society by Digital Means
2nd ed. 2021
Logo of the publisher Dirk Helbing ETH Zrich Zrich Switzerland ISBN - photo 2
Logo of the publisher
Dirk Helbing
ETH Zrich, Zrich, Switzerland
ISBN 978-3-030-62329-6 For more FREE books, visit:
https://tofrontierthinker.blogspot.com/

I would like to dedicate this book to Dietmar Huber

for the incredible support he has given to me over so many years.

Prologue

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

The United States Declaration of Independence after Thomas Jefferson

Those who surrender freedom for security will not have, nor do they deserve, either one.

Benjamin Franklin

Many people know me as the scientist who has worked, among other things, on traffic and pedestrian flows and crowd disasters. As some may still remember, I have also been the initiator and scientific coordinator of the FuturICT project. for example.

FuturICT was a visionary project for the digital age that was in the pole position for Europes one billion dollar flagship funding. In the course of this book, we will understand the worrying implications of this.

In principle, it is a normal thing that one project wins and another one loses, and people move on. However, here, things were pretty different for various reasons. Whatever part of the project I wanted to follow up onNervousnet, which was repeatedly not even accessible on the Internet. Furthermore, I was permanently put under pressure for years, and so I wondered what was going on

My discoveries were highly concerning.but without privacy, ethics, participation and democracy, it seems. Instead of a visionary, almost utopian project, it appears that dystopia is on its way, as I will show in the course of this book (besides the great potentials of the digital revolution, too).

I have been warning the world about the dangers of dual use

Furthermore, I have worked on the self-published book The Automation of Society Is Next: How to Survive the Digital Revolution,). For the sake of historical authenticity, I left the previous chapters largely unchanged.

From todays perspective, it is hard to imagine that the 2015 version of the book was highly controversial. At that time, a global digital control system was in the making. My alternative vision of the future, based on distributed organization, coordination, self-organization, and self-governance, fundamentally questioned the data-driven paradigm controlled by a powerful Artificial Intelligence (AI).

At that time, many were looking forward to the singularity, after which we would see a superintelligent system or digital God, based on mass surveillance data. It could also be tasked to make the world sustainable. Unfortunately, the Artificial Intelligence system may figure out that a depopulation strategy might fix the problem. Later on, you will learn that this terrible scenario is not just theoretical, but a real possibility and serious threat.

I have, therefore, started to work on concepts that could make the world more sustainable in a democratic way: digital democracy, City Olympics, democratic capitalism, and a socio-ecological finance system (FIN4) to boost a circular economy. In other words, there are surely alternatives to a dystopian future, but we would have to bring them on the way.

It turns out, however, that this is more difficult than expected, because many stakeholders seem to have different plans in mind, such as China, for example, or the big tech companies of surveillance capitalism. These often appear to be more interested in maximizing power or profit than in saving the world. And even those who claim that they want to save the world (such as CERN,) seem to pursue a centralized approach based on mass surveillance, with little transparency and no democratic participation.

In the end, one of the people who probably know more about this made a worrying statement in front of the United Nations General Assembly 2019:

Can we still have confidence in politics, in business, in international organizations? These are questions to which we must find answers at our General Assembly.

In fact, the past years have been a tough time characterized by a global struggle for the path into the future. The following events give just a glimpse of what has happened in these years.

On September 25, 2015, for example, a Snowden revelation was published about the Karma Police program run by British secret service GCHQ, which judges (the value of) everyones life based on mass surveillance. and felt like part of the apocalypse.

As a follow-up to the UN general assembly, from November 30 to December 16, 2015, the Paris Agreement was worked out, which tried to bring a binding global contract to fight climate change on the way.

Shortly before the Paris Agreement, I published the Digital Manifesto (Digital Democracy Rather than Data Dictatorship) ahead of the climate summit. The publication of the English translation was ready to be published in Scientific American the week after. However, it got delayed for more than a year (in fact, until the end of the Obama administration).

Already before Obama left his office, it seems that China was trying to take over the role of the worlds leading superpower. At the G20 summit in Hangzhou in September 2016, Obama was denied the usual red carpet treatment.:

this is also a time around the world when some of the fundamental ideals of liberal democracies are under attack, and when notions of objectivity, and of a free press, and of facts, and of evidence are trying to be undermined. Or, in some cases, ignored entirely.

And in such a climate, its not enough just to give people a megaphone. And thats why your power and your responsibility to dig and to question and to counter distortions and untruths is more important than ever.

This hinted at the upcoming post truth era, we know how much this development has challenged democracies all over the world.

You are certainly aware that the struggle for the future of this planet has further intensified since the world started suffering from COVID-19. So, if you want to understand what might come next and what are the alternatives, it is about time to read this book, because these developments will likely affect your life much more than you ever have imagined.

August, 2020

Zrich, Switzerland
Acknowledgements

I would like to thank the FuturICT community for the many inspiring discussions and also everyone, who had to be patient with me in the last couple of years, including my parents.

I am also very grateful to Philip Ball, Stefano Bennati, Anna Carbone, Andreas Diekmann, Jeroen van den Hoven, Dietmar Huber, Eoin Jones, Caleb Koch, Richard Mann, Heinrich Nax, Paul Ormerod, Evangelos Pournaras, Kay-Ti Tan, and others for their valuable feedback on the manuscript and the many improvements (but dont hold them responsible for any contents of this book). Jan Fasnacht, Petr Neugebauer, Petra Parikova, and Felix Schulz have been a great help with figures, formatting, references, permissions, and cover designs.

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