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Cheng Li - Middle Class Shanghai: Reshaping U.S.-China Engagement

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Cheng Li Middle Class Shanghai: Reshaping U.S.-China Engagement
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The United States may be headed toward a disastrous conflict with China unless Washington updates its understanding of contemporary Chinese society

After four decades of engagement, the United States and China now appear to be locked on a collision course that has already fomented a trade war, seems likely to produce a new cold war, and could even result in dangerous military conflict. The current deterioration of the bilateral relationship is the culmination of years of disputes, disillusionment, disappointment, and distrust between the two countries. Washington has legitimate concerns about Beijings excessive domestic political control and aggressive foreign policy stances, just as Chinese leaders believe the United States still has futile designs on blocking their countrys inevitable rise to great-power status.

Cheng Lis Middle Class Shanghai argues that American policymakers must not lose sight of the expansive dynamism and diversity in present-day China. The caricature of the PRC as a monolithic Communist apparatus set on exporting its ideology and development model is simplistic and misguided. Drawing on empirical research in the realms of higher education, avant-garde art, architecture, and law, this unique study highlights the strong, constructive impact of bilateral exchanges.

Combining eclectic human stories with striking new data analysis, this book addresses the possibility that the development of Chinas class structure and cosmopolitan cultureexemplified and led by Shanghaicould provide a force for reshaping U.S.-China engagement. Both countries should build upon the deep cultural and educational exchanges that have bound them together for decades. The author concludes that U.S. policymakers should neither underestimate the role and strength of the Chinese middle class, nor ostracize or alienate this force with policies that push it toward jingoistic nationalism to the detriment of both countries and the global community.

With its unique focus, this book will enlighten policymakers, scholars, business leaders, and anyone interested in China and its increasingly fraught relations with the United States.

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Contents
Guide
Pagebreaks of the print version
OTHER BOOKS BY CHENG LI ON SHANGHAI AND THE CHINESE MIDDLE CLASS The Power of - photo 1
OTHER BOOKS BY CHENG LI ON SHANGHAI AND THE CHINESE MIDDLE CLASS The Power of - photo 2

OTHER BOOKS BY CHENG LI ON SHANGHAI AND THE CHINESE MIDDLE CLASS

The Power of Ideas (2017)

Chinas Emerging Middle Class (2010, ed.)

Bridging Minds across the Pacific (2005, ed.)

Rediscovering China (1997)

MIDDLE CLASS SHANGHAI

Reshaping U.S.-China Engagement

CHENG LI

BROOKINGS INSTITUTION PRESS

Washington, D.C.

Copyright 2021

THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

1775 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036

www.brookings.edu

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Brookings Institution Press.

The Brookings Institution is a private nonprofit organization devoted to research, education, and publication on important issues of domestic and foreign policy. Its principal purpose is to bring the highest quality independent research and analysis to bear on current and emerging policy problems. Interpretations or conclusions in Brookings publications should be understood to be solely those of the authors.

Artwork Plates: ShanghART

Library of Congress Control Number: 2021932884

ISBN 9780815739098 (hardcover)

ISBN 9780815739104 (ebook)

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Typeset in Minion Pro

Composition by Meghan Healey

In memory of

Qu Shaoxu (19802018)

whose migration from Shandong to Shanghai embodied the struggles and dreams of securing a middle-class life in an evolving nation

CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
FIGURES

Chinas middle class in a comparative perspective (in millions), 2015

Breakdown of the Chinese population according to social stratum, 2002 (percent)

Socioeconomic strata and occupation-based strata, China, 2002

The rapid increase in GDP per capita and household disposable income of urban residents in Shanghai, 19782017 (RMB)

The number of Chinese students and scholars studying abroad and returning, 19782018

The rapid growth of PRC students studying in the United States, 19772018

The increase in number and proportion of PRC students studying in the United States, 19952018

The top ten countries of origin of students studying in the United States, 19992018

Destination countries of Chinese students and scholars studying abroad, 2014

Foreign study duration of Shanghai returnees, surveyed in 2009 and 2014

A comparison of five surveys on degree of concern toward climate changeHow much do you personally worry about climate change?

Percentage of Shanghai returnees who are deeply concerned about climate change, paired with the duration of their foreign stay, surveyed in 2009 and 2014

A comparison of five surveys evaluating the Chinese governments performance on environmental governanceHow would you rate the Chinese governments performance in handling environmental issues?

Views of economic developmentIs Chinas current economic and social development structure, especially in terms of regional development status and urban-rural differentiation, reasonable? (surveyed in 2009 and 2014)

Views of energy securityAre you worried about Chinas energy security in the future? (surveyed in 2009 and 2014)

A comparison of five surveys on the importance of the Chinese middle classWill the emerging middle class become the most influential force in Chinese society?

A comparison of five surveys on degree of concern about food and product safety in ChinaHow much do you personally worry about food and product safety issues in China?

A comparison of five surveys on overall impression of the United StatesHow would you describe your impression of the United States?

Evaluations of Chinas bilateral relationship with selected countries and regions in terms of degree of importance and status of good relations (surveyed in 2009 and 2014)

The impact of foreign studies on personal developmentHow much did your foreign experience impact your personal growth? (surveyed in 2009 and 2014)

Degree of patriotism of Shanghai returnees based on the duration of their studies abroad (surveyed in 2014)

TABLES

The Proportion of the Middle Class in the World, 2017 (Top 10 Countries)

The Size of the Chinese Middle Class by Several Classifications, 2005 (Percent)

Population Increase in Shanghai, 18521949

The Distribution of Foreign Residents and Chinese Residents in Shanghai, 1928

The Increase in the Number of Buildings over Eight Stories High in Shanghai, 19802017

Shanghais Ten Tallest Skyscrapers, 2020

Comparing Green Indicators between Shanghai and Major Global Cities, 2012

The Change in Number of Employees in Shanghai by Sector, 19912017 (thousands)

The Change in Number of Employees in Shanghai by Ownership, 19912013

The Top 10 Banks in the World by Total Assets, 2020

The Worlds Top 10 Busiest Container Ports, 2018

An Overview of the Party Secretaries and Mayors of Shanghai, 19872020

Percentage of Politburo Standing Committee Members Born in and/or with Prior Leadership Experience in Shanghai, 19922017

An Overview of the Highest-Ranking Officials in Shanghai, 2001

Prominent Members of the Shanghai Gang on the 19th Central Committee, 2020

An Overview of the Standing Committee Members of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, 2020

An Overview of Study-Abroad Movements in Contemporary China, 18722020

The Level of Educational Attainment Overseas of Returnee Professors and Senior Administrators, 2005

Top Foreign Countries Where Returnees Studied, 2005

Academic Fields of Returnee Professors and Returnee Senior Administrators, 2005

Representation of Returnees among Top Administrators at the Top 10 Shanghai Universities, 2019

Educational Backgrounds of Top Administrators at Shanghais Top 10 Universities, 2019

Foreign Study and Work Experience of the Current President and Vice Presidents of Fudan University, 2020

Number of Law Firms and Lawyers in Shanghai, 20082018

The Representation of Returnees in Shanghais Top Five Law Firms, 2019

The Educational Backgrounds of Selected U.S.-Educated Returnee Partners of the Zhong Lun Law Firms, Shanghai, 2019

Demographic and Personal Information of Respondents (N = 200 for the 2009 Survey, N = 2011 for the 2014 Survey) in percentages (%)

Occupational and Professional Information of Respondents (N = 200 for the 2009 Survey, N = 2011 for the 2014 Survey) in percentages (%)

Distribution of Birthplaces, by Province, of Prominent Contemporary Chinese Artists, 2001

ABBREVIATIONS

AI

artificial intelligence

APEC

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation

APIs

active pharmaceutical ingredients

BLM

Black Lives Matter

BRI

Belt and Road Initiative

BRICS

Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa

CAS

Chinese Academy of Sciences

CASS

Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

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