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Achim Klenke - Probability Theory

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Achim Klenke Probability Theory
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    Probability Theory
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Achim Klenke Universitext Probability Theory 2nd ed. 2014 A Comprehensive Course 10.1007/978-1-4471-5361-0_1 Springer-Verlag London 2014
1. Basic Measure Theory
Achim Klenke 1
(1)
Institut fr Mathematik, Johannes Gutenberg-Universitt Mainz, Mainz, Germany
Abstract
In this chapter, we lay the measure theoretic foundations of probability theory. We introduce the classes of sets (semirings, rings, algebras, -algebras) that allow for a systematic treatment of events and random observations. Using the measure extension theorem, we construct measures, in particular probability measures on -algebras. Finally, we define random variables as measurable maps and study the -algebras generated by certain maps.
In this chapter, we introduce the classes of sets that allow for a systematic treatment of events and random observations in the framework of probability theory. Furthermore, we construct measures, in particular probability measures, on such classes of sets. Finally, we define random variables as measurable maps.
1.1 Classes of Sets
In the following, let be a nonempty set and let Picture 1 (set of all subsets of ) be a class of subsets of . Later, will be interpreted as the space of elementary events and Picture 2 will be the system of observable events. In this section, we introduce names for classes of subsets of that are stable under certain set operations and we establish simple relations between such classes.
Definition 1.1
A class of sets Probability Theory - image 3 is called
  • -closed (closed under intersections) or a - system if Probability Theory - image 4 whenever Probability Theory - image 5 ,
  • --closed (closed under countable intersections) if Probability Theory - image 6 for any choice of countably many sets Probability Theory - image 7 ,
  • -closed (closed under unions) if Probability Theory - image 8 whenever Probability Theory - image 9 ,
  • --closed (closed under countable unions) if Probability Theory - image 10 for any choice of countably many sets Probability Theory - image 11 ,
  • -closed (closed under differences) if Probability Theory - image 12 whenever Probability Theory - image 13 , and
  • closed under complements if Probability Theory - image 14 for any set Picture 15 .
Definition 1.2
(-algebra)
A class of sets Picture 16 is called a - algebra if it fulfills the following three conditions:
(i)
Picture 17 .
(ii)
Picture 18 is closed under complements.
(iii)
Picture 19 is closed under countable unions.
Sometimes a -algebra is also named a -field. As we will see, we can define probabilities on -algebras in a consistent way. Hence these are the natural classes of sets to be considered as events in probability theory.
Theorem 1.3
If is closed under complements then we have the equivalences Proof The two - photo 20 is closed under complements , then we have the equivalences
Probability Theory - image 21
Proof
The two statements are immediate consequences of de Morgans rule (reminder: Probability Theory - image 22 ). For example, let Probability Theory - image 23 be --closed and let Probability Theory - image 24 . Hence
Thus is --closed The other cases can be proved similarly Theorem 14 - photo 25
Thus Picture 26 is --closed. The other cases can be proved similarly.
Theorem 1.4
Assume that Picture 27 is - closed . Then the following statements hold :
(i)
Picture 28 is - closed .
(ii)
If in addition Picture 29 is -- closed , then Picture 30 is -- closed .
(iii)
Any countable ( respectively finite ) union of sets in Picture 31 can be expressed as a countable ( respectively finite ) disjoint union of sets in Proof i Assume that Hence also ii Assume that - photo 32 .
Proof
(i) Assume that Probability Theory - image 33 . Hence also Probability Theory - image 34 .
(ii) Assume that Probability Theory - image 35 . Hence
Probability Theory - image 36
(iii) Assume that Probability Theory - image 37 . Hence a representation of as a countable disjoint union of sets in is Remark 15 Sometimes the - photo 38
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